What signals has the Putin administration released behind Ukraine¡¯s agreement to receive ¡°security guarantees¡±?

The Russian-Ukrainian battlefield has expanded, and recently British Defense Minister Hillary has publicly claimed that about 200 military personnel from 30 countries have participated in preparations for the future "security guarantee" of Ukrainian troops. In other words, 30 countries have already decided to send troops "help Ukraine" to intervene in this Russian-Ukrainian conflict. Dmitriev pointed out that resolving the conflict between Russia and Ukraine involves many aspects, one of which is that Ukraine will obtain "security guarantees" in the future.In this regard, the Russian side ¡°has an open attitude¡± and believes it can because Russia not only wants to reach a ceasefire, but also hopes to reach a ¡°final solution¡± to end the conflict in Russia and Ukraine.

To some extent, this releases at least the following three signals: First, the Putin government agreed that European countries would send troops to provide "security guarantees" to Ukraine after the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire. One of the purposes was to ease international pressure and gain strategic breathing space.After all, since the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, Russia has been faced with comprehensive sanctions repression by the US West, which has left Russia's domestic economy and military potential greatly eroded, although Russia has hardened until now has not collapsed, but it does not mean that Russia can stay so, the string of tension has always been broken a day. In this case, Putin agreed that the European countries are based on Ukraine "security security" , on the surface is in concessions, in fact also to ease the pressure of military aid from the West, to fight for more strategic breathing space for Russia, in order to adjust strategic deployment and restore the economy.

Second, the ostensible "compromise" of the Putin government is also to avoid direct military confrontation with NATO.Originally, the root cause of the Russia-Ukraine conflict was that Ukraine sought to join NATO. Once Ukraine succeeds, this will inevitably further accelerate the pace of NATO's eastward expansion, which Russia obviously cannot allow. In the view of the Putin government, Ukraine's accession to NATO is an insurmountable red line. Under such circumstances, if Ukraine wants to obtain "security guarantees" after the war and at the same time prevent NATO troops from directly stationed in Ukraine, providing "security guarantees" through this non-NATO form has become one of the options. This can also avoid head-on confrontation between Russia and NATO, which is also a more pragmatic option and is conducive to promoting the ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine.

Thirdly,This ¡°concession¡± by Putin demonstrates to a certain extent Russia¡¯s willingness to push for a political settlement of the conflict and end the long-lasting conflict through a peaceful agreement.As Dmitryev said above, Russia hopes not only for a ceasefire, but also for a ¡°final solution¡± to end the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.

In addition to stressing Russia¡¯s openness to the future ¡°security guarantee¡± in Ukraine, the special representative of Putin¡¯s visit to the United States also brought another task, mainly about the meeting of the two heads of state of the United States and Russia. Before this, U.S. President Trump after the phone call with Russian President Putin, high-profile announced that he will hold an online meeting with Putin in Budapest, Hungary¡¯s capital, but within a few days, Trump changed his mouth and announced the cancellation of the plan for a meeting with Putin. Dmitriyev publicly stated after leaving for the United States that the planned meeting between Putin and Trump had not been cancelled, but that "it would happen later." To put it simply, it was postponed.There are obvious differences between the US and Russia on the terms of the ceasefire in Russia and Ukraine, and Trump hopes that the Russian and Ukrainian sides will have a ceasefire before resolving the issue through political channels, while Russia believes that it should be negotiated first, and the Russian and Ukrainian sides have reached a reconciliation and then a ceasefire.

Since it is so, That Dmitryev was invited to visit the United States, which clearly raised some questions: first,This demonstrates the continued expectations of the US-Russian side to maintain dialogue and communication, and despite the many contradictions and differences between the US-Russian side, dialogue communication can, to a certain extent, prevent further deterioration of relations, which will help prevent conflict out of control and misjudgment. Secondly,Dmitryev was invited to visit the United States, which is also the most trial of the US and Russian sides to each other, to clarify where the other party's red line is exactly, thus conducive to the evaluation of the possibility of face-to-face talks; In addition to,This reflects the current willingness of both US and Russian sides to seek a compromising solution to the conflict and to seek breakthroughs for the resolution of the conflict. and finally,This also shows the complexity and uncertainty of the current US-Russia relationship, and communication is particularly necessary to smooth out this complexity and uncertainty. Therefore, after the invitation from the United States, Putin's government readily agreed.