Over the years, Japan¡¯s public opinion has seemed to be constantly moving toward the extreme right.¡£

October 21, 2025, Sanae Takaichi elected as the 104th Prime Minister of JapanShe became the first female prime minister in Japanese history.

This person is regarded as a pure "militarist right-winger", and his main political proposition is to be tough on China. Things like worshipping ghosts at the Yasukuni Shrine are basic operations, and she even proposed to recapture and control the Diaoyu Islands by force.

So say Given Japan's current political situation, many people believe that in the future, Japan is likely to break out in a military conflict with China, or even a war.¡£

So if China and Japan go to war, what will Japan's military performance be?

Japanese Defense Industry

In fact, Japanese military experts have long since ʸҰ Áx ÕÑHe made predictions that if a conflict breaks out between China and Japan, Japan can only persist for a week, not even a week.

There is a huge military power gap between Japan and China. And as China's military forces continue to develop, this gap will become wider and wider¡£

Japan has two very fatal shortcomings in the military. One is that it does not have a complete defense industry, and the other is that its military power needs to be imported from outside, and its development is limited¡£

On the first point, Japan's defense industry has been castrated since World War II. Up to now, many weapons can't be produced in Japan, such as jet fighters.

China and the United States and other major countries are now in mass production of five generations, and even in the development of six generations, but Japan now can not even develop a third generation.¡£

In the last century, Japan was able to develop and produce F-1 fighter jets alone for the time being, but when Japan later developed third-generation fighter jets, its third-generation fighter jets required external technology input from the United States to complete them.

The third-generation Japanese fighter aircraft ¨C the F-2 fighter aircraft ¨C was built on the basis of the US F-16 fighter aircraft, coupled with a large number of American technology imports.¡£

Waiting for the "five-generation era", Japan wants to develop its own five-generation aircraft. The heart fighter.At that time, he found that he could not catch up with the military development of China and the United States no matter what.

The Xinxin fighter was established in 2000. In 2005, a 1:32 model was developed and the "model" was tested. In 2012, a size technical verification machine was developed.

From the launch of this type of fighter aircraft to the present day, the Heart of God fighter aircraft project has gone 25 years. even starting with the first full-size technical verification aircraft, the Heart of God fighter aircraft has been 13 years.¡£

But until now, the aircraft still has not been in service, which also proves that Japan in the "five-generation era" has been completely unable to keep up with the development.

In addition to launching warplanes, Japan basically relies on foreign technology imports for large arms equipment.For example, the shields of the King Kong and Moye class currently manufactured in Japan are basically imported from the United States.

It can be said that without external technology imports led by the United States, Japan will basically stop from military ships to aircraft.

With the input of American military technology, Japan's military development can maintain a relatively decent state for the time being. But the problem is, China¡¯s military development is now faster than that of the United States.¡£

For example, in the field of sixth-generation aircraft, China's sixth-generation aircraft has already flown for the first time, and the United States 'sixth-generation aircraft is still on the PPT, and no prototype has been built yet.

At present, the equipment level of the United States is not necessarily better than that of China. How can Japan, a country that needs the United States to import technology to maintain its existing military strength, compete with China militarily?

Japan lacks offensive capabilities

At the second point, Japan as the initiator and defeat of the Second World War, many aspects of military development are limited.¡£

Aircraft carriers are the most typical aircraft carriers in this regard.The aircraft carriers are "offensive weapons" in the military sphere, so the United States does not allow Japan to develop and manufacture aircraft carriers.

At present, the closest thing to an aircraft carrier in Japan is several amphibious assault ships that can carry helicopters, which are called "quasi-aircraft carriers" by Japan and many people.

At present, Japan's biggest prospect in naval development is to make certain transformations to these "quasi-aircraft carriers", and then purchase some F-35B fighters that can take off and land vertically from the United States, so that the "quasi-aircraft carriers" can take off and land fixed-wing carrier-based aircraft.

However, no matter how close the "quasi-aircraft carrier" is, it is still fake. There is a huge gap between its combat capabilities and the real aircraft carrier.¡£

If this "par aircraft carrier" really has the combat power of a real aircraft carrier, then the United States, China and other countries are working hard to develop and produce real aircraft carrier for what?

In addition to the aircraft carrier, many aspects of Japan's weapons equipment have problems with lack of offensive capabilities.¡£

For example, the F-15 fighter jets sold by the United States to Japan. In the impression of many people, the F-15 is a multi-purpose fighter, which has both air combat and ground strike capabilities.

But the U.S. sold the F-15 fighter jets to Japan, whose radar can only detect and lock air targets, and can not detect the ground.

It appears, As a country whose military system relies on the United States and whose existing military forces lack offensive capabilities, Japan naturally finds it difficult to confront China in a war¡£

Japan's geopolitical dead situation

In fact, let alone a military shortcoming, Japan is just a geographical issue, which is equivalent to the "aorta" being pinched by China.

You should know that Japan is an island country in Northeast Asia. Whether imported or exported, Japan needs to pass through China's "doorstep."¡£

This also makes it easy for China to cut off Japan's import and export channels, making it impossible for Japan to import goods and export goods.

At the same time, Japan, as a country with a large population but a small land area and few per capita resources, would easily have huge economic problems without external resource inputs.¡£

Even after cutting off Japan's import and export channels, it is likely to lead to serious famine problems in Japan.

The only food in Japan that has achieved a 100% self-sufficiency rate is rice, but the self-sufficiency rate of meat, aquatic products, vegetables and other foods is extremely low. Overall, Japan's overall food self-sufficiency rate is around 38%¡£

And the only rice that has achieved 100% self-sufficiency is achieved by Japan by importing large quantities of chemical fertilizers from outside. Without external fertilizer imports, Japan's rice production would be reduced on a large scale¡£

Therefore, as long as Japan's import and export routes are blocked, for as short as a few weeks or as long as a few months, there will be a large-scale starvation phenomenon in Japan.

As a small country, Japan can't confront China in any direction.

Source of information:

[1] CCTV News "Takaichi sanae will be confirmed as the Prime Minister of Japan"

Xinhua company client: "The self-sufficiency rate is close to 100%, still can not eat "food"?

[3] People's Daily Online "Abe's new cabinet, female right wing is eye-catching"