What is the reason Trump cancelled the meeting with the US-Russian chief? what is the signal behind it? what are the “destructive consequences” in Putin’s mouth?
A few days ago, US President Trump made a high-profile announcement that he would hold an offline meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Budapest, Hungary. Just a few days later, his attitude changed again. On the 22nd, Trump confirmed that he had temporarily shelved the plan to meet with Putin. As for the reason, according to Trump himself, "the time is not ripe" and the current meeting "cannot achieve the goal".It’s hard to see that Trump’s statement is widespread.
However, the public opinion gave the analysis of the following two reasons: First, there are clear differences between the US and Russia on the conditions of the ceasefire in Russia and Ukraine, and it is temporarily impossible to reach an agreement.The main purpose of Trump’s meeting with Putin was to mediate the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, bring Russia to a ceasefire and go to the negotiating table. But the problem is that Trump wants the Russian-Ukrainian side to have a ceasefire first and then resolve the issue through political channels. while Russia thinks it should be negotiated first, the Russian-Ukrainian side reached a reconciliation and then another ceasefire. Because such differences exist, which led Trump to believe the meeting could not reach the expected goal, the plan for a meeting with Putin was canceled.
Second, the attitude within the Trump administration toward the meeting with the US-Russian heads of state is inconsistent.Trump made this announcement to the public shortly after the talks between U.S. Secretary of State Rubio and Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov. This shows that the talks between the two foreign ministers did not achieve the expected results. One of the purposes of the US-Russian foreign ministers 'talks is to discuss the specific details of the meeting between the two heads of state. Since the talks between the two foreign ministers have not gone smoothly, it will naturally be difficult for the meeting between the two heads of state to proceed. This is what Trump calls "immature timing."
In addition to announcing the cancellation of the meeting plan with Putin, the Trump administration also announced sanctions on Russian state-owned enterprise Rosneft and private enterprise Lukoil on the same day.U.S. Treasury Secretary Bescent pointed out that the two sanctioned Russian oil companies provided funds for Russia's special military operations against Ukraine. Once the sanctions take effect, this will be the first time Trump has imposed sanctions on Russia over the Russia-Ukraine conflict since returning to the White House. As for why did you choose to announce sanctions against Russian companies at this time?Just think about it, the reason is not hard to guess: First, put economic pressure on Russia,Force Russia to make concessions on the Russia-Ukraine issue; Second, this is a response to some of the forces in the United States supporting a tough stance against Russia, but also consistent with the stance of European allies.On the same day that the United States announced sanctions on Russia, the European Union also announced the 19th round of sanctions on Russia. Additionally, from this month’s 13th to the 24th, 14 NATO member states have sent troops to conduct an annual routine nuclear exercise, code-named “Fort Midnight”, which for the first time presents the synergistic use of air-based nuclear forces and conventional combat forces under a nuclear war scene.
In turn, while cancelling the US-Russian head of state meeting and adding sanctions on Russian oil companies, the Trump administration has released at least three signals: first, it shows that the U.S. attitude towards Russia is turning to strong again; second, it will seriously hinder the process of easing U.S.-Russian relations, and the future interaction between the U.S. and Russia may be more complex and difficult; third, it reflects that there are few cards in the hands of the Trump administration that can be played, and only in this way to pressure Russia to drive the Russian conflict to the direction expected by the U.S. Putin also responded to the Trump administration sanctions on November 23. He made it clear that although the nature of the sanctions is more serious, but will not have a substantial impact on the Russian economic situation. And if the Russian oil exports
In addition, Putin also specifically talked about the "Tax" cruise missile. Before this, Trump had claimed to consider providing "Tax" to Ukraine through NATO, but later in the meeting with Zelensky, he also changed the phrase "The United States will not provide Ukraine with "Tax", at least not at the moment". He clearly informed the world that if Ukraine uses Tomahawk cruise missiles provided by the United States to attack Russian territory, Russia will take extremely severe and even "devastating" retaliatory measures.
What is this “destructive” measure of retaliation? he did not say explicitly. The first is a large-scale strike against local targets in Ukraine.To weaken Ukraine's military capabilities and war potential; The second is the support system for combating attacks.For example, U.S. military facilities in Ukraine, U.S.-related military aid lines, communication nodes, etc. are both a blow to Ukraine and a direct warning to the United States. Third, the use of nuclear weapons for deterrence or strike.Although it is unlikely, it cannot be ruled out. After all, the Putin government has clearly set out the conditions for triggering Russia's use of nuclear weapons before, and the threat level of the Tomahawk cruise missile to Russia has met the trigger conditions. Once it is true as Putin said, in this extreme situation, it is not ruled out that Russia will actually use nuclear weapons.