Although Europe and the United States advocate a ceasefire, the Russia-Ukraine conflict continues to be stalemate.

Russian President Vladimir Putin visited the Special Military Operations Command. General Chief of Staff Grazimov that the Russian army successfully surrounded more than 10,000 Ukrainian soldiers in the Donetsk city of the Red Army and in the direction of Kharkov-Kupyansk.

Meanwhile, the Russian nuclear-powered cruise missile "Haiyan" tested successfully, flying 14,000 kilometers, shaking off the Western missile defense system.

Ukraine President Zelensky bluntly said that the situation in Red Army City was difficult and that logistical support had almost collapsed. However, the ceasefire initiative promoted by the United States has been flatly rejected by Russia. What does Russia really want?

The Red Army City (known as Pokrovsk in Ukraine) is a strategic location in the Donetsk region. As an important hub connecting the Ukrainian army's logistics supply line, its gains and losses directly affect the war situation in Ukraine and East China.

Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces Sergei Glazimov to Putin that the Russian Central Army District forces had completed a joint siege of the Russian army's 31 camps and about 5,500 men in the Red Army City and the surrounding region of Timitlov.

In the same period, another 5,000 Ukrainian soldiers were trapped in the direction of Kharkov, Kupiyansk, and a total of more than 10,000 soldiers faced with supply cuts.

Russian assailants controlled the port of the Ukrainian army crossing the Oslo River, cut off logistical passages, aggravating the situation of the Ukrainian military.

Zelensky publicly acknowledged that the fighting in the Red Army City and its surroundings was unusually intense, that the inner streets of the city were fierce, and that there were even activities of destruction and reconnaissance groups.

The Ukrainian soldiers were degraded in morale, partly with a group of no more than 10 men, and the Red Army City was not only a military base, but also the heart of Ukraine's defense system in Donetsk.

In the past, it was the logistical center of the Ukrainian-Donetsk armed confrontation between 2014 and 2022, and now the Russian forces control about 60 percent of the city¡¯s area, the Rohingya and southern railway areas in the northeast have fallen into Russian hands, and the Ukrainian defense line is at risk.

The turning point in the war situation was not instantaneous, and in August 2024, the Ukrainian army launched the Battle of Kursk, trying to contain the Russian army, but resulted in the dispersion of the troops.

The Russian army took the opportunity to accelerate its advance towards the Red Army City and invaded the nearby village of Shevchenko in December last year. However, due to the tenacious resistance of the Ukrainian army, progress slowed down for a time.

In March this year, the Russian military adjusted its strategy to slowly infiltrate other regions of Donetsk, and in July the Russian army began to infiltrate the city from the southeastern direction of the Red Army, achieving a single-day breakthrough of 15 kilometers in August, causing panic in the Ukrainian command.

In September, the Russian army occupied the new economic town, and street fighting was in full swing, gradually taking the initiative in the battle.

The Russian army also made significant progress on other fronts, in the direction of Red Riemann, and the village of Ampol was about to be fully controlled; more than 70 percent of the area of the city of Volchansk in the state of Kharkov had already fallen into the hands of the Russian army.

The Russian military has greatly weakened the Ukrainian military¡¯s mobility by cutting off crucial nodes such as ferries and railways.

In contrast, due to a serious shortage of infantry, the Ukrainian army's defense lines have been frequently breached, and it has to rely on drones and robotic equipment to perform tasks such as machine gun deployment and material transportation, highlighting the dilemma of manpower exhaustion.

Outside the battlefield, Russia has demonstrated impressive strength in the field of technology.

On October 21, the Russian side successfully tested the "Haiyan" nuclear-powered cruise missile, flew a distance of 14,000 kilometers, took about 15 hours, completed all designated maneuvering tasks, and successfully avoided the interception of the anti-missile system.

Putin claimed that this missile is unique in the world. It is driven by a miniature nuclear reactor and theoretically has "unlimited range". It is 10 meters long and weighs 6 tons. It can carry nuclear warheads and can attack targets at low altitudes in multiple directions. The existing air defense system is difficult to cope with it.

