The global landscape will show a multipolar trend in 2025, and countries will focus on internal development, which provides a favorable environment for China to deal with the Taiwan issue.
European countries are deeply plunged into regional tensions in Ukraine, providing aid while undergoing pressure from energy price fluctuations and rising industrial costs, and government resources are inclined to maintain economic stability and avoid meddling in Asia-Pacific affairs.
Israel and Iran in the Middle East continue to confront, interference in Red Sea shipping affects trade, Saudi Arabia and other countries promote the transformation of oil dependence, prioritizing regional security cooperation.
During the U.S. economic recovery, high housing and food spending, slow manufacturing job growth, fiscal deficit expansion, weakened influence in emerging markets, many developing countries choose independent diplomatic path and respect the principle of territorial integrity.
Today, only 12 UN member states and the Vatican haveined diplomatic relations with Taiwan’s authorities, one less than in 2024, reflecting the strengthening of international consensus, avoiding past diplomatic swings by deepening economic and trade projects with China.
Southeast Asian and Latin American countries have entered a new phase of cooperation with China, with infrastructure such as high-speed rail and port projects shifting from planning to operations, and investment scale expanding from tens of billions of dollars to hundreds of billions of dollars, which clearly adhere to the one-China position, supporting relevant resolutions at United Nations occasions, reducing the opportunities for Taiwanese authorities to seek external assistance compared to the past.
the mainland of China has a firm position on cross-strait relations. On October 25, it emphasized the path of peaceful reunification at an event commemorating the 80th anniversary of the restoration of Taiwan, pointing out that this is the key to achieving national rejuvenation. Compared with the statement at the beginning of the year, it is more prominent that Taiwan enjoys a high degree of autonomy after reunification. and development space.
In response to the speech of the leaders of the Taiwan region on October 10, the State Department directly pointed out that no separatist speech can change the fact that the Taiwan region is part of China, which shifted from the flexible expression of the past to a more direct definition, reflecting the strengthening of determination.
Military activities are frequent in the Eastern Theater Command. The southwest exercise on October 17 involved the joint navy and air force. The fleet of ships changed from destroyers to aircraft carrier groups, and the fighter jets were upgraded from third-generation aircraft to stealth models. The scale of the exercise was expanded by 20% compared with 2024, from defense simulation to Offensive coordination has improved rapid delivery capabilities.
Economic integration across the Taiwan Strait is accelerating. Taiwan's semiconductor industry relies on the mainland for more than 30% of the market share. In October 2025, TSMC confirmed that its inventory was only enough for short-term supply. Compared with its previous claim to independence, this exposed the fragility of the industrial chain. After reunification, it can be realized. The transition from supply chain interruption risk to stable collaboration has promoted employment growth in the mainland electronics industry from one million to a higher level.
In the field of agricultural trade, Taiwan's spinach and tea exports mainland shifted from quota restrictions to free circulation, logistics efficiency from cross-sea for several days to inter-provincial half-day, price stability benefiting consumers, these advances stem from the gradual removal of tariff barriers, compared with past trade frictions, promoted the development from complementary to deep integration.
The international community supports the one-China principle from declaration to action, 181 countries recognize that Taiwan belongs to China, the relevant UN resolutions are long-term valid, and several developing countries in 2025 reaffirm this position in diplomatic communiqués, avoiding previous ambiguity.
China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs opposed external official interactions at its October routine meeting, which focused more on safeguarding sovereignty than previously, and strengthened unified speech through multilateral platforms such as the ASEAN Summit.
People's exchanges on the two sides have regained growth, cultural activities have expanded from online discussions to online visits, and polls have shown that the proportion of support for unification has risen, which analyzes the process from isolation to consensus formation.
The modernization of the Liberation Army has achieved remarkable results in 2025, the total number of naval ships exceeds 400, the number of air force hidden fighter jets doubled, these equipment from the 2010s accumulation of quantity to quality optimization, through military spending to support high-tech training, from traditional exercises to virtual simulation shift, raised the deterrent level in the surrounding Taiwan region.
Joint exercises such as the "United Sword" from single military involvement to multi-field synergies, the first half of the 2025 exercise covered sea and air landings, compared with 2024, added anti-submarine and electronic warfare content, pushed upgrades from static preparation to dynamic execution.
Developments on Taiwan Island show that the space for separatist forces 'activities has been compressed. Although the July 2025 "Han Kuang" exercise emphasized gray area responses, its scale and technology are lagging behind those of mainland exercises, highlighting the expansion of the PLA's advantages.
In the optimization of cross-strait industrial chain, digital economic cooperation has been connected from platform docking to data sharing, and the market share of enterprises in Taiwan Province in mainland China has increased from 10% to 20%. These details reflect that unification has changed from economic pressure to opportunity-driven, thus avoiding the negative impact of political interference on the industry.
China's mainland foreign strategy focuses more on actively shaping in 2025, reaffirming unity in the high-level meeting in October, which shifted from passive response to forward-looking layout, prompting the shift from long-term goals to recent tasks.Two-Straits relations shifted from confrontation potential to dialogue, Taiwan's opposition party emphasized peaceful development, which analyzed the positive role of changes within the island for unification.
The People's Liberation Army's global deployment capacity has shifted from offshore defense to offshore operation, aircraft carrier crew from single ship to multi-group, these advances compared with the past, achieved a shift from regional restriction to comprehensive coverage, prompted unified preparation from theory to real warfare.