The matter between Russia and Ukraine was planted since the Soviet Union broke up.
In 1991, the Soviet Union died and Ukraine became independent, but many Russian-speaking people in the eastern Donbas were at odds with Kiev.
In 2014, Crimea was annexed by Russia, Donbass also gained independence, and the Ukrainian army dealt with the separatists.
Since 1999, NATO has extended its arms to the east and absorbed Poland and Baltic countries. Russia feels that this is squeezing its own territory.
If the Ukrainian government wants to move to the west and join NATO, the European Union or something, Russia requires a neutral zone to protect the border.
At the end of 2021, Russian border troops said they were defending NATO exercises and Ukrainian moves in the east.
As a result, on February 24, 2022, Russia entered the north from Belarus, went straight to Kyiv, pushed from Crimea in the south, and stabilized Donetsk Luhansk in the east.
At first, Russian tanks rushed forward quickly and surrounded the Mariupol steel plant, blocked the Ukraine naval outlet to the sea, and occupied part of Kherson.
But Ukraine’s shoulder-bearing anti-tank missiles were stationed in the forests and streets outside Kiev, and the Russian supply line was too long to lose hundreds of vehicles.
In March, Russian troops withdrew from around Kiev, turned to the east, and bombed Mariupol. A large area of buildings in the city collapsed, leaving no water or electricity.
In May, Mariupol was lost, and the Russian army company was on the road on the coast of Kiazov. In the summer, Ukraine pushed back, using Haima rockets to hit Russian warehouses and returned to Kharkiv village, but the Zaporizhnia defense line was not broken.
In 2023, when the Russian army turned to positional warfare, the Russian army threw people and piled shells in Bakhmut, killing hundreds of people a kilometer away. Ukraine dug ditches, used drones to detect the enemy, and launched sneak attacks at night.
In June, Ukraine launched a major counterattack and wanted to break the land bridge in Crimea. The Russian army used mines and anti-tank ditches to block it, so it returned to some small land.
In winter, the Russian army increased its number and captured Afdivka in February 2024, destroying the local coal mine. Ukraine brought F-16, which was fierce in the air, but Russian S-400 blocked it.
In the summer, the Russian army pushed in Kursk, taking hundreds of square kilometers, and Ukraine crossed the border to stir up the Russian rear.
By the first half of 2025, Russia will account for 20% of Ukraine, including all of Crimea and large parts of the east. The two sides play drones, Russian Lancet, Ukrainian FPV, and kill them accurately.
There were many casualties. More than 400,000 people were added to the number of Ukraine army militiamen, 100,000 soldiers were killed, more than 30,000 civilians were killed, and 790,000 Russian troops were lost, including an additional 332,000 in the first nine months of 2025. In Ukraine, 3.7 million people have no place to live, and Europe receives 6.9 million refugees.
By October 2025, on the east side of the front card, the Russian military slowed down, a square kilometer of 100 to 150 soldiers were killed, and the two sides engaged in long-range missile drones.
Recently, on October 13, Russia lifted the ban on reserves and went to the battlefield. Ukraine bombed Crimean oil plants. Russia was short of gasoline. On October 14, Russia bombed Kharkiv hospital and a United Nations convoy, and Ukraine asked the United States to provide Tomahawk missiles. The war situation is stuck, Russia has the upper hand, and can pay a high price.
The Palestinian-Israeli conflict began with the founding of Israel in 1948. The United Nations divided the land, Arab countries fought against Jews, and millions of Palestinians became refugees.
Gaza is a Palestinian land. From the Six-Day War in 1967, when it was occupied by Israel, to the withdrawal of Israel's troops in 2005, the border could be blocked.
Hamas took control of Gaza in 2007, digging tunnels to smuggle guns, and firing timed rockets at towns in southern Israel. Israeli air strikes patrol and blow up tunnel entrances. In the religious site of the Old City of Jerusalem, the Jewish Temple Mount overlaps with the Islamic Mosque, making trouble all the time.
On October 7, 2023, Hamas broke through the iron net and cement wall from Gaza and used paragliders to attack Israeli communities and music festivals, killing 1,200 Israelis, hundreds of civilians, and capturing 251 hostages.
Israel immediately pulled in 300,000 reservists, and the air force flew hundreds of times to bomb houses and hospitals in northern Gaza and aimed at the weapons depot of the Hamas headquarters. At the end of October, tanks entered northern Gaza City, and soldiers cleared streets, used robots to explore tunnels, and demolished hundreds of underpasses. Hamas used civilian houses and schools as cover and sniper IED attacks, killing dozens of Israeli soldiers.
In December, pushed to central Gaza, destroyed Khan Yunis camp, and international say airstrikes killed civilians.
