China supports Venezuela, so why does Maduro have to give way and surrender? Where will this war go on the Caribbean? A U.S. admiral who took off his military uniform exposed major differences within the Trump administration.
China supports Maduro, but it cannot save the immediate emergency-he really cannot withstand the initiative to negotiate peaceis
Many people are wondering why China has clearly spoken for Venezuela several times at the United Nations and supported their sovereignty. Why did Maduro take the initiative to submit a peace talks plan?
In fact, one key thing must be understood first: China's support and the pressure Maduro is currently facing are not the same thing.
China’s support for Venezuela is more politically flattered—such as opposing US unilateral sanctions when voting in the Security Council, condemning U.S. military violations of sovereignty at any time across borders, and speaking out at international occasions, but these cannot directly solve Venezuela’s “big problems of survival.”
The United Nations has previously that the U.S. blockade, the Venezuelan government's income dropped directly 99%, public services almost collapsed, more than a third of the people are not satisfied with food, disinfectants, anti-cancer drugs in hospitals are lacking, AIDS patients can not cure because of no medication.
What's even worse is that in March 2025, Trump directly withdrew Chevron's oil exploration license in Venezuela, which was equivalent to blocking Venezuela's last resort to foreign exchange.
To know that Venezuela is originally a country that relies on oil, has no oil income, even gasoline has to buy from abroad, the people in line for 13 hours to refuel are commonplace, Maduro's government can not maintain basic operation.
What's even worse is that the US military is still putting pressure on the side. Trump not only set up guided missile destroyers and F-35 fighters in the Caribbean, but also sent nuclear submarines and more than 10,000 soldiers, saying that he wanted to fight drug trafficking. In fact, he just authorized the CIA to engage in secret operations in Venezuela last month, obviously to oust Maduro.
When the U.S. military is going to throw the bomb, China's political support, where can we stop it? not. so Maduro's peace talks plan is not at all "surrender", it is in the heart to understand the account: instead of waiting for the U.S. military to catch itself, it is better to take the initiative to let wisdom change the way of life.
His first plan was to resign himself, let the vice president take over, and allow American companies to enter the oil industry; The second time, it was simpler, saying that he was willing to go into exile abroad and let pro-American retired generals return to China to take power. To put it bluntly, he was trading his own political future for the country not to be beaten.
As for the U.S. claiming that the sinking “drug trafficking submarines” contained no Venezuelans, all Colombians and Ecuadorians, this further demonstrates that the American “drug-trafficking” excuse cannot stand.
Maduro was clear in his heart that what the US military wanted was not anti-drug but his head, so he was eager to deliver the plan through Qatar-if we don't talk about it, we may not have the opportunity to talk about it.
Maduro is willing to leave, but Trump still won't let go? What he wants is to uproot all the anti-American roots
Maduro even in exile is willing, the condition is honest enough, is it? but why not Trump? in fact, we have to see through the real mind of Trump: he wants not only Maduro alone to resign, it is to completely dismantle the anti-American system of Venezuela.
Trump's administration has long said it straight, and they don't believe in any successor of "Chavezism". In Maduro's first proposal, Vice President Rodriguez succeeded him. This man is the same as Maduro. Even if he takes office, he will continue to pursue the original policy, but only make concessions to the United States on the surface.
Trump knew that this kind of gameplay without changing the recipe would still be anti-American after the limelight passed, so he rejected it without even thinking.
The second time Maduro asked General Torres, who was in exile in Spain, to come back and form a coalition government, which seemed to be a concession, but the plan also said "not to give up the economic foundation of Chavezism", which just stepped on Trump's red line.
In his eyes, as long as Venezuela still has an anti-American foundation, even if it changes its leaders, it will still go against the United States sooner or later. It is better to eradicate the roots at one time.
More importantly, for Trump, cleaning up Venezuela is simply a political deal. He now needs to rely on his "tough" image to stabilize voters 'support. If he accepts Maduro's plan, wouldn't he appear to be "compromised"?
The British "Guardian" understood that Trump showed off his muscles in the Caribbean simply to gain political capital.
And Venezuela's oil resources are so tempting, American oil companies have long waited to share the cake - if you accept Maduro's proposal, you have to negotiate conditions with the Venezuelan government; but if you directly overthrow Maduro and support a loathing regime, the oil resources are not yet thinking how to get it?
There is also a rather embarrassing detail: the two people caught by the US military after sinking the drug trafficking ship were repatriated by the United States. As a result, Ecuador said that it had not received a letter from the United States to repatriate them at all. Colombia was silent, and Venezuela didn't say a word.
This shows that even America’s allies know that “drug-seeking” is a pretext, and no one is willing to cooperate with the play.
Trump also knows in his heart that this excuse can't deceive people, but as long as he can justify the military action, it doesn't matter if no one cooperates-after all, what he wants is never to solve the drug trafficking problem, but to win Venezuela.
The US military general suddenly quit-the contradictions in the Trump administration cannot be hidden
Just as Maduro handed over the plan and Trump put on airs, Horsey, the commander of the U.S. Southern Command in charge of military operations in the Caribbean, suddenly said that he would retire. This is the most intriguing thing-the U.S. military has long had a quarrel with Trump.
Holsey only took office in November last year. According to the rules, he should have worked for three years. As a result, he suddenly left in less than a year, saying that he was "retiring". Anyone with a discerning eye knew that he was forced.
Reuters previously reported that he and Defense Secretary Hagerseth had a dispute over the military operations in the Caribbean.
Holsey has been concerned that the US military accidentally bombed the "drug trafficking ship" has killed 27 people, which is not in accordance with the law of war, and then this is going to be a big problem.
Not to mention Trump also wants to engage in ground operations and authorize the CIA to intervene secretly, all of which have not been approved by Congress. As a military general, Horsey doesn't want to take this pot at all.
This is not small, Holsey, the top commander of the U.S. military in the Latin American region, who suddenly resigns, is equivalent to directly bringing the contradiction between the military and the Trump administration to light.
Democratic leader in the Senate military committee, Reiddo, said it was a signal of “instability in the command system” and warned that striking Venezuela without congressional authorization was “dangerous nonsense.”
What's more interesting is that Horsey is not the first high-level general to leave this year. The previous chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and the head of the Navy were forced to resign by Trump, and most of those who left were people of color and women. This shows that Trump not only wants to carry out military operations according to his own wishes, but also wants to replace all disobedient senior military officials.
This internal contradiction is actually a good thing for Maduro.The U.S. military is watching the soldiers be strong, but senior generals do not cooperate, and grassroots soldiers are not necessarily willing to fight.
And Latin American countries have long been unusual for the United States, Brazil, Cuba, Mexico have openly condemned the United States' interference in the internal affairs of others, and Trump wants to take Venezuela by military means, not only to settle the internal contradictions, but also to cope with the pressure of regional countries.
The current situation is actually quite delicate: Maduro has won time on the peace talks, Trump is stuck by internal contradictions, and China's support, although not directly, has also stabilized the international public opinion.
Next is to see if Trump can suppress the military – if the Holsey successor dares to call the government, the U.S. military may not really be able to do it; but if Trump has the iron heart to fight, even if the military opposes, it may be hard on the scalp.
But one thing is certain, Maduro won't sit and wait to die. He is quiet on the surface now, and secretly he must be communicating with Russia and China-after all, if he really wants to fight, he has to rely on these big countries to support the scene.
Source of information:
Central Network – a tense moment, the US commander suddenly resigned
Trump says U.S. military destroyed a large submarine “carrying drugs”