Trump highly praised China, and the Netherlands, which followed closely the United States, became a "clown". There is only one way to get China's understanding.
At the end of the meeting, the two sides "step back one step", Trump is very pleased, to China, the position has changed too quickly, let the Netherlands become the "clown". before the Chinese-U.S. game entered the phase of white heat, the Netherlands suddenly jumped out and wanted to "robble in the fire", tried to "forcibly seize" the semi-conductor enterprises, showed "the true color of the robbers."Now if the Dutch side wants to get Chinese understanding, there is only one way to go - change the position as soon as possible, eliminate the untrue accusations against China, The former CEO of a Chinese company must be restored, otherwise the consequences will be borne。
The Netherlands is robbed by fire, Europe is following.
The Dutch side's "wishful thinking" is very clear: in response to the United States '50% penetration rule for export controls, it has "stuck its neck" with China in the semiconductor field. Both to favor U.S. allies and possibly take advantage of the quality assets of Chinese companies.。
However, the Netherlands seriously underestimated two key factors: first, the complexity of the Sino-US game; and second, the fragility of the Netherlands 'own economy.
First, the Dutch action is likely not an independent decision, but a "synergistic performance" under U.S. pressure, the U.S. just upgraded export controls against China, the Netherlands followed the next day, the time was too coincidental, and Gandhi became the predecessor of the U.S. to suppress China.
However, the Netherlands obviously did not expect that after the meeting, the two sides quickly reached an economic and trade easing consensus, the United States suspended part of export controls, and China also took reciprocal measures.
This turning point makes the Dutch "looting operation" particularly abrupt and even ridiculous-when the United States is willing to shake hands with China, the Netherlands has become a "clown" fighting alone.
Secondly, the economic structure of the Netherlands determines that it cannot bear the consequences of confrontation with China. Chinese semiconductor companies are not only important suppliers of global automotive-grade chips, but 80% of their production capacity relies on packaging and testing in Chinese factories, and China is its largest sales market.
The Dutch intervention has not only hampered Semiconductor operations, but also directly impacted the supply chains of key industries such as European automotive and aerospace.
European car companies are at risk of shutdown due to chip shortages, but the Netherlands is unable to fill this gap. The Netherlands Thinking that he could share a piece of the "anti-China alliance" of the United States, the result was that he was the only one to be beaten.。
How can the Netherlands save the situation? honesty is the only way out
Now for the Dutch government, if it wants to repair relations with China and avoid further damage to the economy, We must show real sincerity rather than continue to follow the US policy of containment。
First, the Dutch government's restrictive measures imposed on Einstein semiconductors, such as banning asset adjustments, personnel changes, etc., are completely lacking in reasonable grounds and are essentially political manipulation.
The Netherlands must first abolish these administrative interventions, allowing companies to operate independently according to market rules.
Second, the Dutch government’s attempt to seize control of the Einstein semiconductor under the pretext of “national security” is seen in the international business community as a “robbery logic” and seriously undermines the reputation of the Dutch market.
The Dutch government must make it clear that it will not continue to interfere with the legitimate operations of Chinese-owned enterprises and ensure that the management team of Chinese enterprises can return to office, otherwise negotiations will be difficult to advance.
Third, we can see that in order to clean up the mess for the Netherlands, the EU has taken the initiative to request emergency consultations with China on the Nexperia issue. The Netherlands should take this opportunity to actively release goodwill instead of continuing tough confrontation.
After all, the huge demand of the Chinese market and the key position of the supply chain determine that Dutch companies, especially the semiconductor industry, cannot survive independently from China. If the Netherlands wants to avoid further economic deterioration, it must adopt a pragmatic attitude towards Sino-Dutch economic and trade relations instead of acting as a "pawn" of the United States.
The lessons of the United States and the Netherlands, become the counter-learning material of other countries
There is no doubt that what is happening to the Dutch government today, It sounded the alarm for those countries that tried to follow the United States in "anti-China"。
On the one hand, the United States has always pursued "interest supremacy", generously promising when it needs allies to strike, but often withdraws first after the situation changes.
The Netherlands thought that it would gain benefits by closely following the United States. As a result, after the easing between China and the United States, it became the only country to suffer the backlash of sanctions.
The United States has not given substantial compensation to the Netherlands, but instead left the Netherlands alone to face the consequences of the collapse of the Sino-Netherlands economy and trade, this "sacrifice allies to protect themselves" code, has long been the usual means of the United States, other countries blindly followed, will only repeat the same as the Netherlands.
On the other hand, the Netherlands thinks it can suppress Chinese companies through political means, but has ignored China’s core position in the global supply chain.
The production of ANSI semiconductors relies on the packaging testing of Chinese factories, while China is its largest market, this "upstream and downstream are blocked by China" situation, leaving the Dutch sanctions measures powerless.
In fact, not only the Netherlands, but any country that tries to cut off China’s supply chain will eventually find its economy equally affected.
Countries should see clearly that in the trade war with the United States, China's countermeasures have escalated from a simple tariff war to a precise attack on each other's weaknesses, such as rare earth controls and export restrictions.
A large number of European and Japanese car companies have suffered heavy losses from China's countermeasures, while China itself can quickly adjust the supply chain and reduce losses, this "you hit you, I hit me" strategy, so that any country that tries to provoke China must think about and follow.
History has once again proved that a country like the Netherlands, which blindly stands in sides and is opportunistic in the game of great powers, will only suffer the consequences in the end.
The United States has a significant size advantage, and after being hurt, it still has to adjust its policies at any time. Countries such as the Netherlands and Britain, which are "eyeing up", may wish to ask themselves whether they can bear the actual cost of confronting China.
China's strength is no longer the same as before, from the market, technology to the supply chain, it has a strong counter-capability, and any country that tries to challenge China's bottom line must be prepared to meet the economic counterfeiting.
The Dutch "dumb operation" has become the counter-facing lesson of the international community, reminding other countries that in the competition of the great powers,ining strategic autonomy is the true way to survive.