The world-renowned meeting between the heads of state of China and the United States has ended in Busan. The talks lasted about 1 hour and 40 minutes, triggering massive reports from the global media.
There are also many analytical articles on the internet, including the foreign net, and the overall response is positive. After all, since the United States launched the global "tariff war" in April, everyone's self-risk has been eased, and it's good that China has stopped the United States.
In struggle for solidarity, solidarity persists.
Otherwise, the two major Chinese and American economies will face the spiral rise, and the world will not bear it.
The key word for the outcome of the talks is "pause", which means that while easing, the struggle and negotiations will continue, and neither side will relax.
Before going to Busan, South Korea to attend the summit, Trump posted on his account:
All with big fonts, “G2 Summit is coming!”
This is a very important observation point.
“G2” literally means “Group Two”, specifically the combination of the United States and China. The United States does not use the word G2 in contact with other countries, such as Britain, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, South Korea ... Russia and so on.
As soon as the word "G2" came out, everyone knew that it meant China and the United States, and it could only mean China and the United States. It would be ridiculous if other countries insisted on going up.
In 2009, Obama proposed the concept of the G2.The background at the time was that the Western world suffered from a financial storm caused by the U.S. sub-credit crisis, and the United States was unable to solve the crisis.
In 2008, Fred Bergsten, director of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, put forward a view: The two countries cooperate and jointly lead world affairs.
Obama, who is focusing on the sub-credit crisis, took this view and put forward the G2.
Obama's version of the G2 is just one sentence: Please bring me China.
China is not interested in the G2, but China vigorously pushed consumption, and objectively helped the United States and the West.But if China's industrial products and consumer goods continuously entered the European and American society, how can Western governments solve the problem of people's livelihoods protection caused by the financial crisis?
Since China is indifferent to the G2, the United States upgraded the G20 to a leaders 'summit.
The G20 was established in 1999 and is attended by finance ministers and central bank governors from 20 countries. In 2005, Canadian Prime Minister Martin suggested upgrading the G20 to a leaders 'summit, but the United States opposed it.
In September 2009, the G20 was identified as the main forum for international economic cooperation at the Pittsburgh Conference held in the United States and became the highest-level meeting.
That is, if there were a G2, the United States would not pay attention to the G20.
In 2010, China's GDP surpassed Japan's and became the second largest economy in the world. Then I left Japan and other countries all the way and chased the United States closely.
And after the West slowed down, they spied on China, believing that China became the world’s second-largest economy because it took advantage of the western crisis.
However, the aftermath of the subprime mortgage crisis is not over, and the West still needs to strengthen economic and trade cooperation with China. Although he said he wasn't willing to do so, his body was very honest.
Germany is the most typical representative, Merkel one trip with German entrepreneurs to China, layout German Industry 4.0, seize the lead in the Chinese market.
In 2014, the Crimean crisis broke out and relations between the West and Russia deteriorated extremely.
This led to the disintegration of the G8 and Russia abandoned its illusions about the United States.
Under the background that G2 could not be realized and G8 disintegrated, the United States regarded G7 as the most important tool to dominate the global economy and trade, and G20 became a dialogue platform for Sino-US cooperation.
China is not interested in the G7.
While some countries cry out and cry out to become the G8, when the call comes, it comes to the picture, but China has long seen the essence of the G7 – a political group, which is not a good group.
In 2018, Trump launched a global trade war that seriously undermined the world trade order, but even so, China stillins its momentum and is fighting back and forth with the United States.
During Biden's four years, the United States changed its strategy. By appeasing Europe, Japan and South Korea to form a group to contain China, G2 has become a concept that needs to be "disinfected" to show the determination of the United States not to cooperate with China.
Just on October 10, former U.S. Ambassador to China Burns also emphasized to Nikkei Asia that establishing the G2 would be a historic mistake for the United States.
He said, "I don't know if President Trump has this intention. In my opinion, the United States and China can be said to be evenly matched powers. But if the United States plus Japan, the European Union, Australia and India, and we work together to contain China on the world stage, it will be much stronger. Our allies are the core of American strategy."
