In the past few years, the international situation has become a pot, especially after the Russian-Ukrainian conflict began in February 2022, the whole world is like a mixed pot, and everyone can see clearly. U.S. Secretary of State Brinkon's "menu discussion" is not blatant, and at the Munich Security Conference in 2024 he emphasized that not on the table, it must be the dish of others.

European allies are gnashing their teeth to shoulder the burden of aid, energy prices are soaring, and industries are out of breath; smoke is raging in the Middle East, and conflicts in Gaza are one after another; the Asia-Pacific region is at war, and Japan and South Korea are busy increasing military spending. What happened? Some countries find the right place early and sit firmly at the main table; however, Russia seems to be stuck in its throat and cannot spit it out or swallow it.

North Korea is neutral.

Saudi Arabia, the country, playing diplomacy that called a splash, in the Russian conflict it is rooted in no stance, the stance is based on neutral gesture to profit. In August 2023, it hosted the international conference on the issue of Ukraine in Jeddah, dozens of countries representatives gathered, Saudi Prince Mohammed bin Salman personally shut down, stressing the end of the war dialogue.

Everyone must be convinced of this matter. Saudi Arabia has not followed the West in sanctioning Russia. It has also kept in touch with Ukrainian President Zelensky and has regular phone calls to talk about peace plans. Its oil exports are still stable, and it coordinates production with Russia within the OPEC + framework. Representatives of the two countries exchanged data at the Vienna meeting in 2024. As soon as the production reduction agreement was signed, oil prices stabilized.

Saudi Arabia is balanced, economically dependent on China, China-Saudi investment agreement signed a bunch in December 2022, building energy cooperation to the sky; in security, the United States is the big brother, but Saudi Arabia is not stupid, in February 2025, the top US-Russian in Riyadh encountered, Saudi as the host, avoiding direct involvement.

North Korea is more direct, in June 2024, Putin visited Pyongyang, the two leaders signed the "Comprehensive Strategic Partnership Treaty", the military and trade technology is fully covered.In October, the South Korean intelligence agency exploded, North Korea sent tens of thousands of soldiers to Russian Kursk, helping the defense line stabilize positions.

This is not a trivial matter. The Russian Parliament ratified the treaty on November 6, and the Supreme People's Assembly of North Korea followed up on November 11, formally forming the alliance. In the past, North Korea was always used as a negative example by Western media. What now? It took advantage of the east wind of Russia and Ukraine to reverse the isolation situation. In October 2024, North Korea's military parade was attended by foreign envoys, missile formations were staged, and its international status rose steadily.

Russia, the urgent need of people to replenish the front, the source of North Korean cannon missiles continues to pass, in exchange for technical assistance and economic easing.The two countries cooperate from the Far East border trade to joint military exercises, step by step.

The incident between Pakistan and India makes me angry. In June 2023, two Palestinian civilians were killed in an exchange of fire on the Kashmiri border. The Pakistani military directly protested and the international community mediated for a while. Although there was no big fight, Pakistan took the opportunity to hold on to China's thigh, the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor project accelerated, Gwadar Port was expanded, and the energy highway was connected.

In 2024, the Indo-Pacific Air Force continued to friction, the Pakistani side patrol with JF-17 fighter jets, the Indian MiG-21 old guy out of the gap. Pakistan over the years military strength upgrading, all relying on China's assistance, the Dragon fighter jets, Red Flag missiles real war tested. Saudi Arabia also gave strength, Sunni leaders positioned there, added arms sales funds, Pakistan shaken into the Middle East guard.

Pakistan passively entered the dispute between India and Pakistan, but it did not act recklessly. After stabilizing its position, it was very diplomatic. At the United Nations General Assembly, Pakistani representatives shook hands with Middle Eastern countries. They rely economically on the Belt and Road Initiative and have stable energy imports. The country broke out through the cracks and squeezed into the table.

