Source: People's Evening News
Wen| Haishangke
The Democratic governor of California, Newton, confirmed in an interview with Columbia Broadcasting Company (CBS) on October 23 local time that he is considering participating in the 2028 U.S. presidential election and plans to make a decision after the end of the midterm election in 2026.
Newton Map: Information
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Newsom is preparing to participate in the 2028 U.S. presidential election. But the problem is that the current U.S. government has only been in operation for less than a year! Mid-term elections will not be held until next year.
Is it too early to announce that he is preparing to run for president of the United States?
According to past cases, few people stand out before the mid-term elections. In addition to the last term, during Biden's presidency, Trump was very unconvinced because he thought he had not failed in the 2020 US presidential election, and immediately announced that he would compete for the Republican presidential candidate in the 2024 US presidential election. Even so, Trump went through the procedure of the Republican National Convention before running for president.
No matter how Newsom claims to run for president of the United States, he is also elected by the Democratic Party. In other words, he has to wait for the Democratic National Convention and other occasions to formally announce his candidacy after the mid-term elections.
However, it seems that within the Democratic Party, there is already a bit of a "don't say that you go early, but you come early." Harris, the Vice President of the United States during Biden's period and who replaced Biden temporarily and halfway in the 2024 election campaign, has also announced that he is preparing to re-elect the United States president.
Newton (left), Harris Map: information
That is to say, if Newton wants to run for President of the United States, he will most likely compete with some people in the Democratic Party, including Harris, before he will be able to compete with Republican presidential candidates. And since Trump has served twice as President of the United States, and by 2028 he is over eighty years old, the Republican presidential candidate at the time should not be Trump.
Unless Trump uses special means. In theory, it would be like starting a war and continuing to serve as a president in the name of a wartime president-such as the current case of Ukraine President Zelensky.
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Uncle Hay personally feels that in fact, Newton does not necessarily want to confront Trump!
After all, this year, when Trump came to power again, he has done a lot against California and Newsom. For example, after the wildfire broke out in California earlier this year, Trump visited California and publicly accused Newsom.
Afterwards, Trump targeted various states where Democrats served as governors, with California the first.
Today, Trump’s move of the Federal National Guard into states where some Democrats serve as governors has become a norm. It also shows that the contradiction between Trump, Republicans and Democrats is growing!
Anyway, this kind of behavior, which is completely unconstitutional in the eyes of some Democrats, first appeared when Trump targeted California.
On June 12 this year, a judge of the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California ruled that U.S. President Trump's previous move of the California National Guard to Los Angeles was illegal, and Trump must return the command of these troops to California Governor Newsom.
But in October, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit ruled that President Trump could send the National Guard to Portland.
In just a few months, almost the same behavior, but different verdicts.This, of course, caused Newson greater dissatisfaction, and also obscured the determination to run for the president of the United States.
On June 12th, US President Trump signed a resolution at the White House in Washington. U.S. President Trump signed a resolution at the White House on the 12th to prevent California from taking the lead in implementing a plan in the United States to ban the sale of new fuel vehicles by 2035. Photo: Xinhua News Agency
The problem is that the Republican who competes with him is probably not Trump.
Newsom looks young and healthy, but in fact he was born in 1967 and will be 61 years old by 2028. Although he still looks much younger than Biden and Trump when they ran for president of the United States for the first time. But by then, if the Republican Party introduces Vance, the current vice president of the United States and the "post-80s generation", Newsom's "handsome niche" personality may not win much!
Besides, after four years of experience as vice president, Vance's ruling experience, abilities, etc. may not be inferior to Newsom's "local faction"!
Of course, although Harris in the Democratic Party didn't have much political capital at first, he actually gained a lot of popularity after Biden's reign, especially Biden himself's touting. Whether Newsom can defeat Harris in the party in advance is doubtful. What's more, after next year's mid-term elections, maybe the situation will change!
In short, Newsom is currently announcing his candidacy for President of the United States in 2028. Even if he is not officially announcing his candidacy, he does seem to reveal his goal too early!
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Whether the United States needs Newsom, or whether Newsom is suitable for American politics, actually depends on the domestic "rules of the game" in the United States to determine whether he is president, and then it can be confirmed.
Some media and analysts said that in the United States, both Republicans and Democrats have formed a strategic consensus on China.
It has also been analysed that from 2008 as mayor of San Francisco to later as governor of California, Newton was generally friendly to China.
In the view of Mr. Hai, the above analysis has a certain reason, but in the future, we will do well in the case of as much as possible to handle Sino-U.S. relations, for the United States, there is a certain plan!
Hope Newsom the best of luck!