Recently, a major event occurred in Japanese politics-Takashi Takashi became Japan's 104th Prime Minister and the first female Prime Minister in Japan's history. However, her "debut" was not glamorous at all. On the contrary, she had been in constant trouble since she came to power: first, she couldn't wait for a congratulatory message from China, and then she had to publicly apologize. There was a lot of mess in the country that had not been resolved. Trump from the United States was also coming soon to "ask for money." Everything was thorny and the amount of information hidden was not small.
Let's talk about the "congratulatory message" that makes her face the most. According to the rules, when the new Japanese Prime Minister takes office, neighboring China will send congratulatory messages as usual. Before that, Fumio Kishida and Shigeru Ishiba had just been elected, China's congratulatory messages arrived soon. But it has been several days since Takaichi Sanae came to power, and there is no movement in Beijing. A reporter specifically asked the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs, and spokesman Guo Jiakun said, "Appropriate arrangements have been made according to diplomatic practice", without even mentioning the word "congratulations".
It's not that China doesn't know the rules, it's really that sanae takaichi's own past practices are too unreassuring. She is a famous right-wing. She always goes to visit the Yasukuni Shrine dedicated to Class-A war criminals of World War II. She still doesn't recognize the history of Japan's invasion of China, and even says that "Japan can intervene if something happens in the Taiwan Strait"-this touches China's bottom line. In addition, she is particularly pro-American, saying that the US-Japan alliance is the "baseline". Naturally, China will not easily send her a congratulatory message. This is actually a clear signal: if she wants Sino-Japanese relations to be good, she must behave the rules first.
The message didn't wait, the high market early she had to apologize to the Japanese people first. she took the first press conference, did not say how to do the economy, how to improve the people's livelihood, instead of the mistake, said before the Japanese politics "empty", her own cabinet took too long, delayed the matter. This apology sounded as blame, actually exposed how weak her ruling foundation.
Originally, her Liberal Democratic Party was in power in partnership with the Komeito Party. As a result, the Komeito Party suspected that she was too conservative-reusing people close to Abe and Aso, and even dared not support the reform of "restricting political contributions", so she directly withdrew from the alliance. Without the Komeito Party, she could only hurriedly pull the "Japan Reform Association" to support the scene, but people only sent an "Prime Minister's Assistant Officer", and the cooperation was so loose that it was broken with a poke. Some people within the Liberal Democratic Party are not optimistic about her, fearing that without the support of the Komeito Party, they will lose the next election. Her position as prime minister, as soon as she sat on it, was like a "bean curd dregs project", which was unstable.
Looking at Japan, there are simply a bunch of "big problems" waiting for her to solve. The most intuitive thing is the economy. Now that the yen has fallen below 150 against the US dollar, money is becoming less and less valuable. People are much more expensive to buy things, and even rice is hardly enough for daily food. Young people are even worse, it is difficult to find a job, their wages rise more slowly than snails, and it is more difficult to save some money than to climb to the sky. In addition, the aging is getting more and more serious, and the whole society has no vitality. Takaichi Sanae put forward an "economic security" strategy, saying that he would transfer the supply chain from China-this is purely self-breaking! However, China is an important trading partner of Japan. Once the supply chain of enterprises changes, the cost will definitely rise. In the end, ordinary people and enterprises will pay the bill. What's even worse is that Japan's debt has exceeded 250% of GDP, and inflation can't be suppressed. What she shouted during the election campaign to "stabilize prices and ensure employment" now looks more like empty talk.
This is a "friendly visit", which is clearly "to account" to the door, and a penny will not allow. Trump this time has three clear purposes, each of which is like a stone pressed on the high market: first, to Japan to meet the 500 billion U.S. investments promised by the Zippo government before, not only this "old account", but also to have a half-conductor, energy these fields specific investment plan, if it is real gold and silver; second, to force Japan to raise military expenses to the GDP of 3.5% - now only 1.6%, twice as much, and at the same time, also have to be in the U.S. Army "protection fee", said white is "to let the U.S. military do, you have to pay more money"; third, to compel Japan to buy high-pr
Even worse, the high-tech, energy-related negotiations are not qualified to negotiate with Trump. She herself is a firm pro-American, previously as a minister said to strengthen security cooperation with the United States, and in 2022 also shouted to bond with the United States in the high-tech, energy field. Trump's negotiations were simple and rough, without giving money to threaten withdrawal, without investment to say to raise taxes, the high-tech and energy-related negotiations have no capital to resist.
Think of the prime minister of Japan in recent years, many are because they can not withstand the pressure of the United States, can not solve domestic problems and left the government. now the high market has taken a "shit": there is a cautious attitude of China, the domestic economy has a bad debt, and the United States "debt". if she really listened to the United States, paid "protection fee" and invested money, the Japanese economy will only be worse, the people's dissatisfaction comes up, she is afraid to leave the station is not far away.
In the final analysis, the current situation is very clear: China depends on its actual actions, not by saying "attaches importance to Sino-Japanese relations"; if Japan's domestic problems are not solved, the people will not buy it; if the United States does not repay its "debts", there is no way to explain it. When these things are put together, the amount of information is really huge. It depends on whether Takashi Saami can withstand it. If not, the curse of "changing four phases in five years" in Japanese politics may happen to her. It happened again.