More good things this year, more bad things this year.

One war after another, people didn't think that the Bahá'í would beat, but putting in front of China is an opportunity!

Negotiations between Pakistan and the Afghan Taliban have collapsed!

According to Reuters news on October 29, Pakistan's Defense Minister directly released hard words that day, threatening to "destroy" the Taliban regime in neighboring Afghanistan. The smell of gunpowder was even stronger than the previous conflict.

Why talk about it again this time?

The most direct reason was that the Afghan Taliban (ATA) did not meet Pakistan's demands, so that the Pakistani defense minister spoke the "destruction" of this bad word.

Pakistan is very dissatisfied with the failure of the negotiations.

So much so that their Defense Minister Khwaja Asif posted directly on social platform X: " With just a small arsenal, Pakistan can completely destroy the Taliban regime and drive them back into the caves where they are hiding.¡±

We all know how much this confidence is caused by the last India-Pakistan conflict!!

However, many people are asking: Is it really going to start fighting again? In Zhijian's view, this battle is bound to be fought.

Many experts also said that the battle kicked off the "proxy war of great powers", and believed that Pakistan had become a thugger of the United States and began to launch attacks on Afghanistan supported by China, aiming at destabilizing South Asia. Is this really the case?

As for why it is so certain, there are three main reasons to be damaged:

Anti-terrorism and border conflicts cannot be reconciled at all

Pakistan's biggest headache now is domestic terrorism. These terrorists not only affect the economy, but also stare at the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor. Pakistan has long wanted to completely eliminate them.

But most of these terrorists operate on the Bahᡯí and Bahᡯí borders. Neighboring countries are completely unclean.

To know, since the Taliban regained control of Afghanistan in 2021, Pakistan has twisted several times: the Taliban doesn¡¯t care about the ¡°Pakistan Taliban.¡±

"Bata" was originally connected with the Afghan Taliban, hiding in the east of Afghanistan, attacking Pakistan's posts and civilians.

From 2022 to now, the "Bata" attack has killed hundreds of Pakistani personnel. Pakistan has repeatedly asked the Taliban to cut off the logistics of "Bata" and drive out its top leaders, but it is useless. This has stepped on Pakistan's national bottom line.

In addition to counter-terrorism, the border issue is also buried.

The 2,600-kilometer "Duland Line" treaty between the Ba'a was drawn by the British colonists at the time, and for so many years the two sides have not recognized the legitimacy of this line.

Neither of these contradictions can be made concessions, and once it becomes irreconcilable, war becomes inevitable.

After winning India, Pakistan has finally been able to clean up the terrorists.

5.7 After the air war, this created a critical opportunity to resolve domestic security issues. The United States gave up supporting India, turned to win over Pakistan, and included the Baluchistan Liberation Army, Majid Brigade, etc. on the list of terrorist organizations. Pakistan took advantage of the opportunity to dispatch F16 fighter jets to attack these terrorists.

to know, The two major terrorist forces in Pakistan, "Balochistan Liberation Army" and "Bata", used to have external support.

¡° The Balochistan Liberation Army is mainly supported by India and the United States, and Bata can also hide from the Afghan Taliban in addition to the Indo-American.

Now that Pakistan has won over India, India has to reduce its assistance to terrorist organizations in Pakistan under pressure;

The United States has also changed its attitude, classifying the Baluchist Liberation Army as a terrorist organization, and has reached some consensus with Pakistan on counter-terrorism.

As the external environment improves, Pakistan has much less resistance to clearing out terrorists.

Pakistan is also clear. If the ¡°Bata¡± is not completely eliminated, the national security focus will have to be always placed on the northern border, with no initiative at all when facing India.

Now in the South. Because it was not so much pressure to win India, it was necessary to concentrate on clearing the "Bata" and "Balochist Liberation Army" and consolidating the northern border.¡£

So Pakistan will surely take this opportunity to put pressure on the Afghan Taliban, forcing them to work together against the terrorist forces to completely address this long-standing threat.

