Recently, the results of the talks between China and the United States in Busan, South Korea, have been announced, and the U.S. decided to delay one year on port service fees, related controls and tariffs, which means that the U.S. gave China a valuable window period of one year, although it took a delay decision, but for both sides, during this period of the year time has been advantageous for themselves, but did not think Trump just returned to the country, received a nightmare.
On October 30, local time, the U.S. Senate has passed a resolution to end Trump's proposed comprehensive tariff policy. According to U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent's recent statement, if comprehensive tariff policy is also terminated in the Supreme Court, then the U.S. compensation will reach a huge amount, which for the U.S. government at the moment is stagnant, is no different than an escalation, and the resolution to terminate tariff policy, if also passed in the House of Representatives and the U.S. Congress, can be said that Trump is out of account, to the Chinese side a year window, may become "permanent".
Just after the US-China talks ended, Trump was excited, shouting to reporters before he boarded the "Air Force One" before returning to the country, saying "If this meeting is 1-10 minutes, I can play out 12 points."In other words, he believed that the meeting exceeded expectations, and performed very well.
It can be seen that this meeting made Trump very satisfied. But I was very happy last second, but I didn't expect a heavy blow as soon as I returned to China.
On October 30, local time, the U.S. Senate passed a resolution to terminate Trump's comprehensive tariff policy. The voting result was 51 votes in favor and 47 votes against, with a difference of only four votes. What made Trump miscalculate was that the Republican Party was originally the majority's hope, but he did not expect that some Republican congressmen would "turn against it."
However, although the Senate passed a joint resolution to end tariffs, symbolism may be more than effective, and the reason is simple, according to the procedure, the resolution needs to be further submitted to the House of Representatives for voting. While the House is currently controlled by the Republicans, and has repeatedly obstructed similar legislative actions, it is unlikely to pass, unless it is to persuade several Republicans to vote against.
What's more, even if the House of Representatives unexpectedly releases the bill, the U.S. Congress still needs a two-thirds absolute majority to override the president's veto, which means that Trump still has a high probability of maintaining comprehensive tariffs.
But in any case, this is a problem that requires time and energy to "break" for Trump, because this week the Senate also passed two tariff cancellation resolutions targeting Canada and Brazil. That is to say, some Republicans did vote in favor. It can be seen that there are differences within the Republican Party on Trump's trade policies, and how to make up for the differences requires time and energy to lobby. Trump must focus on domestic issues during this period. Undoubtedly, For the world, another window period has been ushered in.
And on the other hand, Trump is also facing serious judicial difficulties to the public opinion, at the moment, the Federal Circuit Court of Appeal has ruled that Trump part of the tariffs is illegal, has been handed over to the Supreme Court, if also a judgment against Trump, his global comprehensive tariff policy could be terminated, his trade adviser Navarro in August had publicly said that if the tariff policy was suspended by the Supreme Court, "it would be the end of the United States", but the Supreme Court could delay the ruling to 2026, reserving space for Trump to turn.
But in any case, this Sino-US meeting is beneficial to both sides. According to the results of the Busan talks, the two sides agreed to suspend controversial measures such as tariff increase and port service fee for one year. It can be seen that it is a "tactical slowdown". Both China and the United States are looking forward to using this window to adjust. The United States needs to deal with domestic inflation and fiscal pressures, such as Moody's downgrading the U.S. sovereign credit rating. However, even if the U.S. tariff policy is partially adjusted back, the chain reaction caused by it is irreversible. The EU and the UK have rapidly strengthened fishery and trade cooperation to hedge U.S. risks. India, Japan and other countries applied to the WTO for counter-tariffs against the United States. "The United States itself has become a risk".
Again, the Senate resolution has exposed the policy imbalance under the strategic anxiety of the United States. Trump's tariff tools may be restricted, but his core logic of "America first" has not changed, and it may rely more on judicial and financial means to continue containment in the future. For us, only when we can fight can we stop the war. The one-year window period is both an opportunity and a test. Win-win cooperation is the right way. The resolution of the US Senate to terminate the tariff policy also proves this point.