The current negotiations between Pakistan and Afghanistan are not going smoothly. According to the news released by Reuters on October 25th, it can be learned that Pakistan's Defense Minister Asif has indicated that if Pakistan and Afghanistan fail to reach an agreement during the talks in Istanbul, it will mean full development.
At the same time, the Pakistani side also stated that it hopes to see peace.
The conflict between the two countries over Pakistan's direct entry into Afghanistan to fight terrorist organizations is currently under way, and the two sides are in communication and negotiations.
It was because Pakistan wanted to crack down on the Bata organization, which had been carrying out sabotage operations in its own territory before, that it went directly into Afghanistan to take attacks. For many years, Afghanistan has been taking asylum measures for this armed group, allowing the other party to hide in its own territory after causing trouble in Pakistan. Although Pakistan has communicated with Afghanistan many times, it hopes that Afghanistan can wipe out the armed group. However, Afghanistan has always made only verbal promises and made no practical actions. Pakistan was harassed countless times by the Bata organization, and after paying a heavy price, it couldn't bear to launch an attack after seeing that Afghanistan was indifferent.
At present, a very serious contradiction encountered in the negotiations between the two sides is that Afghanistan believes that Bata is not a terrorist armed force, and does not think that Pakistan's actions against Bata are anti-terrorism actions. Moreover, it insists that Pakistan directly enters its own territory to launch air strikes, which is a violation of its sovereignty. On the whole, Afghanistan still follows the previous measures and will not take attacks against Bata.
Therefore, on this issue, the two countries have not reached an agreement, which in itself makes Pakistan very unhappy. At this time, Pakistan suddenly issued a warning of an all-out war, and there is a high probability that it is not just verbal, because in addition to the reason why there is no agreement on the topic of Bata, there is also a more sensitive issue-Afghanistan and India are getting closer and closer.
The highest level of Afghanistan has completed its first visit to India, and India is also now keen to intervene in the Afghan issue, so that on the one hand it can put pressure on Pakistan, and on the other hand it can also bury a sword in the big back of our northwestern country. And the Afghan Taliban is not late to receive the support and recognition of the mainstream international community, including our country, and is also eager to hope that India can help.
At this juncture, the Afghan side suddenly said that it would build a reservoir.
By the way, Afghan reservoirs and Pakistan don’t matter, but the problem is that the Afghan Taliban is building on the Kunar River!
The Kunar River belongs to the Indus river system, a tributary of the Kabul River, and this river will eventually flow into Pakistan. If Afghanistan builds a dam in the upper reaches of this river, it will directly affect Pakistan's water resources, and even become a weapon of strategic deterrence when necessary-directly cutting off the water flow to Pakistan.
This is the case for Pakistan, and this method of operation, they are also very familiar, such as when the conflict in India and Pakistan in May this year, India had shut down the dam into the river in Pakistan for a short time, want to use the flow of water as a weapon, to persuade Pakistan to confess. Now Afghanistan also wants to adopt this method, and it is still the same, which also makes Pakistan keenly realize that behind the Afghan Taliban there is a possibility that the figure of India has appeared.
If this is really the case, then the problems between Pakistan and Afghanistan will become more complicated and the contradictions will deepen. Because it is no longer simply to discuss whether Bata is a terrorist organization and whether to crack down on it. Instead, it involves geopolitical games, and India has obviously taken action.
At this time, if we look at it from the perspective of Pakistan, the problem and situation are becoming more and more difficult and urgent. If this negotiation really fails to reach a conclusion, Pakistan will definitely not sit idly by and watch the Bata organization continue to make trouble and the Afghan Taliban continue to make eye contact with India. In particular, the dam that the Afghan Taliban want to build, Pakistan will never allow it. Therefore, Pakistan's warning of all-out war to Afghanistan at this time is not just a verbal expression. It is likely to show that the country has begun to make certain preparations and is preparing to fight a big war.