One wave is unsettled, another wave rises again.
At a time when the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is raging again, the ceasefire agreement is in jeopardy, and it has aroused widespread concern in the international community, the long-lasting Russia-Ukraine conflict has also seen new developments. The United States and the West continue to increase pressure on Russia. This move not only adds more uncertainties to the tense situation between Russia and Ukraine, but also further makes it more difficult for Russia and Ukraine to reach peace talks.
At the critical moment, three major events worthy of attention occurred in the situation in Russia and Ukraine.
The first thing, against the escalation, the Russian colonel was "cut off", who did?
On the 29th, the General Defense Intelligence Service of Ukraine stated that, The 43-year-old Lieutenant Colonel Vanyamin Marzhilin of the Russian special police force was killed in a car explosion in Kemerovo Oblast. A video was released, which showed the explosion scene was full of flames and smoke rising into the sky.
In addition, the Ukrainian intelligence department further revealed that Russian Lieutenant Colonel Vaniamin Majilin (45 years old) belongs to the special forces "Oberegg" of the Russian National Guard. This unit participated in military operations in the Kiev region in the early stages of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, so Mazhilin has been included in the targeted elimination list by Ukraine.
But at present, Russia has not yet responded to this news.
Regarding the unfortunate death of Ma Zhilin, who is the real murderer behind it, and whether it is related to Ukraine, the Ukrainian side has neither given a clear positive answer nor denied it in public. At the same time, no organization has come forward to claim responsibility for this matter. Ukraine's vague and ambiguous attitude undoubtedly adds more uncertainty and variables to the already tense and complicated situation between Russia and Ukraine.
There have been many car bombings in Russia, and the victims are all senior Russian officials, such as Moskalick, deputy director of the General Operations Directorate of the Russian General Staff, and kirillov, commander of the three defense forces.
Margin is also likely to die in a well-planned "cutting-head operation", combined with the current situation, Ukraine is the biggest suspect. Regardless of whether the Ukrainian side acknowledges or does, this will drive the Russian confrontation to escalate, and the Russian side may follow a more fierce retaliation against Ukraine.
At present, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has not been effectively quelled. Against this background, Ukraine claimed that a Russian lieutenant colonel was killed in the explosion, and also released relevant videos of the explosion at the scene. In view of this series of situations, it is indeed It is difficult not to make people doubt Ukraine's claims.
Just as the situation in Russia and Ukraine continues to escalate, the United States has also intervened in Russia.
Second, the United States announced sanctions on Russia's oil trade.
Local time on October 29, The United States announced new sanctions against Russia, focusing on cracking down on Lukoil and Rosneft, the two major oil giants, and their 34 subsidiaries, involving oil and gas exploration and production and other businesses.U.S. citizens and were banned from trading with them, and entities with more than 50% of their holdings were also included in the sanctions list.
This round of newly implemented sanctions is in line with the sanctions introduced by the United Kingdom on October 15th and the European Union on October 23rd. Among them, the EU's sanctions stipulate that starting from April 2026, the import of Russian liquefied natural gas through short-term contracts will be prohibited, and starting from 2027, a long-term import ban will be fully implemented.
Obviously, the U.S. sanctions against Russia this time are mainly aimed at cracking down on Russia's oil export trade.
In addition, the EU has further expanded transaction restrictions on Russian financial institutions, including cryptocurrency platforms in the scope of sanctions for the first time, and strengthened supervision of the activities of Russian diplomats within the EU.
Karas, the EU's High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, pointed out on the same day that the 19th round of sanctions against Russia is not the end and the EU needs to start preparing for the next round of sanctions.
Data show that sanctions have a significant impact on Russia's economy. According to a report by the Russian Ministry of Finance on October 3, Russia's oil and gas tax revenue in September was 582.5 billion rubles (approximately US $7.1 billion), a year-on-year decrease of 25%. From January to September this year, Russia's total oil and gas revenue dropped to 6.6 trillion rubles (approximately US $80.4 billion), a year-on-year decrease of 21%, or a decrease of 1.7 trillion rubles (approximately US $20.7 billion).
From the past style of conduct of the United States, the sanctions against Russia this time it did not "shoot in the forefront", but remained synchronous with Europe, which to a certain extent reflects the U.S. "convergence" in the pressure on Russia.
