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[Ring Time Depth] When "Japan Returns to the Peak" meets "Make America Great Again" and the new prime minister takes office, is the Japan-US alliance resonant or misaligned?

(Global Times Special Reporters in Japan 黄文 潘小多 环球时报 Special Reporters 孙默 环球时报 Special Reporters 徐嘉莹)The editor says:After taking office, she will face a series of diplomatic tests: first to visit Malaysia and attend the ASEAN Conference on October 26, then to meet with US President Trump, who visited Japan on 27-29 and then to attend the APEC Summit held in South Korea on October 31-11, where Japan and the United States leaders met with great concern – at the first press conference after the election, Goku said clearly that “diplomacy will be the foundation of the Japan-U.S. alliance in the field”. Her advocated slogan “Japan is Back” and “Make America Great Again” (MAGA) appeared to form a kind of “political resonance”. However, in the context of Japan’s severe economic situation and political fragmentation, the city government would have to pay more attention to safeguarding its national interests. When Japan’s interests and the interests of the

"Attract" the United States with pickup trucks, soybeans, natural gas, and defense expenses

Observers generally believe that the election of Japan's new Prime Minister Haraji Takashi means a comprehensive resurgence of conservatism in Japan. Takashi Saami was long promoted by former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, and his conservative concepts are highly consistent with the latter, including historical views, national security concepts, and economic policy propositions. As early as during his campaign for the president of the Liberal Democratic Party, Takashi Hayashi followed the slogan of "Japan Returns to the Top" put forward by Shinzo Abe in 2013.

The backdrop of the slogan "Return to the Peak of Japan" is that the Democratic Party defeated the 2009 House elections, and its long-standing ruling situation was declared to end, so that Abe announced "Return to Japan" before the 2012 House elections, leading the Democratic Party to regain overwhelming advantage. With the new government, Abe regime in June 2013 officially put forward the slogan "Return to the Peak of Japan". In Japan, the slogan announced the comprehensive implementation of "Abe Economics"; overseas, Abe insisted on restoring the Japanese-US alliance from the time of the Democratic Party government to enhance Japan's international status.

So, what kind of "peak" is Takashi Saami, who actively quotes the slogan of "Japan Returns to the Peak", planning to bring Japan back? Although her complete policy blueprint will not be clear until after her policy speech on October 24, judging from some of Gao's words and deeds after becoming prime minister, her overall vision can be roughly outlined. According to the content announced on the website of the Japanese Prime Minister's official residence on October 21, the Takashi Municipal Government has three main goals: achieving strong economic growth, developing local industries and protecting people's livelihood, and strengthening diplomatic and defensive capabilities. Japanese media generally believe that the Takashi city government has continued the Abe government's line of emphasizing national autonomy, economic regeneration, and strengthening the Japan-US alliance. However, in the face of challenges in the new era, such as the turbulent international environment, increasing financial burden, severe population aging, and the Liberal Democratic Party's position in Congress is still unstable, making it very difficult to "copy" Abe's line.

"The election of Takashi Saami marks a turning point in Japanese politics and the US-Japan alliance." The US Newsweek reported that. Japanese media believe that the Gao municipal government will continue Abe's government's "Japan-US alliance + India-Pacific strategy" line and is expected to strengthen cooperation with the United States in security, economy, trade and technology. At the same time, it faces friction in its relations with China and South Korea due to its conservative and tough stance. Japan's new Foreign Minister Toshimitsu Motegi said at a press conference on the 22nd that Japan will promote Japan-China relations on the basis of strategic and mutually beneficial relations and handle differences through dialogue.

At present, it seems that Japan and the United States have released many signals of wooing each other. As early as when takaichi sanae was elected president of the Liberal Democratic Party but not yet prime minister, Trump and US Treasury Secretary Bescent posted a message on social media to welcome and praise him. According to Newsweek, sanae takaichi also seems to position himself as a "reliable partner of the United States" and made it clear at the press conference that "the Japan-US alliance will be the cornerstone in diplomacy". Next week, the leaders of the United States and Japan will hold a meeting. Possible topics include Japan's increase in defense spending, the ongoing trade negotiations between the two sides, and the strategy of the Indo-Pacific region.

On economic and trade issues, Reuters quoted sources as saying: "The new Japanese prime minister attracted Trump by promising to buy American pickups and soybeans."The Japanese government is shaping a package of procurement plans, including buying Ford F150 pickups, soybeans and natural gas from the United States, and will submit the plan to Trump in next week's trade and security talks.

On defence issues, the city government has announced the increase in defence fees. According to Japan’s Korean News, the city government will also accelerate the revision of three important security documents to push forward defence policy adjustments. The government is preparing to complete the two-year prior goal of “defence expenditure for GDP 2%” planned to be achieved in 2027. At present, Japan’s defence expenditure has risen to about 1.8% of GDP. The U.S. has demanded that this figure be increased to 3.5%, and aligned with NATO’s 5%. However, a source familiar with the preparations for the meeting of Japanese and U.S. leaders told Reuters that the Japanese government will not promise any new defence expenditure targets at the meeting.

According to TBS News Network, who had participated in the campaign for President of the People's Republican Party, Xiao Jinghui now serves as Japanese Defense Minister, he said the early revision of security documents was due to the complexity of the current security environment. He advocated further relaxation of defense equipment transfer provisions, and said that the study of the next generation of submarine power does not rule out the inclusion of nuclear power in the discussion.

“If Japan’s interests are compromised, we must uphold our position.”