The Taliban has allied with India and the United States, angering neighboring countries

The Afghan Taliban had wanted to balance between countries, but it has always tolerated "Bata" and has long caused the surrounding countries to be alert and dissatisfied.

Now neighboring countries are beginning to join hands to fight terrorism!

On September 25, before the outbreak of this conflict, at the invitation of The Russian Federation, an informal meeting of the foreign ministers of China, Russia, Pakistan and Iran on Afghanistan was held during the 80th session of the United Nations General Assembly in New York.

The meeting reached an eleven-point consensus, It clearly listed terrorist organizations such as the "Taliban of Pakistan", the Belarusian Liberation Army, the "ISIS province of Khrousan" and the "East Turk" as the core targets, and called on the Afghan Taliban "to dismantle all terror training camps in the territory".

All this is to cut off the infiltration channels for terrorists along the borders of the four countries.

If the Taliban is able to fulfill its anti-terrorism commitments and work closely with neighboring countries, the regime has a chance to stabilize.

Unexpectedly, on October 9 Afghan Foreign Minister MottakiVisit India, This is the highest level of visit since the re-government of the Taliban in 2021.

India has also announced the restoration of full diplomatic relations with Afghanistan.

Everyone with discerning eyes can see that this is aimed at Pakistan. India has just suffered losses in the conflict with Pakistan and wants to join forces with the Taliban to attack Pakistan.

At about the same time, the United States was also getting closer to the Taliban and wanted to return to Afghanistan.

In September, the United States was negotiating to resettle its troops at the Bagram Air Force Base as a counter-terrorist base.

The Taliban, on the other hand, wants to cooperate to unfreeze U.S. foreign exchange reserves that were frozen before.

This series of operations by the Taliban is tantamount to pushing themselves to the opposite side of regional countries.

For Pakistan, Afghanistan and India must not be tolerated joining forces against it.

Even more dangerous is that If the Taliban continued to imply "Bata", India, Afghanistan and "Bata" would come together in the future, and Pakistan's national security and regional stability would be complete.

To sum up, there are three reasons: Pakistan is certain of the strongness of the Afghan Taliban, and the core is to force the Taliban to stop playing on counter-terrorism and cooperate well with themselves.

But Bata and the Afghan Taliban, although not affiliated, have long been a community of interests.

By asking the Taliban to cut off its support for "Bata", Pakistan has hit the Taliban's bottom line. The Taliban would definitely not agree, and the negotiations would naturally collapse!

This is the inevitable result of the two sides¡¯ incompatible interests.

Pakistan has the advantage, and China has a good opportunity to fight terrorism!

Geographically speaking, the current situation in Pakistan is good: These allies of China, Russia, Central Asia and the surrounding powers support it against terrorism.£»

Even the United States, for its own benefit, has implicitly even hoped that Pakistan would be tough on the Taliban.

As a result, when Pakistan acts, external resistance is particularly small.

On the other hand, the Afghan Taliban has been isolated, and not many countries are willing to help it.Both sides had so little power that the war naturally could not be avoided.

Then why is this situation a good thing for China?

At the core, China has finally got a chance to solve the terrorist problem in the region.

What China cares most about is to eliminate terrorists from the Pakistan-Afghanistan border and completely eliminate the hotbed of terrorism in Afghanistan. Now that Pakistan takes action, it can help achieve this goal.

How to do it exactly?

This will wait until Pakistan's military pressure makes the Taliban feel that they can't keep their power, and then China will intervene as a key mediator. Clear the boundaries between the Taliban and all terrorist organizations.

This will not only achieve the goal at the lowest cost, but also reshape the regional security landscape.

Now that the war is imminent, there is only one way to stop it: The Afghan Taliban and Pakistan, China and Iran join forces against terrorism!

Finished ¨C