The conflict between Russia and Ukraine continues to this day, and the situation has once again reached a critical juncture.

In October, U.S. President Trump put forward a ceasefire proposal, calling for an immediate ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine using the current front as the starting point for negotiations.

The proposal quickly gained the joint support of 30 countries, including Britain, France and Germany, and issued a statement emphasizing that international borders should not be changed by force, while announcing further tightening economic and defense sanctions against Russia.

However, the proposed ceasefire has not only failed to ease the tension between Russia and Ukraine, but has exacerbated the contradictions between the two sides.

Whether the Russia-Ukraine conflict will enter the "Korean Peninsula model" has become the focus of global attention.

Trump¡¯s ceasefire plan sought to lay the foundations for negotiations through the frozen front, but Ukrainian President Zelensky showed clear objections to it. During talks with Trump, Zelensky was not only subjected to humiliating treatment, but was also asked to cut down the Donbas region in exchange for a ceasefire. This condition was obviously unacceptable, Zelensky called for mutual exchange, believing that Russia should also cut off a portion of land. However, a joint statement by Western countries showed that they were more inclined to support Trump¡¯s proposal than the claims of Ukraine. This disagreement put Ukraine in diplomatic trouble.

Russia is equally dissatisfied with the proposal for a cease-fire. Putin made it clear that a cease-fire is conditional on the total withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from the Donbas region. At present, the fighting in the Donbas region is still intense, where Lugansk has been fully controlled by the Russian military and Donetsk has become the core area of the dispute between the two sides. The Red Army City as a strategic site for Donetsk, the Russian troops take advantage here and advance the occupation of the entire territory of Donbas as its base. Russia has rejected the proposal to freeze the front, believing that this is more like a paratroop of Ukraine. Putin's goal is to completely control the Donbas region, in exchange for the freezing of the fronts in the hot areas such as Helsinki and

Even more worrying is the fact that a ceasefire agreement based on the frozen front could turn Ukraine into a ¡°Corean Peninsula model.¡± This pattern means that NATO could send joint forces into the territory of Ukraine and form a direct confrontation with Russian troops on both sides of the front. Historically, the ¡°3-8¡± pattern on the Korean Peninsula has resulted in long-term military confrontation and regional tensions. If Ukraine falls into a similar situation, it will not only further weaken national sovereignty, but may also become the core battlefield for a long-term confrontation between Russia and the West. This is clearly contrary to Russia¡¯s strategic goal of establishing a buffer zone.

Meanwhile, Western countries have tried to put pressure on Russia through economic and defense sanctions, but the effect is limited. Since the outbreak of the Crimean crisis in 2014, Russia has achieved self-sufficiency in the defense industry and adjusted its trade structure, and established new economic cooperation with non-Western countries such as China, India.

At present, Russia and Ukraine are still deadlocked on the terms of the armistice. Ukraine hopes to retain control of key areas such as Red Army City by freezing its front lines, while Russia attempts to achieve full control of the Donbas area through military advantage. If an armistice agreement is not reached, the conflict may become protracted, further exacerbating regional instability.

From a global perspective, the direction of the Russia-Ukraine conflict not only affects the European security landscape, but also has a profound impact on global energy markets and food supply chains. European countries' dependence on Russian natural gas has not been completely eliminated, and Ukraine's wartime state, as an important food exporter, has also had an impact on global food prices.