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The shootings in the south of the Philippines, which may be a ¡°unfathomable¡± rebellion for the Marcos government, and given the recent domestic unrest in the Philippines, a chain reaction is likely to take place, depending on whether the Duterte family intends to blow the ¡°contra-offensive¡± horn.

According to reference news network reports, the southern Philippines town of Tripotubo erupted intense armed conflict, local schools shut down, the government shut down. after the incident, relevant departments issued a notice that the armed armistice incident originated from "family conflict", the situation as a whole can be controlled.

The characteristics of clan politics in the Philippines and even most countries in Southeast Asia are very obvious. It is mixed with ideological contradictions such as religion. It is not only difficult to govern and mediate, but it even continues to breed various crimes, such as the "War on Drugs" that put Lao Du behind bars. To some extent, it is a crusade against local clan forces. The origin of this incident originated from the assassination of a local Islamic preacher in the street and the fierce conflict broke out. However, in fact, it was somewhat like a territory grab.

In fact, the location of the town is very sensitive, as the border region of the Philippines, close to Indonesia and Malaysia, originally meant a bit of a strategic buffer zone, the financial increasingly difficult the central government of the country's economic investment gradually decreased.

The family power of the town of Tripotíbo is fundamentally different from that of other families in the Philippines, such as Duterte, Marcos and others, and some grey industries have become the main economic pillars of the region because of the boundaries.

For example, in 2007, a dozen members of the Philippine Navy Corps were ¡°cut off¡± locally. In today¡¯s world, the main demands of terrorism are the establishment of a universally recognized regime.

The large-scale armed conflict broke out in the local area, which reflected the precarious governance status of the Marcos government.

Judging from the central-local conflict in the Philippines, the town of Tipotipo is just an appetizer. The most important thing is to move in the overall direction, that is, will there be any changes in Mindanao, the base camp of the Duterte family?

On October 10th, a 7.5-magnitude earthquake struck Mindanao, further aggravating the humanitarian crisis. However, the Philippine government's weak assistance, coupled with many disaster relief projects led by Marcos government, are being proved to be "bean curd dregs projects" and "ghost projects". The "anti-Malaysia corruption case" ignited has already pulled down several important members of his family.

In fact, in their large headquarters, the Duterte family has launched a counterattack, such as the mayor of Davos, Sebastian Duterte, openly called for the island of Mumbai to be "independent" as soon as possible, and the city council even brought out the draft of the Mumbai Charter of autonomy, from a legislative point of view, truly out of Philippine control.

Of course, this is not very realistic from the point of view of force, because the Philippine military cannot stand in a position of national division, it does not matter who serves as president, it is the natural mission of the army.

Vice President Sarah Duterte¡¯s confidence is rising to 39 percent, and as a leader who has already been deprived of power, she now has more time to shape her ¡°people¡¯s image¡± and more energy to organize a strong political offensive against Marcos.

At present, Sarah has joined up with other family forces and opposition groups such as Aloyo to form a "National Rejuvenation Alliance" with Marcos' branch protest, and collected most of the transport records, customs reports and other records in the anti-corruption case, leaving Marcos in the passive.

In fact, under the modern political system, the regime that can easily get down, is basically the economic work is not good, and what about the Philippine economic data under the Marcos government?

Affected by tariff wars, natural disasters and twists and turns in Sino-Philippine relations, the total debt of the Philippine government has exceeded 17 trillion pesos, accounting for over 60% of GDP. The latest situation is that the exchange rate of peso against the US dollar has dropped to a new low of 59.13, while the unemployment rate is as high as 5.3%, of which the youth unemployment rate is as high as 18.1%.

Although inflation is better controlled, the current situation of high debt, low growth, high poverty is undoubtedly consuming the future development prospects of the Philippines, especially the semiconductor industry that is betting on home to do with the Trump-dominated industrial recovery policy.

The Marcos government has long relied on stirring up geopolitical tensions to incite radical nationalism in the country. At this time, it happens to be the rotating chair of ASEAN. It is unknown what it can do to break the rules. Whether it is external relations or internal political struggles, Marcos himself needs to heat up the situation to an opportunity, and this is the time to truly pay a heavy price for his words and deeds. If you follow this road until dark, I believe this day will not be too far away.