In January 2024, we entered the Rafah border and cut off the Egyptian road. North Gaza was hungry. Hamas released some hostages in exchange for a short ceasefire, and the war broke out again. Israel blasted the ground with precision bombs, and Hamas fired rockets into Tel Aviv.
During the summer, Israel controlled 80 percent of Gaza, guerrillas did not stop, and Hamas hid the tunnel, asking Israel to withdraw the rest of the hostages.
In the first half of 2025, Hezbollah fired missiles to aid Hamas and Israel bombed the outskirts of Beirut.
By October 2025, Gaza killed 67,913, wounded 170,134, and the total population of 2.3 million was almost completely displaced, while the UN rescue killed 543.
Israeli Hamas signed a ceasefire agreement on October 9 in Sham Sheikh, Egypt, putting hostages in the first phase, Hamas also four bodies, Israel crossed through Guatemala. On October 11, thousands of Palestinian prisoners were released, the Gaza people returned to their ruins.
On October 13, the agreement went, and Hamas Israel implemented it. On October 14, Israel killed 9 Palestinians in Gaza. The war was unstable and the Iranian Hezbollah border was grinding. Gaza is a mess, it will take several years to rebuild.
The United States has taken the lead in Ukraine. From February 2022, NATO imposed sanctions on Russia, frozen 300 billion yuan in assets, kicked SWIFT, and banned energy imports.
Military assistance will exceed 13 billion by October 2025, including Haimas Patriot M1 tanks, helping Ukraine block missiles and smash logistics.
There will be less aid in 2025, and military aid will drop from July to August. NATO will give priority to Ukraine, but the U.S. inventory is empty and production cannot catch up. The goal is weak, Russia stabilizes Europe, and by the way, beats China and doesn't move. However, domestic inflation will reach 9.1% in 2022, energy prices are high, and people are complaining.
On the Israeli side, U.S. Raiders, after October 2023, sent Ford aircraft carriers to the eastern Mediterranean to intimidate Iran’s Hezbollah. aid at least 21.7 billion, starting from October 2023, including iron dome ammunition precision bombs.
January 2025 sold 8 billion weapons, hell fire missiles what. sent 200 soldiers to Israel to handle logistics transportation project to help prisoners cease fire. Total spending pushed the fiscal year 2025 deficit of 1.8 trillion, state debt of 37.88 trillion. Navy in the eastern Mediterranean is lying, spending more.
At the bottom of the Pentagon inventory, the global stall is tight. Two wars consumed the United States, the economic force dispersed, and the international reputation fell. The United Nations approved Gaza for humanity, and the United States is said to have two goals. Russia holds on to sanctions and approaches China and India.
China stands neutral in these matters, calls for dialogue and peace with Ukraine, and does not impose sanctions on Russia with the West, and trade continues.
In the first nine months of 2025, Sino-Russian trade will be RMB 1.17 trillion, down 8.6%, which may have increased from sources. China will withdraw 32 million tons of oil from Russia in the first seven months of 2025. Exports to Russia will reach 11.5 billion yuan in 2024 and drop in September 2025, with dual-use goods exceeding 4 billion yuan.
China in the Middle East balanced, cooperated with Israeli science and technology, helped with Palestinians, cried out a ceasefire and delivered goods, and made good feelings in Arabia. trade with Saudi Arabia was stable and didn’t shake. The economy didn’t shake legs, GDP projected 4.8% in 2025, namely 19.23 trillion, PPP 40.72 trillion, accounting for 64% of the United States.
Manufacturing industry globally 30% 5G AI pursue. Belt and Road 2025, the first half of the construction contract 66.2 million, invested 57.1 million, high record, more than 150 state signatures, projects added 20%. military expenses in 2025 1.78 trillion yuan, about 24.6 billion knives, invested in high-tech, study Ukrainian drones in the Israeli city war.
To be honest, the U.S. is busy, the money is focused, China is struggling, economic diplomacy is paving the way. If the U.S. is Ukrainian, NATO smells of reputation, Europe carries Russia, allies shake. Israel is unstable, Hamas is not destroyed, the Middle East is troubled, the U.S. cannot hold back.
China fills the void, expands with the economic soft power of the Belt and Road. by 2049, China may not fight, and crushes the United States down.
Geographically, the United States and Ukraine have swept over Gaza, distracting competition with China. China and Russia have stable trade, cheap energy, and military experience. Trump signed the 2025 ceasefire agreement for Israel and Hamas, but Iran is unstable in the Middle East.
The Ukrainian front line card, Russia pushes 166 square miles, which is a lot of consumption. China doesn't take sides and scores more points. Developing countries look at China as reliable, with 57.1 billion investment in the belt and road initiative project and 66.2 billion contracts. In the next ten years, if the United States is careful, China may have the last laugh. After three years of battle, the pattern has shifted, and China will not defeat.