In recent days, Russian politics has been very busy, especially on October 23, 2025, when Medvedev threw out on social media, directly labeled the United States as an enemy, and said that victory was based on the battlefield rather than the negotiating table. It turns out that many people thought he was working with Putin, because Putin had previously said that developing a comprehensive relationship with the United States was good for Russia. Medvedev said that he did not take into account the peaceful mediation path that China has been pushing, leaving China's Russia's position on the Ukrainian issue a little embarrassing.

Medvedev, who was still moderate when he was president and prime minister, now sits in the position of deputy chairman of the Federal Security Council and becomes an outspoken vanguard in criticism of the United States. His post is as straightforward as a street chat, saying that if there are people with fantasies about the United States, it should be awakened, the United States is already Russia's enemy, with them signing those agreements is useless, Russia's win is only on the battlefield. This is unlike Putin's speech at the Waldai Annual Conference earlier this month, where Putin emphasizes having a good relationship with the United States in accordance with Russia's interests. In August, Putin also mentioned willingness to go to Alaska to see Trump, in order to ease Russian-American relations.

Trump canceled the meeting on the grounds that Russia refused to stop the ceasefire. He said that in this case, there was no need to meet. This matter has caused a stir in Russia, and many people think Trump is playing Putin. Medvedev and Putin have been partners for many years, but this time he couldn't help but vent directly on the post. After Trump's decision was announced, the Russian media circulated everywhere, and the public reacted strongly. At the same time, the United States announced sanctions against Russia's two major oil companies, which account for half of Russia's oil exports. The European Union also followed suit and launched the 19th round of sanctions against Russia. The United States and Europe followed suit in unison and dealt a considerable blow to the Russian economy. Trump is getting closer and closer to the EU's position on the Russia-Ukraine issue, and Russia is facing unprecedented pressure.

Medvedev's post was issued against this background. He said that the problem can't be solved at the negotiating table, which didn't pay attention to the peaceful mediation advocated by China. China has always said that it will deal with the Russia-Ukraine conflict through dialogue, but Medvedev's tough attitude makes this matter more complicated. Trump also publicly said that China can influence Putin's decision. He plans to talk about this with China at the APEC summit in South Korea on October 30th, when he will definitely put pressure on it. On China's side, space is limited, because Ukraine has handed over its mineral resources to the United States as protection fees, and there is no need for China to get involved. Zelensky's attitude on territorial issues has softened a bit, but it is far from Putin's demands, and the two sides cannot reach an agreement.

Putin is actually a moderate in Russia. He uses his authority to stabilize the situation, otherwise the conflict between Russia and Ukraine would have been in chaos. As the war drags on, there are more and more voices of dissatisfaction in the country, and Putin is under greater pressure. Medvedev's remarks have challenged Putin's line. The divisions within Russia have become more obvious, and the voices of hardliners have become louder. External sanctions have escalated, negotiations between Russia and Ukraine have stalled, and the United States and Europe have joined forces to narrow China's strategic space. China must balance China, Russia and the United States in major-country relations, and must be careful at every step. Medvedev's remarks indicate that Russia's internal turmoil is intensifying and the external environment is worse. China must maintain its determination to maintain its initiative. Trump's policies have ignited nationalist sentiments in Russia and exacerbated the situation. Dissatisfaction is high in Russia, and Putin has to endure pressure to maintain stability. Hardliners have risen, and internal differences have been fully exposed. Sanctions are escalating, the United States and Europe are synchronized, and China's space is narrowed, so relations must be balanced. Medvedev's remarks challenge Putin's line, making China's mediation stance awkward. It is difficult to manage the situation. If the moderates are weak, they may fully switch to the war line, making mediation even more difficult. This conflict is a reflection of the global pattern.

In his post, Medvedev hinted that Trump might approve the delivery of Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine next, saying that Trump is now firmly pursuing the path of war against Russia, which is no different from the Democratic Party in this regard. He emphasized that this was Trump's war, not Biden's. This is different from Putin's response. In a media interview, Putin said that U.S. sanctions are unfriendly, but Russia will not give in to pressure and also warned about the missile issue. Putin's statement left some room for dialogue, while Medvedev directly said that the United States is the enemy and negotiations are useless. After Trump canceled the summit, Medvedev called it a declaration of war against Russia, and Trump was completely on the same side as crazy Europe. But he also said that this has the advantage of being able to use various weapons to hit Ukraine targets without having to worry about negotiations. Putin said the sanctions were severe, but would not allow Russia to cease hostilities. Russia says it is immune to US and European sanctions, mainly targeting energy companies. Medvedev's post called for a tough response to all those hostile to Russia.

China's position in the Russia-Ukraine conflict is neutral and actively promotes peace. China evaluates Russia's position and notes the peace initiatives of China and Brazil. China is not directly involved, but Trump wants to get China to put pressure on Putin. There is only a limit to what China can do. The United States and Europe have inspired Russia's fighting spirit. Trump's policies have not brought peace, but have made things worse. Zelensky's bottom line is far from Putin's demands, and there is a long way to negotiate. China must maintain independence and balance relations in the game. Medvedev did not mention China, but his toughness ignored China's mediation efforts and put China in a difficult position. China's space is becoming increasingly narrow, and every node may be a variable.

Trump said on October 22nd that it was inappropriate to meet Putin and canceled the meeting in Budapest. He said it was pleasant to talk with Putin every time, but now the situation has changed. The next day, the United States sanctioned Russian energy companies, and the European Union followed suit. Medvedev immediately responded, saying that if there are still illusions, wake up, and the United States is the enemy. Putin was interviewed on the 23rd, saying that Russia would never give in and warned the United States. Medvedev posted similar content on Telegram in English and Russian. Russian offensive assessment shows Medvedev's statement on the 23rd. Putin said U.S. sanctions depend on follow-up, especially secondary sanctions against Chinese banks.