Can a trip to South Korea make Trump's wishes come true? Regarding the possibility of holding the "Special Gold Club", senior South Korean officials said three words, and the conditions offered by Kim Jong Un in advance have been realized?

On October 24, South Korea's unified leader, Zheng Dong, suddenly spoke, saying Trump's chances of meeting Kim Jong-un next week at the end of the month were "pretty big."

As soon as this news came out, the outside world paid great attention to it.

A while ago, there was no movement between the United States and the DPRK. Why did it suddenly become "likely"?

Just look at the two reasons given by South Korea.

One is that Trump is going to South Korea on October 29 to participate in the APEC summit, just to be able to "share" meet, time and place can be matched.

Second, South Korea has already told the United Nations Army Command that visits to the Panmunjom Joint Guard Zone were suspended from the end of October to the beginning of November.

To know, in 2019, Trump is here to cross the military dividing line and hold his hand with Kim Jong-un.

Usually, there are tourists in and out of the store every day, suddenly suspended, and everyone knows that they are opening up a place for big things.

But Kim Jong-un has made nine clear statements that only the United States is willing to meet Trump ¡°to give up its commitment to Pyongyang¡¯s denuclearization.¡±

This is not an arbitrary word, it is a tough condition set out by North Korea.

What variables have emerged between the US and South Korea over the past two months, and what role has South Korea played in it, so that ¡°Turkish¡± can become ¡°high probability¡± in the Korean mouth?

First of all, in August, the starting point of this US-DPRK meeting was actually a word by Trump.

On August 25, he met with South Korean President Lee Jae-ming at the White House and suddenly mentioned,"Kim Jong-un and I have a good relationship and hope to meet this year." He also added,"North Korea has great potential and a good future."

It sounds like a conversation, but it¡¯s all about the doorway.

Previously, the U.S. has always regarded "North Korea first to give up nuclear" as the dead rule of dialogue, this time not only did not give up nuclear, but also praised North Korea, plainly giving Pyongyang the "olive branch".

More importantly, what Lee Jae-myung said at that time. He told Trump that North Korea did not completely close the door to dialogue, depending on whether the US side gave a step or not.

This both let Trump know that the meeting is playful, and also helped the DPRK to convey words, not to directly lower the head with the US side.

South Korea is clearly trying to sell good on both sides in order to ease the situation on the peninsula.

Looking at the key turning point in September, the core is Kim Jong-un's words first.

On September 22, North Korea held the Supreme People's Assembly. Kim Jong-un made it very clear that if the United States no longer holds on to denuclearization and recognizes the reality and is willing to coexist peacefully, there is no reason why North Korea should not meet. In the end, he also emphasized that he still has fond memories of Trump.

When the outside world talks about this, some say that North Korea is deliberately setting a high threshold, and some feel that this is drawing the "bottom line".

Interestingly, as soon as Kim Jong-un's voice fell, South Korea immediately followed up, hoping that both North Korea and the United States could seize this "hard-won meeting opportunity".

In October, South Korea's actions turned from "delivery" to practical preparations.

On October 24, the day South Korean Unification Minister Chung Dong-young made his statement, he simultaneously released the news of "suspending visits to Panmunjom."

Before the 2019 special gold meeting, South Korea did the same, that is, emptying the venue, adjusting security and preparing for the meeting.

Now again this set, clearly is telling the American dynasty, "the place we have all done, wait for you to knock the head."

To be honest, Trump's visit to APEC may be the only opportunity for the leaders of the Korean-American Dynasty to "meet" this year.

If Trump specifically goes to North Korea or goes to a third country to meet Kim Jong Un, not only will he have to pay more costs, but he will also have to face domestic criticism of "compromising with North Korea."

But in South Korea, the "short" meeting has become the merit of "using APEC to promote dialogue", and it can not be said that "the time is too tight to negotiate", the risk is small, and the profits are high.

So Zheng Dong Swim would say "even one percent chance can not be given", missed this time, next time to find such a suitable time, not yet know how long to wait.

But then again, even if it looks lively now, Kim Jong-un's "word first" is still an unavoidable hurdle.

The U.S. hasn¡¯t gotten away so far.

Trump wants to meet, but the U.S. State Department is still publicly saying that "North Korea's denuclearization is the ultimate goal." This kind of situation is actually the easiest for the meeting to get stuck.

Not to mention that North Korea just completed the test of carbon fiber solid fuel engines at the end of September, and the first two days after the Japanese prime minister's morning morning, North Korea also tested missiles, these moves have made Kim Jong-un more substantial at the negotiating table.

I'm afraid the next week will be the key.

If the United States and North Korea can discuss what to discuss before APEC, such as not talking about denuclearization first and talking about a final declaration or loosening sanctions, then Panmunjom will likely witness another historic meeting.

But if the two sides are still stuck on "denuclearization", South Korea, which is willing to do big things, may be "workless".

To be honest, looking at South Korea's jumping up and down over the past two months, I can quite understand their eagerness.

After all, the stability of the peninsula, South Korea is the most direct beneficiary.

But no matter whether the special gold will succeed or not, it is obvious that South Korea is no longer the bystander who listened to whatever the United States said before. Now South Korea can take the initiative to set up a stage and promote dialogue between the two sides. The change of this role may be more worth pondering than the Bitgold Club itself.