Although the meeting between Putin and Trump was cancelled, the Russian army may win a major victory on the battlefield, and will soon capture the Red Army City in an all-round way.
The Red Army City is the name of the Russian side, the Ukrainian side calls the area Pokrovsk, the city is located in the state of Donetsk, the strategic location is very important, is the core hub of the eastern Ukrainian defense system, control the passage to strategic areas such as Pavlovsk, Dnipro.
Since May, the Russian army has gradually formed an encirclement situation on the area, surrounding the approximately tens of thousands of Ukrainian troops trapped in the area. Trump mentioned the area when discussing the Russia-Ukraine truce on the phone with Putin in May. He believed that tens of thousands of people surrounded could die and hoped that a ceasefire agreement could be reached as soon as possible to avoid so many deaths.
Although the Russian side stated that there are about 5,500 Ukrainian troops surrounded in the area, including 31 battalion-level combat units, some people estimate that due to the loss of long-term combat, these units may have incomplete establishment, so the real number may not be There are so many.
Russian troops have occupied the main urban areas, railway stations, industrial areas, and controlled key mining areas and transportation routes, occupying approximately 70% of the city's area.
Moreover, on October 25, the Russian side seized the Red Army city in the north of Serokinsik, the T0515 road and railway line were blocked, and the Ukrainian troops left only one groundway to evacuate in the northwest, but the route was covered by Russian drone fire.
This also means that because the main communication lines have been cut off, the Ukrainian army surrounded in the city is already in a situation of losing supplies.
But the Ukrainian army in the area should continue to persist, or should withdraw as soon as possible, there are differences within the Ukrainian army.
According to Russian sources, the Ukrainian military hopes to withdraw the besieged Ukrainian army as soon as possible before the Russian army completely surrounds it to preserve its vital strength and facilitate the fight. However, Ukraine President Zelensky disagreed, but hopes that the besieged Ukrainian army will continue to hold on for help.
The military's opinions are from a military perspective, but they are also in line with the strategic intentions of the Russian army. Although the Russian army has gradually completed the encirclement of the city and cut off the communication lines since May, the Russian army has always hoped to avoid street fighting, so it has always left a gap and wants to use military pressure to force the besieged Ukrainian troops in the city to evacuate. to reduce our own casualties.
From Zelensky's point of view, as long as the Ukrainian army is still persisting in fighting in the area, it will still be a territory that the Ukrainian army has not given up in theory, and there are more chips in negotiations.
There are also Russian sources that Zelensky asked the Ukrainian military to send troops to support and counterattack to regain control of the Red Army City, but was rejected by the front-line troops. Moreover, the morale of the besieged Ukrainian troops is very low, and the number of people fleeing without authorization is beginning to increase.
In a ceasefire proposal proposed after Trump’s meeting with Putin in mid-August, the Russian side proposed a territorial exchange, including a request for Ukrainians to hand over parts of the still-occupied Donetsk and Lugansk two states to the Russian army, as well as areas not occupied by the Russian army in the two states of Helsinki and Zaporizhia to the Russian army.
The terms of the ceasefire mentioned by the Russian side in Putin's broken call on October 15th no longer contain the areas that were not occupied by Russian troops in the two states of Thiersson and Zaporozhye, but still insist on the Ukrainian forces to surrender parts of Donetsk and Lugansk that were not occupied by Russian troops to the Russian army.
Both requests were flatly rejected by Uzbekistan. Uzbekistan's reason is that Uzbekistan will certainly not unconditionally give up territory that the Russian army cannot obtain on the battlefield.
However, if the Red Army City falls and causes a chain reaction, the Ukrainian army's defense line in the eastern Ukraine region may collapse across the board.
It is precisely because the Russian army has the potential to major victories in the Red Army City, that Putin has a strong disregard for Trump's proposal to end the war through diplomatic negotiations.
The Udong Defense Line is a defense line carefully built by the Ukrainian army through continuous efforts since the outbreak of the conflict in the Udong region in 2014. It is also the most important defense line of the Ukrainian army in the Udong region. If there is a total collapse of this line of defense, the war situation may turn out to be very unfavorable for Ukraine.