Recently, Russian-Ukrainian battles have burst, especially on the east side, where Russian-Ukrainian voices say they have encircled tens of thousands of Ukrainian soldiers in Kharkov and Donetsk.Putin also personally spoke, allowing the Russian forces to give the encircled Ukrainian forces a way to survive and allow them to surrender.
Let's first talk about the overall situation on the Eastern Front. Since the counterattack in Ukraine failed last winter, the Russian army began to slowly encroach on territory. They do not engage in such high-profile charges, but rely on advancing step by step and concentrating their troops to outflank key points. In Ukraine, there is a shortage of soldiers and insufficient ammunition, and morale is a little low.
Pokrovsk was originally Ukraine's transportation hub in the Donbas region, connecting several supply lines, and also an administrative center. If it is lost, not only will the supplies be cut off, but it will also have great symbolic significance, which means that the last stronghold in Donbass is gone.
Russian officials released news on October 26 that they had surrounded about 5500 Ukraine soldiers in the direction of Pokrovsk and 5000 in the direction of Kupyansk, totaling more than 10,000. Russian Chief of General Staff Gerasimov said in the report that their troops closed in several directions, blocking Ukraine's retreat and supply channels.
What tactics did the Russian military use? It was mainly the infiltration of small forces, combined with drones and artillery strikes, and the gradual compression of space. For example, in the vicinity of Pokrovsk, the Russian forces advanced from the east and south, occupying some outskirts, such as Rodinsk and Novojkovsk.
Once these points were picked up, the Ukrainian railway was stuck in the neck and the supply fleet could not pass smoothly. The same goes for Kupiansk, the city in eastern Kharkov, which connects Kharkov and Lugansk, and the railway is well developed. The Russian troops stumbled on both sides of the Oslo River to try to regain control of the place that had been recovered by Ukraine in 2022.
Why are the Russians so rushing forward now? because they have grabbed the weaknesses of Ukraine. The Ukrainian forces are scattered in these directions, the newly mobilized soldiers are under-trained, and many people have to face the Russian army's fire net just on the battlefield. Some reports mention that the Ukrainian defence line has gaps, and the Russian troops drill the air, turn around to the side wings or back.
As a result, the position of Ukraine is becoming more passive and the casualties are also increasing. Russian media RT that Putin stressed in his meeting with the commander that it is necessary to provide conditions for the Ukrainian soldiers to surrender and ensure that they safely lay down their weapons. This is not the first time, long in the beginning of the war, during the siege of Mariupol, the Russian military used similar tricks to let thousands of Ukrainian soldiers surrender through the passage, saving hard work.
President Zelensky on October 26 publicly said that it was a Russian lie, that the Ukrainian troops were not surrounded and were still resisting. The Ukrainian General Staff also that the Russian troops tried to break through the line of defense but were repelled and destroyed a lot of Russian military vehicles.
In fact, from the map, the Russian army has indeed advanced a lot, and at the outskirts of the city of Pokrovsk, a small group of troops has already penetrated, and the streets are burning. But to say completely encircled, it's still a little bit. The front is porous, the positions of both sides intertwined, and Ukraine has a channel to deploy and supply, although it's increasingly difficult. Some independent analysts believe that the Russian fire forces have controlled part of the road, but the Ukrainian troops have not yet reached the end of the mountain poverty.
On the surface, it was to reduce the casualties and let the Ukrainian soldiers die in vain. Russian spokesman Peskov said Putin stressed that the surrender should be safeguarded in every way, and even mentioned the problem of having a guardship inside Ukraine, some soldiers want to walk but are hit by their own people from behind. It sounds humane, but in reality it is more of a strategic consideration.
The Russian army surrounded people, so it didn't have to annihilate them all and spend great efforts to fight street fighting. How much price would it have to pay? If you succeed in persuading you to surrender, you will break down the morale of the opponent and save ammunition and manpower. More importantly, this can undermine confidence in Ukraine and make the front line look empty. Historically, the Russian army has used this trick in other battles, and the effect is good. Now the war situation is favorable to Russia. They don't want to fight to the end, but want to accumulate advantages and create psychological pressure in this way.
Moreover, the strategic value of the two places. Pokrovsk is not only a supply hub, but also a key point for the Ukrainian steel industry, and there are coal mines nearby. If the Russian army took it, it would not only interrupt the deep supply of Ukraine, but could also move as a leapboard toward Dnipro. From a political perspective, missing here equals the existence of the Dnipro, the Ukrainian government had moved the administrative center here.
Kupiyansk, the throat of the northeastern line of defense, is the iconic victory of the counter-attack of Ukraine in 2022. If it is now lost, the symbolic strike is bigger, the counter-attack myth is broken. The Russian army does not need to push the entire line, just put hands on these nodes, can make the Ukrainian front shake down.
The Russian army advances slowly but steadily fighting, the cost of casualties is high, but they have soldiers to add. In Ukraine, the defense is stubborn, but the resources are limited, the problem of new soldiers is highlighted. Putin's order is not soft, but elaborate, and wants to get the most results at the least cost.
Ukraine denies the siege and is also in a stable military heart, avoiding panic. Thro the eastern line, the Russian army advanced hundreds of square kilometers, but the defense system of Ukraine has not collapsed. The future, depends on who can not withstand first. If the Russian army really take these points, the battle scene may change; if Ukraine keeps, can delay the time, etc. external aid.
Having said that, both sides have paid a huge price for this war until now. Russia has lost thousands of soldiers and equipment, Ukrainian cities have been destroyed and civilians have been displaced.
Putin's order sounds like a way to survive, but where on the battlefield there are so many choices? Many Ukrainian soldiers prefer not to die, because they know that the fate after surrender is uncertain. Russian media propaganda surrender safety, but the actual cases are not many. Outside Ukraine, more people are also mobilized to the battlefield, but training and equipment are not able to keep up with. The entire conflict, like a sawing battle, who commits the wrong and who loses.
In short, this is not Putin's sudden kindness, but the logic of the battlefield. The Russian army wants to persuade to dismantle the Ukrainian resistance, while the Ukraine stands dead, hoping for a shift. The battle will be delayed, both sides are tired, but can't stop.