This is the true position of American Democratic politicians-- Unite allies and contain China.
In other words, Obama's version of the G2 is just an emergency need rather than a long-term solution.
At the time of Burns' approval of the G2, Trump had not yet traveled to Asia and had not yet proposed the G2.
Burns is already vaccinating, reminding the United States not to let China do whatever it wants in the "Indo-Pacific region" because four of the world's five largest economies are located in the Indo-Pacific region (Japan, the United States, India and China)
Then, they talk about "democracy and freedom" and teach people a half-understanding.
These people in the Democratic Party still think that "the advantage is in me", or that the "US-Japanese-India-Australian" four-country alliance can contain China, or that it is possible to disconnect China to establish a "ally supply chain".
In order to do this, the U.S. can alliance with India. but what is the color of India?
Trump is now leaving India, meaning he doesn’t want to do business anymore.
This time, Modi did not attend the ASEAN Summit in Malaysia and the APEC Summit in Gyeongju, South Korea, because he was worried that Trump would ask India to stop purchasing Russian oil in person, and India would not be able to make a clear response.
This is determined by strength. If you have strength and say "no", what can the United States do? Instead, it didn't dare to mention this matter in person.
Trump is much more realistic than these establishments in the United States, and he can bend and stretch.
On April 2nd, when he showed the tariff war sign, he said it was the "Liberation Day" of the United States. He didn't care if he took a trip to Busan and "returned to before liberation overnight" in front of China.
Trump also likes to fight alone. Not only does he "ignore the overall situation of uniting allies", he also cuts off the flesh of allies, and the results are good.
Didn't High Market Morning Soda swallow those stones that cannot be swallowed? also initially proposed to buy American soybeans.
Trump knows that western countries don't like to hear about G2 again, but they don't matter.
Because reality is more important than so-called "values".
So, will China build the G2 with the United States?
The key is whether the G2 is right.
Trump’s version of G2, in a sense, is that the United States accepts the reality that it no longer has a “unipolar” status, but wants to build a “two-polar world” with China.
This is beneficial to the United States because, as the only superpower in the world, the United States is becoming increasingly impatient and is no longer able to balance its powers and responsibilities.
The United States needs a nation to help it take on some responsibilities while sharing some power in order to continue to maintain its leadership.
But the focus is on transferring responsibilities, not sharing power.
China has never sought such power, nor does it want to use its own strong position to crush others.
China has repeatedly stressed that the role of the United Nations in international affairs is irreplaceable.
This is the basis for China to deal with international hot issues and the prerequisite for Sino-US cooperation in international affairs.
G2 is actually trying to get rid of the United Nations and return to the era ruled by individual big powers.
What the United States envisions is to establish a pyramidal international order with the G2 as the apex.
China's development is unstoppable, so we should quickly establish an equal relationship with China and stand at the top of the tower together.
But this goes against China's diplomatic principle-that all countries, big or small, are equal.
Although some of the smaller countries occasionally jump out to provoke China, China has not given up on this great principle because it is in line with China’s long-term interests and international morality.
If G2 is established, China will be separated from the vast world of the third world. China is different from the United States. For example, energy and mineral issues, China cannot meet development needs through its own resources.
Once the third world countries lose their trust in China, they will be used by the United States and become the cards of the United States against China.
Some pro-Western people were very excited when they heard "G2" in 2009. Now they are very excited when they hear "G2" again. Their hearts are full of fantasy and they can't wait to embrace the United States immediately.
But the facts have proven that there is no G2 for China.
Sixteen years have passed since Obama proposed the G2. Isn't China moving steadily at the pace of independent development? Achievements are also universally recognized.
Next, China will fully implement the "15th Five-Year Plan", which requires the whole country to work wholeheartedly. Thinking about G2 at this time can only be a kind of interference.
If Trump brought up the G2 again again, if there is any practical significance, it means that Europe is no longer important, let alone Japan and India.
G2 is essentially about harvesting the whole world, engaging in the Western plunder, exploitation, and seizure.
Therefore, G2 is not feasible. China was not interested before and will not be interested now.
The answer lies on the walls of Tiananmen Square!