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Trump group reunion, two "rescue cards" exposed, can she stabilize Japan?

Trump's two-day visit to Japan has become the most prominent "diplomatic exam" of the new prime minister. The core of this exam is how to find a balance between the U.S. and preserving Japanese interests, both to make Trump satisfied and not to break his own "iron girl" sign. After all, for Japan, Japanese-U.S. relations are the basis of diplomacy, and can not deal with Trump, directly related to her rule.

Right now her hand, there are two "royal cards" on the face, but the cards are not good to beat, you have to see how she came out.

The first, is the "concept resonance card". high market has always shouted to push the Japanese-American alliance to a "new height". this word is beautiful, and also just reached Trump's scratch. she initially proposed in the chip, artificial intelligence these high-tech fields, to be on the side of the United States, when the United States' "accelerated vanguard." this conservative and tough adjustment, is simply made for Trump.

What's more, Japan's initiative to cooperate with the United States at this time and target other countries in Indo-Pacific strategy is simply giving Trump an extra chip when negotiating with others. In this way, Trump naturally couldn't close his mouth from ear to ear. You see, this gives the leadership a reassurance first.

The second, it is a bit meaningful, is the "personality extension card". Everyone knows that the former Prime Minister Abe and Trump that relationship, is the real iron. on the golf course you come to me, hard is to put the national relationship into a private friendship. This Trump visit to Japan, also specifically went to meet Abe's widow, can see this relationship is deep.

And the high market, which she was promoted by Abe, was recognized as the "heir of Abe's line". She also frequently mentioned Abe's help and instruction to her. Trump is the person who eats the most personal feelings of this set. Since he has a good feeling for Abe, that good feeling naturally projected to the high market.

This is not, long before the high market was elected president of the self-government party, Trump praised her as a "great female prime minister". With this "old dating" to the bottom, the high market in front of Trump, the talk of nature is more than a few points of the bottom. but to say back, this "heritage" is also a double-edged sword, used well to help, used bad to become a bond.

However, if you want to really seat the "Iron Lady" chair, it is not enough to rely on pleasure and affection. In front of the high market, there are two mountains, which she can't get around anyway.

The first big mountain, the defense spending. The city government has already achieved the goal of defense spending 2% of GDP for years in advance, but in the eyes of Trump, that is far from enough. To know, the old brother just raised the NATO country’s military spending standard to 3.5% and has said to Japan “long-heartedly”: “Why don’t you rise to 5%?”

For Trump, forcing allies to pay more for military expenses is a good thing: it can both show the domestic people and show themselves to be hard; and it can save “performs” for his re-election. So, in the issue of military expenses, he will not be easy.

The second big mountain lies on the economy. There was a tariff agreement signed between Japan and the United States before, which contained a clause that Japan had to invest $550 billion in the United States by 2029. This money is not small, equivalent to nearly 10% of Japan's GDP! Gao also complained that this agreement was unfair before, but in Trump's eyes, it was all "our money".

He demanded that this investment should come according to the American meaning.It was like you borrowed money to someone else, and as a result, others also touched on how you spent that money.The Japanese businessman wanted to preserve their own interests, but the Americans thought of their own benefits. Both sides were not entirely on the same channel, and the contradiction was obvious.

In the face of these tough problems, the high-city government is not lazy, long enough to do the "work" enough. They not only advance the defense fees, but also initially sent Trump a number of "applications". for example, announcing to buy American Ford pickup, no longer to buy Brazilian soybeans to buy the United States, but also to purchase US LNG.

At the time of the official talks, the high market even put the gesture very low. She cried out to build the "New Golden Age of the Japan-U.S. Alliance", and even suggested Trump to evaluate the Nobel Peace Prize. The horse was taken, and the textbook level. The talks ended, and the two also boarded the aircraft carrier together, which was intimate and turned out to be done to the world.

However, Gao Shi has to grasp this "yardstick" to please Trump very accurately. Her government was originally a minority, with less than half of the seats in Congress. If we make too many concessions to the United States, the opposition party will definitely seize the opportunity to attack fiercely, and no policy will be able to be pushed forward by then.

What's even worse is that Takashi has always regarded itself as a "tough and conservative". If she really becomes Trump's "yes-man" and sends Japan's interests to the outside world, the image she has worked so hard to build as an "Iron Lady" will completely collapse. No, the Japanese people have already run to the Prime Minister's official residence to protest, accusing the government of using tax money to buy weapons and becoming a vassal of the United States. This kind of pressure from the private sector cannot be ignored by Gaoshi.

In the final analysis, the calculation in Takashi Zaomiao's heart is actually "compromise for space." She wants to trade concessions on procurement and investment in exchange for Trump's leadership in defense spending and investment, and not push too hard. At the same time, he used Abe's favor card, coupled with his tough stance towards China, to consolidate the Japan-US alliance while maintaining his "tough personality." She even wants to use the power of the United States to promote Japan's "defense normalization" and cleverly transform the pressure from the United States into her own strategic opportunities.

In this diplomatic game, there may be no "iron girl" in the real sense, only politicians who know how to calculate. In this complex game, the skillful balance between the needs of the United States, the national interests of Japan and the pressure of the domestic people is not only related to her personal political future, but will also profoundly affect the future relations between the United States and Japan and the entire East Asia region.



News raw data sources → https://toutiao.com/group/7566521152781287987/

17WorldNews[2025.10.29-15:10] 访问:46
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