Preliminary
It's really a matter of course!
Today was the day when China and the United States met in South Korea, and almost the world's eyes were focused on this dialogue.
But no one would have expected that Trump has thrown a “heavy-pound bomb” on his personal social media, which, once announced, directly made China’s most concerned thing a reality.
Does Trump really want to act or act?
The US-China meeting in South Korea on October 30 is getting global attention, but Trump blasted a thunderstorm on his personal social media: announcing that he would let the war ministry immediately undertake nuclear weapons tests.
As soon as Trump's words came out, many people's first reaction was "Is it real this time?"
After all, since 1992, the U.S. public nuclear weapons tests have been suspended for 33 years, although it is not good to say if there are any small moves in the dark, but on the face has beenining the gesture of "not testing", now suddenly breaking this practice, it is inevitable to be nervous.
But thinking carefully will find that this is not so simple, the US "presidential decree" is not easy to count by sending a social media, with strict processes and formal documents.
This time, Trump merely stated on his personal accounts that there was no official shadow release, more like a political declaration than an order to be executed immediately.
And in these years, the United States has not been leisurely, and the Los Alamos National Laboratory has been conducting Asian critical nuclear tests.
It is said that it does not explode but can maintain the reliability of the nuclear arsenal through simulations and experiments, as of last year, it has been done 34 times, and there has long been a "no-test bomb can also preserve nuclear weapons".
So he shouted to restart the trial, more likely to want to brush through this strong expression, highlight his "strong hard nuclear policy", as to really to press the test button, I am afraid it will not be so easy.
But even if it is just a gesture, this kind of blatant "testing" of the international nuclear order is enough to make people alarmed.
Russia's two major "killer" tests have become the "fireplace" of the United States?
To say that Trump chose to speak at this time, Russia's recent actions are indeed like a "fuse".
A few days ago, the Russian-made "Haiyan" cruise missile was successfully tested. When Putin inspected the wounded, he couldn't hide his pride, bluntly saying that he was "extremely proud of it".
This missile is not a vegetarian. It can not only hit the United States, but also flexibly evade the anti-missile system. At that time, Trump publicly complained that Russia's test launch was "unkind", and it is estimated that his heart has long been holding back his strength.
On October 29, Putin personally confirmed the successful test of the unmanned submarine Poseidon.
This thing is called a "doomsday weapon" by the Western media. The megaton warhead has astonishing destructive power and can dive below 1,000 meters. Existing anti-submarine means are basically helpless against it.
Putin's phrase "this is unique in the whole world", the correct is the deterrence of the West, these two things are stuck together, the Pentagon can not sit and is normal, after all, these new Russians, directly hit the U.S. nuclear deterrence advantage.
But backwards, the U.S. nuclear policy shift is not a day or two, this year, the Trump administration has pushed the reform of the nuclear management committee, accelerated nuclear reactor testing, the goal is to deploy new nuclear facilities by 2029, so this first time has been.
And Russia's test shot is more like adding wood to the fire that has already burned, rather than lighting the flame from the air, the American own persistence in nuclear superiority is the fundamental reason.
Call China to talk about nuclear disarmament? The abacus is a little too loud
Interestingly, Trump did not forget to mention China while shouting to restart nuclear testing.
It is said that China may catch up with the nuclear forces of the United States and Russia within five years. Before that, it has repeatedly tried to pull China into trilateral nuclear disarmament negotiations between China, the United States and Russia, and even said that "if you can't talk about the three sides, you can talk bilaterally." This wishful thinking is so good that you can hear the sound across the Pacific Ocean.
And not to say that China's number of nuclear warheads is not at all on a scale with the United States and Russia, the data shows that the United States has 3,748 warheads, Russia has 4,380 warheads, and China has only 500 warheads, and the number of warheads in high warfare is even less than the number of U.S. warheads.
It is internationally recognized that the country with the largest nuclear arsenal should first assume the responsibility of disarmament, but the United States is better. The scale of its own nuclear arsenal is there. Instead of thinking about reducing it first, it focuses on China's self-defense force. Isn't this obviously bullying others?
China’s officials have repeatedly rejected this unreasonable request, which now seems to be wise.
Trump at the same time shouted to let others disarm, while thinking about the resumption of the test, this operation is a bit of a "double target".
If we really believe what he said and talk about it, we will fall into the trap. When the United States uses negotiations to restrict China, but secretly strengthens its nuclear forces, then China's security guarantee will become empty talk.
Is there a global security behind the nuclear game?
Trump's series of operations, whether real or false gestures, have filled the tension of the global nuclear game.
After the end of the Cold War, it was not easy to ease the nuclear situation, but now there are signs of loosening. If this unilateralist nuclear policy tendency of the United States is really put into practice, it is likely to trigger a chain reaction.
Russia has already used test weapons to respond to the pressure of the West, if the United States really resumed its nuclear tests, Russia probably would not sit down regardless, and further escalate the deployment of nuclear forces, the Pandora's magic box of the nuclear arms race could be reopened.
Other countries with nuclear weapons or nuclear ambitions may follow up, and the global nuclear security system will become dangerous.
conclusion
After all, nuclear weapons are not ordinary weapons, and once out of control, the consequences are unthinkable.
In order to show his "toughness", Trump regards nuclear testing as a political bargaining chip. This practice is really irresponsible. The game between big powers should not take the security of all mankind as a bet.
Whether the United States 'hegemonic anxieties or Russia's strategic response, they should not ultimately come at the expense of global security.
Hopefully the leaders of these major countries, holding the nuclear button in their hands, will be more reasonable and restrained, and will not allow the nuclear shadow of the past to overwhelm the world again, after all, peace is never natural, and once lost, it will be difficult to find it again.