As soon as Trump set foot on Japanese soil, before he could have a sip of hot tea, the new Japanese Prime Minister sanae takaichi was eager to offer a "generous gift".
She not only talked about the "greatest ally" during the meeting, but also initially nominated Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize candidate, with one "Abbey spirit", and seven "pro-American cards" in one hand.
This operation was shocked by the outside world, and Foreign Minister Wang Yi immediately called the new Japanese foreign minister Momoi.
Is Goldman Sachs in favour of the United States, or is it in the wrong treasure?
Trump, who’s scared of seven cards?
This seemingly warm summit meeting was actually quite explosive.
Takaichi sanae rushed to see Trump as soon as he took office. As soon as he opened his mouth, he said, "Japan and the United States are the greatest alliance." Is this familiar? It's as familiar as a replica of Shinzo Abe's lines.
She not only mentioned Abe, but also directly tied Abe to Trump."Former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe once firmly supported President Trump, and today I do the same." It sounds like a swearing-in meeting, but it is actually a political declaration.
Even more promising is her set of "seven commitments": implementing tariff agreements, increasing defence budgets, advancing AI and space cooperation, helping the United States build ships, assisting in mining rare land on South Bird Island, cooperating with Trump's energy strategy, and nominating Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize.
It looks like cooperation, but in fact it caters everywhere. In particular, the mining of rare earths in Nanniao Island is like "exporting gas for the United States": China has just announced new rare earth export regulations, and Japan immediately jumps out to "fill the position", which is a tacit cooperation.
Of course, Trump was happy to hear it. He responded on the spot that "Japan-US alliance is unbreakable" and praised Takashi for being "far-sighted and responsible". But the problem is that if you really take this remark seriously, I'm afraid Japan itself will have to empty out its wallet and squish the diplomatic bottom line first.
Behind this "high-profile flattery", it can be said that it is a comprehensive provocation against China.
Not only is the economic level of cooperation with the U.S. sanctions, the establishment of natural reserves in the South China Sea has just ended, and at the ASEAN Summit, China and the Philippines signed an agreement on the mutual provision of materials and labor, allowing the two armies to support each other, seemingly disaster relief exercises, and in practice increase the flexibility of military deployment, paving the way for the United States to stand in the South China Sea.
Trump laughed and Marcos nodded, but the real wrinkler was Beijing.
The Minister of Foreign Affairs called, not “cold,” but “warning.”
Gao City had just "finished its sense of presence" at the ASEAN Summit, and China quickly moved.
On October 25th, during Trump's visit to Japan, Foreign Minister Wang Yi made a special call to Japan's new Foreign Minister Toshimitsu Motegi, and went straight to the point without talking about everyday things.
In the phone, Foreign Minister Wang Yi used a very important phrase: “Sino-Japanese relations must hold the first button.””This metaphor is not only a literary remark, but also a precise warning.
The so-called "first button" refers to the four political documents between China and Japan, and talks about basic principles such as historical issues, Taiwan issues, and peaceful development. Foreign Minister Wang Yi's meaning is very clear. Don't try to talk about so-called cooperation around these prerequisites.
China has also clearly expressed its dissatisfaction with Japan's actions in the South China Sea, the recent actions of President Marcos of the Philippines are frequent, and China and the Philippines continue to have tensions around the South China Sea Reef issue, while the agreement signed at the time by the City of Tokyo does not relent to add fire to the tension.
Foreign Minister Wang Yi's phone call is both a statement and a pressure: don't fish in troubled waters, let alone stab a knife in the back while saying that you attach importance to Sino-Japanese relations.
For Momoi, this call was not easy, and he openly replied that Japan did not intend to disconnect with China, "we attach great importance to the importance of Sino-Japanese relations", which was a very diplomatic statement, but also a soft point.
From a practical point of view, Japan did not immediately escalate the provocation, but the high market's "political nomination" has been sent, and the fee can not be returned.
This time, however, China didn't stay at the verbal level. A series of institutional actions, such as the new rare earth export regulations, the expansion of the South China Sea Nature Reserve, and the establishment of Taiwan Province's Guangfu Day, were all responses around the "bottom line", and the signal released was clear: China was not passively defending, but actively setting lines.
The high-rise market is too loud.
In Japan, the wave of high-market operations did not get applause, and a large number of Japanese netizens directly pointed to its "beautiful slave servant" gesture too much, and even commented that she was "binding Japan to Trump's chariot."
Although these words are harsh, they are very realistic. Although Trump is the current president, he faces extremely high electoral uncertainty in 2028, and no one can predict whether he will continue to be re-elected. However, Gaoshi Zaomiao was "ALL IN" at this time point, appearing to be eager for quick success and lack strategic patience.
What's even worse is that almost all of these seven commitments are "spending money, effort, and resources", but they do not see any return that can bring substantial benefits to Japan.
Assisting the United States in shipbuilding, introducing its AI companies, and cooperating with its energy strategy, where are Japan's local industries? Where is your own technical security and economic autonomy? It's like a dowry, but I'm not engaged yet.
Especially on the issue of rare earths, China's new rare earths regulations are themselves resource protection measures and are not targeted at any country. However, the Gao City government was eager to accuse it, saying that China was "engaging in protectionism under the banner of free trade." This logic was too obvious.
What's even more ironic is that Japan itself is mining rare earths from Minamitori Island and plans to establish a supply chain to replace China, but it opposes China's own formulation of export rules. This is really "what you do yourself, blame others for saying it first".
And the Trump team is not the light of oil savings, they are not unable to see the high market's "rapid profit", but because they see clearly, it is easier to use.
And once the political trend changes in the future, Japan’s “promises” could turn into ineffective checks, damaging the country’s credibility in vain.
The game between China and the United States is inherently complex. If Japan always wants to bet on both sides, it is likely that neither side will please in the end. Especially on highly sensitive issues such as Taiwan and the South China Sea, once you take a wrong step, it will not be as simple as a diplomatic storm.
Sino-Japanese relations, stop choosing sides in anger
In the final analysis, the direction of Sino-Japanese relations should not be influenced by a "Trump meeting."
China's telephone communication is to remind Japan: what you want to do is an Asian power, not the "diplomatic outsourcing" of the United States.Japan, of course, has its own national interests, but if every time you equate that interest with "like the United States", then this game is wrong from the beginning.
From China's perspective, the current response is "reasonable, restrained and powerful." Don't take the initiative to pick trouble, but you're not afraid of confrontation. Instead of shouting slogans, we use systems, regulations, and actions to stabilize the bottom line.
Like this new rare earth regulations, they send a signal not only to Japan, but also to the world: China will no longer wait for others to define the standard of "free trade."
And for Japan, this event should be seen as a mirror. The rise of the high market early, a victory for the Japanese conservatives, but not a victory of diplomatic wisdom. Her pro-American route is not surprising, but so "urgent" statements, but it is questionable whether this is a position or speculation.
In the future Sino-Japanese relations, there may not be too many tender scenes, but there must be a bottom line, principles and trust. If we blindly "choose sides", it will only make the situation in Asia more unstable and make Japan itself passive.
ended
In exchange for Japanese honeymoon with "seven nominations" in exchange, the Chinese side picked up the phone. diplomacy is not a speech competition, much less who shoots loud, who wins.
The basis of China-Japan relations is not who likes the United States more, but whether they can see their position and stand their feet.The future of Asia does not need agent games, but real cooperation wisdom.