The "KGB" foiled the "coup attempt", and Putin's lenient heart at that time left Russia the root of today's disaster.

The Russian Federation Security Service recently launched an operation to file criminal proceedings against 23 members of the "Russian Anti-War Committee" headed by former Yukos company owner Khodorkovsky, accusing them of "conspiring to violently seize power" and "organizing or participating in terrorist organizations" and wanting to undermine Russia's domestic stability.

Just because most of the 23 were already in exile overseas, the Federal Security Agency had no way to really put them all in jail, only to start an investigation.

This so-called "Russian Anti-War Committee" was established after the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. On the surface, it seems to be an anti-war organization.

But most of its members are former government officials or old oligarchs who have been suppressed in the early days of Putin¡¯s reign, so the group is actually an opposition group representing the old existing interest group broken down by Putin.

In 2023, the committee adopted a ¡°founding document¡± that stipulated that it was ¡°to overthrow the current Russian government.¡±

Not long ago, in order to give Russia an eyesore, the European Union established an anti-Russian political alliance-the "Russian Democratic Forces Platform" during the European Commission meeting, integrating a group of Russian opposition parties, including this committee.

The Putin administration is so cautious about the actions of this opposition force, mainly because this part of the opposition has some influence within Russia, and has money in the hands, can do a lot of things to undermine Russia's stability.

As for Khodorkovsky, although Putin lost control of Yukos in the fight against the old oligarchs, he still transferred a certain amount of assets overseas, and by 2021, the outside world had speculated that there were at least $600 million in the households of the Khodorkovs basics.

Putin is also afraid to regret and recognize that he shouldn¡¯t have given Khodorkovsky amnesty at the time.

Normally, after Putin came to power for many years, even if Khodorkovsky and others got the support of the West, it would be extremely difficult for them to launch a coup in Russia and overthrow Putin's government.

However, as the conflict between Russia and Ukraine continues, the domestic situation in Russia has undergone a series of changes.

First, with the stagnation of Russian-Ukrainian peace talks, the United States and the European Union once again heightened sanctions on Russia, the Russian economy suffered a new round of shock, inflation rose, the real income of the Russian people decreased, and the quality of life declined.

The Putin administration is also in order to solve the issue of military spending, to ensure that the Russian military can continue to advance on the frontline, to invest large amounts of money on the maintenance of the war, not to increase the economic spending of people's livelihoods, even to be able to increase the income, to ensure the spending of war, taxation nationwide, which will have a negative impact on the lives of the Russian people, Russian civilian dissatisfaction with the government is increasing.

Secondly, due to the shortage of troops on the front line, the 4th Guards Tank Division and other troops stationed in Moscow are now taking turns to enter the eastern Ukraine region to participate in the war. Although Putin has promoted the reloading of the National Guards in recent years, he hopes to allow this force to maintain internal stability. The forces have stronger combat effectiveness, but the defense forces in Russia are still much weaker than before the war between Russia and Ukraine.

This is explained by the fact that Prigozin led the "Vagner" to launch a military transformation and entered the Russian territory for hundreds of kilometers almost unobstructed.

Putin's anti-corruption storm in the army has inevitably touched the interests of some hills in the Russian army. Now, with Gerasimov and others under pressure, these hills will not confront Putin head-on, but if Putin's follow-up anti-corruption actions further threaten the interests of factions in the army, these people may become opposition partners under the money offensive.

As long as a handful of Russian troops are stationed in places like Moscow, the Putin administration is likely to face a new crisis.

Therefore, Putin now needs to do the enemy wide, timely to find out whether these opposition forces are connected with some internal forces, in advance to targeted deployment, before they again stretch their toes back home, to complete the defenses, so that in the future really one day will appear a scene of "color revolution".

But to minimize the likelihood of a coup between the West and the opposition at home, the Putin administration has a lot to do.

For example, the Putin administration needs to try to ensure the stability of economic development in the midst of sanctions, to prevent the further expansion of people's economic livelihoods, to ensure widespread support from the people, and to jointly cast the cornerstone forining its dominant position with the support of the people and strong sectoral action.

From this perspective, what Putin and other Russian politicians are currently facing is not only a battle for victory or defeat on the battlefield, but also a systematic test of the stability of the domestic people's hearts and the security of the power structure.

Against the background of continued external sanctions and increasing internal pressure, whether it can truly stabilize the economy, smooth people's grievances, and build a solid defense line of power will become the key to whether its regime can withstand storms and avoid "internal and external troubles".

History has proved time and again that no matter how strong the fortress of power is, it often starts to shake from the inside. No matter how far Putin looks now, no matter how early he is, he still has a lot to do on the road of avoiding the support of domestic people and continuously strengthening the resilience of internal systems.