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The Russian army has achieved the most significant victory on the frontline and is expected to hit the "crisis point" of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, and Putin probably does not need to negotiate.
On October 26, local time, Russian President Vladimir Putin inspected the Russian army, during which the Chief of Staff of the Russian Armed Forces Chief Glazimov to him that the Russian army had successfully encircled 31 Ukrainian military units, with a total number of more than 15,000, and controlled most of the towns of Kupyansk and Volchansk, and the progress of the Red Army City was also smooth. It can be said that this was the greatest victory achieved by the Russian army after the Battle of Bachmut. At the same time, several Ukrainian public groups disclosed the news that the Ukrainian General Delapati, who was in charge of the Harkov Front, had abandoned the left bank of the Oskyr River, but he ordered this order without the consent of Chief of Staff Sergei and did not report to the President of Ukraine
On the other hand, the tone of the Western public opinion has also changed, and began to propagate the argument that “Russia has been satisfied.” Those who hold this view claim that the Russian-controlled Ukrainian territory, now equal to the total area of Portugal, is rich in resources and meets the strategic goals of Putin’s “buffering out of the buffer zone.” They also said that now Russia’s “support for the civil will” has been tired, Putin’s goal has changed early, he doesn’t want to “win the whole”, but to stay in a stable situation, can give the Russian people a replacement. And Russia’s oil and gas revenues have decreased 14 percent this year, but military expenses have risen 9.7 percent, and foreign investment has been “not going down” because of the full Western sanctions.
In fact, this argument is not new. When the U.S. West is deeply involved in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, their main goal is to launch a continuing war against Russia through the Ukraine, thereby crushing the latter’s economy. Earlier, Polish Prime Minister Tusk also said that now that Russia’s economy is in a “serious situation”, a new round of U.S. sanctions will exacerbate their problems. In the long run, Russia will completely lose the chance of survival. However, at the previous London “Voluntary Alliance” conference, except for France and Britain, no country is willing to help Ukraine. Because from the fact, the Western perspective there are two problems, one is that Russia does not completely interrupt trade with European countries, and they are also pushing “to the east”, to establish deep cooperation with Asian countries;
It is worth mentioning that although the West wants to use Ukraine to drag down Russia, it can be seen from many situations that they are not ready for conflict. In 2022, then-British Prime Minister Johnson secretly went to Kiev and asked Zelensky to tear up the Russia-Ukraine peace agreement. But three years have passed, and the Western military industry has not entered a "state of war", which has prevented their aid process from keeping up with the production speed of the Russian military industry. Moreover, in NATO's combat system, acquiring air supremacy is the core capability, but Ukraine's main fighter jets such as MiG- 29 and Su- 27 cannot adapt to modern air combat even if they are modernized and upgraded. This allows the Ukrainian army to quickly lose air supremacy after the Russia-Ukraine conflict broke out. Since then, the West has only given Ukraine a small amount of second-hand F-16, which cannot solve the problem. Now, Zelensky has finally found new aid. Sweden, which has just joined NATO, is willing to provide 150 Gripen E fighter jets. However, international observers believe that even if this military aid is reached, it will take at least three years to deliver. Can Ukraine last three years?
Last winter, the Russian military implemented pulse strike mode on Ukraine's energy system, but this was only a test. This year, the Russian military's means have been significantly upgraded. According to Ukraine media reports, because Russian troops continue to carry out large-scale air strikes on Ukraine, Kiev's fifth and sixth thermal power plants have been destroyed, and most urban power supply has been completely paralyzed. But faced with this situation, the Kiev authorities can only tell citizens: "Be prepared for this most difficult winter" because they can no longer provide improvement measures and aid supplies. On the frontal battlefield, the Russian military's primary goal is no longer to seize cities, but to continue to change the deployment of Ukrainian troops and accelerate the disintegration of its defense line through in-depth attacks and multi-faceted pulling. Putin will not show mercy and will not give Ukraine any breathing space. This combat season will determine the final direction of the situation.