Recently, a big event happened in Japanese politics-sanae takaichi became the 104th Prime Minister of Japan and the first female Prime Minister in Japan's history. However, the "three fires" of this new official didn't burn. First, he encountered a lot of bad things. The most conspicuous one was that he waited for several days, but he didn't wait for a congratulatory message from China.
According to common sense, it is basic diplomatic etiquette for a new leader of a neighboring country to send a congratulatory message to congratulate him when he takes office. Previously, Fumio Kishida and Shigeru Ishiba had just become prime ministers, and China sent a congratulatory message that day. But when we arrived at Zaomiao in Gaoshi, the rules were broken. The Japanese reporter was anxious to ask the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of China, but the spokesperson said,"We have made appropriate arrangements in accordance with diplomatic practice" without even mentioning the word "congratulations."
Why China is so "cool" to her? in fact, looking at what she has done before understand. This person has always been the "hard thief" in the right wing of Japan, always went to worship the II World War A war criminals of the Yakuza shrine, but also hardly said that Japan was not an aggression in the Second World War, is "self-defense" - this is not the case, the Japanese army hit other countries to burn and robbed, where the "self-defense" came from? more so that China can not tolerate, she is still shouting "Taiwan is a matter, Japan can intervene", this is to hit the core red line of China.
Before the congratulatory message arrived, the first thing Takashi did after taking office was to apologize publicly. She held her first press conference and did not mention how to boost the economy or how to improve people's lives. She first bowed her head to the Japanese people and said that she had been "idle" in the political arena and had taken too long to form her own cabinet. She was sorry to everyone. This apology sounds like an admission of responsibility, but in fact it shows cowardice-her ruling foundation is too fragile.
Originally, she relied on the Liberal Democratic Party and the Komeito Party to form a ruling alliance. In the end, because she reused conservatives with close ties to Abe and Aso, she refused to support the "restriction of political donations" reform proposed by the Komeito Party, the Komeito Party directly ran away and withdrew from the alliance. She had no choice but to temporarily recruit the "Japan Restoration Association" to make up the numbers, but they only sent a "Prime Minister's Assistant Officer", and the cooperation was as loose as a piece of paper that could be broken with a poke. Even some within the Liberal Democratic Party questioned her, fearing that without the support of the Komeito Party, she would lose the next election. It was no wonder she had to apologize to stabilize the situation when she first came on stage.
The most intuitive feeling of the Japanese people now is “money is not worth it” – the exchange rate of the yen against the dollar fell to 150, buying things became more and more expensive, and even rice such as the daily food began to lack. Young people are worse, finding work is difficult, wages rise more slowly than slugs, and it is harder to save a little money than the sky.
What’s worse, the high market has a “trick” – she wants to do “economic security”, to move the supply chain of Japanese enterprises out of China. Isn’t this a broken arm? China is one of Japan’s largest trading partners, many Japanese enterprises’ raw materials, markets are dependent on China. The supply chain has really shifted, enterprise costs are sure to rise, and finally people and enterprises have to pay. Now Japan’s debt is over 250% of GDP, inflation is not overwhelmed, and she cried “stable prices, job security”, now it seems more like a saying.
The house leaked and rained overnight, and there was a chaos here. There was another bad news from the United States: Trump was going to visit Japan from October 27th to 29th. Don't think this is a "friendly visit". Everyone with a discerning eye can see that Trump is coming to the door to "ask for an account" and won't let him pay a penny.
He came this time with three clear purposes, each of which is like a large stone pressed on the high market early. First, to Japan is still "old account" - before the government promised to invest US $ 550 billion, Trump not only wants this money, but also forced Japan in the fields of semiconductors, energy, minerals to come up with a specific investment plan, if it is really gold and silver, not the mouth cooperation.
Second, forcing Japan to raise military spending, Trump privately demanded Japan to raise military spending to 3.5 percent of GDP, now Japanese military spending is only 1.6 percent, which is so much more than doubled; at the same time, Japan has to provide more to the U.S. military "protection fees", the United States called "healthy budget", to say it is "to let the U.S. military protect you, you have to give more money."
Fourth, third, to force Japan to buy high-priced LNG from the United States, and to view Japan as the "recipient" of American energy.
High-tech and energy-related "deep bonding" with the United States in the fields of high-tech and energy, now Trump find the door, she dare to say "no"?
This series of events actually sent a particularly strong signal. First of all, the regime of Gao Shi and Miao Miao has been unstable from the beginning. On the inside, the ruling coalition fell apart and the economy and people's livelihood were in ruins. On the outside, there were China's "indifference" warnings and Trump's "demanding" pressure. Her position as prime minister is more uncomfortable than anyone else. Secondly, China's attitude is very clear: congratulatory messages are not sent casually, but depend on her actual actions. If we still refuse to recognize history and touch the red line of the Taiwan issue as before, Sino-Japanese relations will definitely be good. In the end, Japan is now full of internal and external troubles. If Takashi Moraimu fails to handle these matters well, he is likely to follow the footsteps of previous prime ministers and step down after working for a long time.
In the end, the high market early morning is now like standing at a crossroads, to the left is to keep the bottom line, solve domestic problems well, to the right is to continue to follow the right wing, to the United States is from.