Chen Yang, a visiting researcher at the Center for Japanese Studies at Liaoning University, told a reporter from the Global Times that there is indeed a "political resonance" between "Japan returning to its peak" and "making America great again." However,"Make America Great Again" emphasizes shrinking the United States 'international responsibilities, prioritizing U.S. domestic interests, and forcing allies to obey orders, such as requiring allies to increase the proportion of defense expenses to GDP, requiring Japan to share more of the costs of U.S. troops stationed in Japan, and expanding investment in the United States. Under this premise,"making America great again" has denied the strategic autonomy of allies. At the same time, Takashi Haramui's core goal of "returning Japan to the peak" is "autonomy", such as promoting the amendment of the Constitution to allow Japan to independently exercise its right of collective self-defense; playing a more proactive role in the Indo-Pacific region, emphasizing that Japan must "have its own voice" rather than being restrained by the United States. Therefore, in Chen Yang's view, it is difficult to reach a broad resonance between Japan and the United States. There is a potential contradiction between "Japan returns to its peak" and "Make America great again."

The European "Modern Diplomacy" website published an article on the 22nd, saying that the meeting between Takaichi Sanae and Trump will be "high-risk", and the success of this meeting will set the tone for Japan-US relations in the coming period.

Newsweek noted that Goldman Sachs has also responded to Trump on some specific issues. For example, in April, Goldman Sachs said that Trump’s related remarks about the US-Japan Security Treaty are causing Japanese people to question whether the United States will support Japan when needed. The Center for Strategic and International Affairs Research (CSIS) that Goldman Sachs could push Trump to develop a comprehensive defence cooperation agenda, which is currently only in the short joint statement phase of former Prime Minister Sharapova and Trump.

Japan’s Defense Ministry data show that the budget of “Japan’s military-related funding” in fiscal year 2024 has reached 8601 billion yen (about $56,4 billion), a high innovation for four consecutive years. The Okinawa Times warned on the issue of the US military base burden that Okinawa county residents were concerned about the further transfer of base costs and risks brought by the “Japan’s integration” to the local area. The Japanese government stressed that “Japan’s alliance is the cornerstone”, but the local level especially Okinawa people felt that the base burden increased and local interests were damaged.

In areas such as trade and industrial chain, "Japan back to the top" and "Make America Great Again" also have contradictory points. During the September election campaign, Goldman Sachs said that the government promised about $55 billion in U.S. investments in Japan-US tariff negotiations, "if in the implementation of the agreement unfair clauses were found to harm Japan's interests, we must hold on to the position, including the possibility of re-negotiation."She was the only one of the five candidates for the President of the Democratic Party at the time to raise inequalities in the Japan-US tariff agreement. After the election, she said she would abide by the agreement. Japan hopes to protect its own small and medium-sized enterprises, enhance industrial competitiveness, and the United States hopes

Japanese public opinion generally believes that high markets have a greater difficulty in regulating such contradictions. If the high city government overweight the "Japan priority" policy, implement industrial protection, trade barriers, reduce U.S. dependence, measures such as, may stir up U.S. opposition, and may be rebounded by domestic opposition or some industrial groups. If the high city government to strengthen the Japan-U.S. alliance to excessively compromise with the U.S., it may be seen by domestic conservative supporters as deviating from its "return to the summit" promise.

Another issue that has received widespread media attention is whether takaichi sanae can establish a good personal relationship with Trump similar to that of Shinzo Abe and Trump. Japan's "Daily News" reported that Abe had a very close relationship with Trump when he was alive, and Trump even called him "Jinsan".

The central question is to what extent the United States exercises diplomatic autonomy.

According to the Korean Daily, a senior official of the Japanese Ministry of Foreign Affairs told Daily Asia that he expressed “preoccupation” over whether the relationship between Japan and South Korea could continue to boost under the leadership of the government of the city. “The policy of the city is similar to the policy of Abe to strengthen Japan-US relations, which could jeopardize South Korea’s strategic status.” The Korean Daily said that the position of the city as a strong conservative is similar to that of Trump’s “American priority” concept.

Many scholars emphasize that domestic issues have higher priorities for the high city regime than foreign policy. Professor Leif-Erik Isley, a professor of international research at the University of Korea's Pearl Harbor University, said in an interview with the U.S. cable news network (CNN) that Pearl Harbor was Japan's first female prime minister, "as opposed to saying it was a foreign policy transformation, rather than a reformation of the Japanese political party."The professor believes that Pearl Harbor's self-government party hopes she can re-form the party's image, reverse the party's recent downward popularity, while struggling to join small parties in the legislative coalition, "but Japan's prime minister has changed frequently in recent years, this politician known as 'Iron Girl' must quickly political performance in

Several Japanese scholars, former officials and mainstream media commentators have emphasized that even if Japan strengthens its alliance with the United States, it should push ahead within the framework of constitutional boundaries, congressional supervision, speech and human rights protection, and oppose bypassing democratic processes on the basis of “security”.

Mochizuki, a well-known Japanese-American scholar and professor of Japan-US relations at George Washington University, told Nikkei Asia that during Trump's administration, the core issue facing the Liberal Democratic Party was to what extent Japan should exercise diplomatic autonomy over the United States while maintaining the Japan-US alliance. He believes that takaichi sanae's pursuit of a more independent defense policy may instead complement the idea of reducing military intervention by the American "restraint faction", and even push the latter to lead American foreign policy to demilitarization.



News raw data sources → https://world.huanqiu.com/article/4OqrDjyxqpU

17WorldNews[2025.10.24-07:15] 访问:46
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