One of the goals of the Trump administration’s pressure on Russia is to get the Russian side back to the negotiating table and make concessions in the negotiations.
However, just as the West continued to exert pressure, Putin also made a move.
Third thing, the Russian nuclear killer, Putin revealed three "bottom cards"
Russia's strategic nuclear weapons have shown a tendency to explode a little in the past few days. First, the nuclear-powered strategic cruise missile codenamed "Haiyan" was officially disclosed, and now the strategic nuclear torpedo codenamed "Poseidon" was officially disclosed.
1. Putin announced: Poseidon nuclear torpedo test was successful
On the 29th, Putin announced that Russia had conducted a critical test of the nuclear-powered submarine Poseidon and had "great success."He specifically revealed that the "Poseidon" strategic nuclear torpedo not only has tactical capabilities such as large depth of diving and unlimited endurance, but also its strategic strike power surpasses the "Sarmat", Russia's strongest strategic nuclear missile in active service. It is a powerful strategic deterrent and strike."Doomsday weapon".
In fact, the "Poseidon" nuclear-powered submarine, as a "super nuclear fishing torpedo", can quickly deter and effectively hit coastal targets, is a key part of the Russian "Trinity" nuclear deterrent system.
The Salmat missile has a range of 18,000 kilometers, can cover the globe, can carry 10 heavy nuclear warheads, the power of which is equivalent to 1,600 Hiroshima atomic bombs simultaneously exploded, so it is considered a key "capstone" of Russia's strategic nuclear weapons. From Putin's remarks, the power of the "Poseidon" far exceeds the "Salmat" missile, which is enough to reflect the importance of the Russian side to it, it will also become another important underground for Russian nuclear deterrence.
Russia announces successful test of nuclear-powered cruise missile "Haiyan"
According to previous reports by CCTV News, on October 26, local time, Russian President Vladimir Putin inspected a command post of the Russian Joint Force Cluster. Russian media said that Putin announced that the key task of testing the "Haiyan" cruise missile equipped with a nuclear power plant and an ultra-long range has been fully achieved. Putin said that there is no similar product of this type of cruise missile in the world. "The most important thing is that ordinary nuclear reactors take hours, days or weeks to start, but the nuclear reactor of Haiyan missile can start in minutes and seconds. This is a great achievement."
Russian Chief of Staff Sergei Grazimov to Putin that the cruise missile had completed a flight of 14,000 kilometers and had not reached the maximum range. The missile flew in the air for about 15 hours, successfully verifying its ability to evade the missile defense system.
3. Putin also ordered the abolition of the Plutonium Management and Disposal Agreement signed with the United States on the 28th.
On October 27, local time, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a law abolishing the Agreement on Plutonium Management and Disposal signed between the Russian and American governments.The US-Russia nuclear arms control treaty is less than one item, and the nuclear game confrontation between the two sides will escalate, and Russia will "retreat" or take more nuclear actions, which constitutes no less deterrence for the West.
The agreement was signed by Russia and the United States in 2000 and ratified in 2011. Its core content is to require both sides to dispose of 34 tons of weapons-grade plutonium exceeding the requirements of military plans. However, as early as 2016, according to the Russian presidential decree and the passed federal law, the validity of the agreement has been suspended.
On the same day, Putin also signed a law ratifying the Treaty on Strategic Partnership and Cooperation between Russia and Venezuela. The treaty was signed in Moscow on May 7 this year. It covers: jointly opposing unilateral sanctions that violate the United Nations Charter and other norms of international law; exposing the legacy of colonialism, opposing tampering with history, and condemning racism, genocide and crimes against humanity; Deepening arms control and disarmament cooperation; strengthening energy strategic coordination; and building a bilateral financial infrastructure system independent of the West.
At present, the United States has not given any response to these three "trump cards" displayed by Putin, and countries such as Britain, France and Germany have also remained silent and have not made relevant remarks.
Obviously, the escalating conflict between Russia and Ukraine is prompting the increasingly intensified confrontation between Russia and the West, and the possibility of direct conflict between the two sides is gradually increasing. This situation undoubtedly sends an extremely unfavorable signal, and also adds more complexity and uncertainty to the peace talks process between Russia and Ukraine.