Japan's Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara recently officially announced that US President Trump will start a three-day visit to Japan on Monday, October 27th.
During this time, he will meet with Japan's new prime minister, High City Morning Sun, which is the first time the two have met face to face.
Trump's last return visit dates back to six years ago, and Takashi Saami was elected president of the Liberal Democratic Party on October 4 shortly after taking office, and then succeeded Shigeru Ishiba as Japan's first female prime minister. The two met for the first time, and the content of the conversation was definitely not simple.
In the press conference on Wednesday, Kimi Yuan also added details, Trump this time in addition to meeting with Cao市早苗, also had to meet with Emperor Darin.
Informed people also know the bottom, see the Emperor scheduled for Monday, a summit with the high-market early-size is scheduled for Tuesday, and Trump is also likely to go to the U.S. naval base in Yokohama, southwest of Tokyo to see.
From this point of view, this itinerary is quite particular. Seeing the emperor first is to respect Japanese etiquette, then talk to the Prime Minister about real business, and finally go to the military port. This military signal is called a direct one.
The agenda is not simple.
At the end of the conversation, we have to say that the two of you must not avoid the core issues.
In July this year, the United States signed a bilateral trade and investment agreement, which is likely to be discussed how to implement.
The United States agreed to impose a 15% tariff on Japanese cars and other products. Trump initially wanted to set a higher tariff, but later lowered it.
Japanese Foreign Minister Toshimitsu Motegi specifically stood up and said that he would be responsible for coordinating the implementation of the agreement, and that he would make steady progress as he had participated in the negotiations before, thus promoting economic growth and security by the way.
In fact, there is something behind this statement. Japan's automobile industry accounts for a large proportion in the country. Although the 15% tariff is lower than expected, it still has to be cautious for fear that the United States will change its mind again one day.
That is why Minmitsu Motegi wants to take the initiative to take over the coordination work. To put it bluntly, he wants to nail the agreement to the dead end so that nothing goes wrong.
After all, when he participated in the negotiations before, he knew the temper of the United States. If he didn't keep an eye on it, there would be new requirements in the future.
In addition to trade, security was also the main theme of this visit.
Minoru Kihara specifically emphasized that this visit is a good opportunity to strengthen the Japan-US alliance and hopes that the two leaders can build personal trust.
In this regard, he is very similar to the late Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, is conservative, and has a firm attitude toward security policy.
Abe had a good relationship with Trump during Trump's first presidential term, and now Goldman Sachs is sure to want to replicate this relationship.
Moreover, the United States has always wanted Japan to spend a little more on defense spending, and she just took office, stable the United States, an ally, has also benefited her ruling base.
Of course, the consensus between Japan and the United States on security goes beyond that.
Minoru Kihara also mentioned that the two countries will jointly promote a "free and open Indo-Pacific region."
This sounds a bit false, but in combination with the possibility that Trump may go to Yokohama base, it is true that the place is the command of the U.S. Seventh Fleet, and also the aircraft carrier maintenance center, equivalent to the U.S. military in the western Pacific "core hub".
Trump went here, apparently trying to showcase the military connections of Japan and the United States, telling the outside world that the two countries are tied together in terms of security.
He wanted to ignore Trump's overall Asia-Pacific journey, and later found that it was also related to visiting Japan.
He will first go to Malaysia to participate in ASEAN-related meetings, and he is still considering whether to go; after the visit, on October 31, he will go to South Korea to participate in the APEC summit.
This series of journeys is obviously aimed at a coherent diplomatic layout in the Asia-Pacific, and Japan is a key part of it.
There are concerns behind the alliance.
However, the Japan-US alliance looks warm, and there are many troubles hidden behind it.
Let’s say that the US military base at which Trump may go is important for U.S. and Japanese military cooperation, but the local people are actually unhappy.
There have been cases of fire extinguishers leakage before, and there are not many U.S. military-related crimes on Okinawa for a decade, and the people have not protested once or twice.
This time Trump went here, the high-market early meal on this side was estimated to be two-headed.
On the one hand, we must cooperate with the American show, on the other hand, we must also deal with the voice of opposition at home.
After all, she has just become prime minister, and if it causes public dissatisfaction because of this incident, it will definitely not be good for her administration.
This is to both "grasp the American thighs", and to reassure the balance of domestic emotions, in fact, is very difficult to make.
Another hidden danger is the uncertainty of American policy.
Everyone knows the temper of the Trump administration. For example, tariffs have been repeated several times before.
In fact, ASEAN has long been a little worried about the "reciprocal tariff" of the United States, and Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar has called on ASEAN to unite and respond.
In this way, it seems that even if the Japan-U.S. trade agreement is implemented, it will not come out in the future, it is really bad to say.
Not to mention that Japan has pledged a lot in the agreement, such as opening up the agricultural and aerospace markets, and a small amount of investment.
These promises are implemented, will not make the Japanese industry a little "empty" risk, is also an unknown number.
After all, Japan's economy has not grown fast in recent years. If too many resources are invested in cooperation with the United States, other domestic areas may be affected.
Trump's visit to Japan this time is a "just need" for both sides.
If the United States wants to promote the "Indo-Pacific Strategy", it needs Japan as a help; Takaichi sanae has just become prime minister, so he needs to stabilize his position through good relations with the United States, implement trade agreements and deal with security issues.
But the trouble is also small, the people's livelihood dispute on the base, and the uncertainty of the US policy, are all problems facing the two countries' alliance.
Next, it will be seen whether the market can build trust with Trump, and the implementation of the trade agreement is not smooth.
These things will not only affect Japan-US relations, but will also affect the whole Asia-Pacific situation.
After all, the Japan-U.S. alliance is an important bilateral relationship in the region, and their actions are being watched by surrounding countries.