Since the Haiyan missile was first made public in 2018, it has been positioned by Russia as an "doomsday weapon."

Military expert Dmitry Kornev pointed out that it can patrol potential conflict areas indefinitely and hit targets with unpredictable trajectories after receiving orders. It can be called a "second strike" weapon.

U.S. test results were to Russia, intended to demonstrate strategic deterrence, former U.S. officer Stanislaw Krapivnik warned that "Haiyan" will subvert the deployment plans of the U.S. "Golden Dome" missile defense system.¡£

Currently, the US radar only targets fixed ballistic trajectories, while the low-altitude orbital change characteristics of Haiyan require the defense system to cover the entire territory, which is costly and difficult to achieve until at least 2030.

In the face of the emergence of the battlefield in Ukraine, U.S. President Trump proposed a "front-line ceasefire" scheme, suggesting that Russia divide control of Donbass according to the current front and withdraw its respective troops.

This means that most of Donbass will be controlled by Russia. Zelensky initially refused on the grounds of "territorial sensitivity", but then softened his attitude and expressed his acceptance of negotiations based on the existing front, calling this "the only acceptable compromise".

He also called on European countries to temporarily lend the Patriot air defense system to make up for the gap in U.S. weapons aid to Ukraine.

However, Russia clearly rejected the ceasefire proposal. When inspecting the command headquarters, Putin instructed the Russian army to continue to advance special military operations, emphasizing that the time limit for the operation depends on military needs.

Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov said the Ukrainian call for a ceasefire was a ¡°delay tactic¡± and the territorial issue was being discussed in the Russian framework.

Trump then canceled the original US-Russian leaders' meeting plan, saying that the current timing was not suitable for negotiations and postponed it to "some time in the future".

Meanwhile, the United States on October 22 announced sanctions on two major Russian oil companies in an attempt to press for a ceasefire.

Putin responded that the impact of sanctions on Russia's economy is limited, but it may push up global oil prices, making western countries "suffer their own consequences. Trump only said" wait and see ", and the confrontation between the two sides in the diplomatic and economic fields has further intensified.

Ukraine's battlefield disadvantage is inseparable from its shortage of resources. Russian reports show that foreign mercenaries account for as much as 60% of the Ukrainian army in the direction of Konstantinovka in Donetsk, and local soldiers are "almost exhausted."

In order to make up for the lack of manpower, the Ukrainian army uses a large number of drones and remote control platforms to undertake tasks from firepower deployment to evacuation of the wounded.

According to data from the Kiel Institute for World Economics in Germany, from July to August 2025, the average monthly military aid received by Ukraine dropped by 43% compared with the first half of the year, and military aid from European countries dropped sharply by 57%.

The delivery cycle of new arms purchases is long, and it is difficult to alleviate the shortage of Ukrainian military equipment in the short term.

Zelensky recently called on Europe to borrow Patriot air defense systems, but France, Italy and other countries have explicitly refused to participate in the US-EU joint aid program.

The U.S. promise to provide the "war ax" missiles failed, Germany was asked to double the purchase of air defense systems, and the cost of transferring Ukraine to Europe became increasingly evident.

Zelensky admitted frankly that the Russian army used 1,200 drones, 1,360 guided bombs and more than 50 missiles in a week. The overwhelming advantage in firepower made it difficult for the Ukrainian army to defend against it.

The siege of the Red Army City marked a strategic breakthrough for the Russian army in eastern Ukraine, and the test launch of the "Haiyan" missile added chips to Russia in the global game.

Under the multiple pressures of troops, logistics and international assistance, Ukraine's defense system is on the verge of collapse. Although Trump's ceasefire initiative provides breathing space for Ukraine, it is difficult to shake Russia's battlefield initiative.

The Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces said 31 Ukrainian camps were surrounded in the direction of the Red Army City.

Putin's bottom line: the United States cannot stop the "Haiyan", the Ukrainian army cannot guard the "City of the Red Army"