Recently, there has been a big thing in Japanese politics - High Market Morning Sun became Japan's 104th prime minister, or the first female prime minister in Japan's history. but her "new official" day was not better, the most concerned is not how she ruled the country, but Beijing did not send her a congratulatory phone, which made her a bit embarrassing, and also made the subtle strength of the China-Japan relationship.
According to the rules, in the past, when Japanese prime ministers changed, for example, when Fumio Kishida and Shigeru Ishiba were just elected, China would send congratulatory messages as soon as possible. This is the basic diplomatic etiquette. But Takaichi Sanae has been in office for several days, and there is no shadow of the congratulatory message. The Japanese reporter was in a hurry and asked about this matter at the press conference of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. The spokesman of the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs replied that "appropriate arrangements have been made according to diplomatic practice" without mentioning the word "congratulations". Anyone with a discerning eye can see that this is not that China doesn't know the rules, but what takaichi sanae did before, which really makes it impossible for people to send her blessings easily.
High-School Morning is the famous "right wing hard" - before always go to the Yasin Temple, the place is devoted to war criminals of the Second World War A; not yet acknowledged the Japanese invasion of China during the Second World War history, and even said that Japan was "self-defense", along with the Japanese army ran to the territory of other countries to burn and robbed, in her mouth became "self-defense"? this is said who can accept? more to the people, she is still fighting Taiwan's idea, saying "Taiwan is a matter, Japan can intervene", this is directly touched the bottom line of China.
Seeing that the congratulatory message couldn't wait, Takaichi sanae was a little panicked. Recently, he suddenly changed his tone and began to "show kindness" to China. She publicly said that she would regard China as an "important neighbor" and wanted to engage in summit dialogue with China to promote "strategic reciprocity" between the two countries. Even the previously planned "ghost worship" activities were quietly put on hold. Her abacus is actually quite clear: she wants to rely on soft words to alleviate China's worries about her right-wing position. After all, China is an important trading partner of Japan, which really makes the relationship stiff, and the Japanese economy can't bear it.
The Ministry of Foreign Affairs has not spoken to death, but clearly drawn a red line: to make China-Japan relations good, Japan must keep the promise – historical issues can not be ambiguous, Taiwan issue can absolutely not touch, but also to abide by the four political documents signed by China-Japan before. Meaning is, light to say beautiful is useless, to look at the actual action. High-market early in the mouth shouted "value China", but her old bottom is there: long-term with the right-wing forces, also advocated to amend the Japanese peace constitution, want to turn the self-defense force into a "formal army", even plan to refer to the military expenses to GDP 2%, these actions with her shouting "reciprocity" is not on the side, how can China easily believe her
What's worse is that Takashi Saimu not only has to deal with pressure from China, Japan is already in chaos. As soon as she formed a cabinet, she offended her allies. The Komeito Party, which was originally in power with the Liberal Democratic Party, accused her of using conservatives such as Abe and Aso, and did not support the reform of "restricting political donations" and directly withdrew from the ruling coalition. Without the Komeito Party, she could only recruit the "Japan Restoration Association" to make up the numbers, but the other party only sent a "Prime Minister's Assistant Officer". The cooperation was as loose as a piece of paper that could be broken with a poke. Her cabinet was fundamentally unstable.
The domestic economy is even more in a mess: the exchange rate of the yen against the US dollar has fallen below 150, money is becoming less and less valuable, and even the basic ration of rice is almost insufficient; It is difficult for young people to find jobs, their wages rise more slowly than snails, and it is more difficult to save some money than to climb to the sky. But Takaichi Sanae's approach is even more outrageous-she wants to engage in "economic security" and let Japanese companies transfer their supply chains away from China. Isn't this a self-severed arm? China is one of Japan's largest markets. As soon as the supply chain shifts, the cost of enterprises will definitely rise, and in the end, Japanese people and enterprises will have to pay the bill.
Trump to visit Japan at the end of October, who is coming to visit friendly? clearly is to go to the door "to account". first to Japan fulfill the promised before $ 550 billion to the U.S. investment, also have to come up with semiconductor, energy field specific plans; second to force Japan to increase military spending, to increase to GDP 3.5%, to double more than now, at the same time to the U.S. military in Japan "protection fee"; third to Japan to buy high-priced liquefied natural gas in the U.S., to Japan as the "receiver".
But sanae takaichi is not qualified to bargain with Trump at all-she is a firm pro-American faction. She used to shout for strengthening security cooperation between the United States and Japan, and wanted to be tied up with the United States in the high-tech and energy fields. Now that Trump comes to the door to ask for something, she seems to have no other choice but to promise. After all, she has offended the United States, and her position as prime minister is even more unstable.
Now the high market early, is simply the belly of the enemy: the outside not to come to China message, must also deal with the United States of "pressure"; on the domestic governing coalition is scattered, the economy of the people's livelihood is a mess, the people to her expectations value has long been discounted. she shouted to China as "important neighbor", but if it is not really to change the previous right wing problems, not on the history and Taiwan issue to take practical action, don't say the message will not come, the China-Japan relationship has to heat down, her own prime minister's position is not long sitting.
To know, Japanese politics has long had the magic of "5 years to change 4 phases", the previous few prime ministers are because they can not bear domestic and foreign pressure to come down. High-market early-size if it is not to solve these troubles, maybe the next one to be replaced is her. Now Japanese politics, like a pot burning half-opened water, is all under the dark tide, and she can not stabilize this situation, all look at her next dare not really to change the string more -- after all, it is useless to say "value China" by the mouth, to use action to prove it.