The previous time, "Trump will visit China" hit the hot search, the US media also continued to blow, saying that Trump may be visiting China, the atmosphere is dry, now this topic has suddenly no voice, and Trump himself, intends to meet in South Korea and China.

Why choose to meet in a third country and China

In fact, the topic of Trump's visit to China was revealed as early as July. At that time, China was preparing for activities such as the 1993 military parade and the Shanghai Cooperation Summit. The American media broke the news that Trump had received an invitation from China, but Trump refused.

In fact, the reason is self-evident. At that time, the Sino-US tariff war was in full swing, and a person with a good face like Trump would definitely not come. Now, despite many countermeasures from China, Trump still does not come. Obviously, Trump still cannot let go of face.

But this is also normal, Trump has always hanged the "defeat" in his mouth, under the atmosphere of the sword, so that he visited China as a "guest", obviously stamped in his face.

If Trump really comes to Beijing and walks into the Great Hall of the People, he will have to follow the diplomatic practice of "hospitality" from the welcoming ceremony to the negotiation atmosphere. This kind of scene will naturally convey to the outside world a "China-US equal dialogue" signal. But meeting in South Korea is different. As a traditional ally of the United States, South Korea is closer to the expectations of the United States in terms of venue arrangement and public opinion environment.

Trump's move is actually to circumvent the diplomatic connotation of "visiting China", use the "illusion of home court advantage" of a third country to cheer himself up, and try to mentally seize the initiative first. I have to say that this old man is indeed much smarter than ordinary politicians when calculating the "face project".

Ridiculously, the effects of China's countermeasures have gradually emerged: rare-earth controls have made U.S. military-industrial enterprises "free of rice".

Trump suddenly threw a whole new focus ¨C the nuclear issue.

He said that in the high-level talks with China, to reach a consensus on restoring soybeans trade, restricting nuclear weapons, and Russia-Ukraine ceasefire.It is strange, soybeans trade is the old topic of the Sino-Ukrainian game, the Russian-Ukrainian issue is a geopolitical hotspot, can be bound "restricting China's nuclear weapons" and these two, is inevitably too strong.

Frankly speaking, in recent years, the outside world has been taking stock of China's "counter-measure trump cards", such as the strategic value of rare earths, the irreplaceability of the supply chain, and the industrial advantages of pharmaceutical and chemical industries. These three cards have indeed played a key role in the Sino-US game. But what can really enable China to gain a firm foothold in the international landscape and dare to say "no" to hegemony is actually the fourth card-reliable strategic nuclear deterrent.

This card can not be touched, but can draw the bottom line at the critical moment, so that no opponent dares to delude. Per in the U.S. view, U.S. farmers are looking forward to soybean orders, China has also filled the gap through Brazil, Argentina and other countries.

More importantly, the West has been hyping up the topic of "China's nuclear expansion" recently, which has given Trump the opportunity to use the topic to make use of it.

A report just released by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute shows that China's nuclear warhead inventory has reached more than 600, an increase of about 100 in a year. At the same time, it is also promoting the comprehensive modernization of land, sea and air-based nuclear forces. They feel that they can weaken our strategic deterrence capabilities and gain advantages for themselves in other fields of games.

China¡¯s East Wind missiles won¡¯t.

Trying to rely on a "nuclear issue" card to control China is actually a miscalculation. There is no reason why the scale of China's nuclear power is "limited". To take a step back, even if we don't talk about quantity, the technical strength of China's nuclear power is no longer what it used to be.

The equipment that was concentrated at the 1993 parade this year has placed the maturity of China's "Trinity" nuclear strike system on the surface, including the land-based "East Wind-61" missile is also a deterrent to the world.

What is the state of the U.S. at the moment: Congress stagnation, government shutdowns, US$38 trillion in national debt, fiscal tensions and a ¡°cash flow crisis.¡±

To put it bluntly, he knows that he can't take advantage of practical issues such as rare earths and supply chains, so he simply throws out the highly sensitive topic of nuclear issues, trying to use "security anxiety" to force China to make concessions on trade. But he also forgot that rare earths can talk about quotas and trade can talk about tariffs, but there is no room for bargaining when it comes to the strategic deterrent force of national security.

The era when the United States wanted to rely on "hegemonic logic" to influence other countries' security decisions has long passed. The right to speak at the negotiating table ultimately depends on the strength under the table, which will not change no matter how many American leaders are changed.