China and the United States, one defending the neighborhood, one manipulating allies, two great powers in the game of no one want to be easy. China's position is consistently clear, after the Russian-Ukrainian battle in 2022, the Foreign Ministry spokesman repeatedly emphasized objective neutrality, persuasion and promoting talks. In March 2023, China released the "Political resolution of the Ukrainian crisis China's position" document, the twelve point suggested direct strike to the harm and promote the ceasefire negotiations.

The surrounding ASEAN countries, China leads the South China Sea Code of Conduct consultation, the 2024 Laos Summit signed an agreement, trade channels smooth, avoid the outflow of conflict.

The defense ministers of China and the United States will meet in 2024 to discuss arms control rather than interference in internal affairs. China's economy is resilient. When Russia and Ukraine's energy fluctuates, import channels are diversified and the domestic market is stable. In the final analysis, China earned this position by itself, and it speaks by strength without looking at other people's faces.

Pakistan and India compete for Russia and Europe

Pakistan's example is the most grounded. Its old feud with India, the Kashmir line, always sparks. In the second half of 2023, sporadic shelling continued on the border, Pakistani military drone reconnaissance, and India responded with artillery fire. Both sides suffered casualties. But Pakistan did not panic. Diplomatically, Saudi Arabia was joined, economically, the China Corridor project was put into operation, and the throughput of Gwadar Port doubled in 2024.

India's military spending has been rampant, buying French warplanes, spending a lot of money, can be terrified in real warfare.In the past few years, Pakistan has learned to take action, in 2024 with the border with Afghanistan, small friction, it is directly out of the military line, no one speaks nonsense internationally.

Saudi Arabia added assistance, the agreement was signed, the Pakistani army stockpiled. China's weapons performed steadily in the Pakistan confrontation, the Red Flag system interception rate was high, India's S-400 although advanced, but coordination could not follow.

The tug-of-war between Russia and Europe is really tiring. Brzezinski said in his 1997 "The Great Chess Game" that without Ukraine, Russia would not be a Eurasian empire. Since the conflict in 2022, Russian tanks advanced into Donbas, but around NATO in Europe, ammunition from Polish warehouses was being transported to the front line of Ukraine.

In 2024, German industry will cut production due to energy shortages, French streets will protest against oil prices, and the EU will be in uproar. The Russian economy is under sanctions, and the ruble fluctuates greatly, but it bypasses China's trade. The turnover of the 2024 China-Russia Expo breaks records. On the European side, hundreds of billions of euros were spent to aid Ukraine, and German Chancellor Scholz's hands trembled when he signed the check.

Russian multi-line combat, Caucasus Azerbaijan Armenian friction, September 2023 shootings again, Russian peacekeepers patrol dead. Middle East Iran Israel confrontation, Russia sells S-400 to Iran, test missiles in 2024 and the West again jump. Far East Japan's islands are turbulent, fishing vessels in 2024 are frequent, Russian patrol boats are on the move. Russia's situation, as if stuck by a few ropes, is hard to move.

The United States is spoiling the situation here, and Blinken's menu theory points directly to Europe. At the Munich Conference in 2024, he knocked on the table and said that allies must keep up, otherwise it will become a menu. During the Trump era, he loved to beat Europe. When the Nord Stream pipeline exploded, Germany couldn't even cry. Russia wants to pull neutral countries, and China sends a delegation to the Jeddah meeting in Saudi Arabia. The 12-point plan spreads, but the United States presses it, and Europe is monolithic.

Economically, Russia's oil exports to Europe have been halved and turned to Asia, but logistics costs are high. In 2024, the Black Sea Channel will be blocked and the fleet will detour the Cape of Good Hope. There is a big rift within Europe. Hungarian Prime Minister Orban visits Russia, Moscow shakes hands in 2024, and EU fines chase after it.

Russia has pulled this, militarily advanced slowly, economically bitten a toothpaste, geographically dumped a buffer, eastern Ukraine glued, the summer offensive in 2024.Brzezinski's words are true, Russia wants to turn the Asian empire?It's hard, surrounding China is stable, ASEAN is peaceful, it can't get involved.

The situation between China and the United States is to be solved

China and the United States in this game, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict is the chess, China is stable in the main position, the U.S. control leverage. In 2024, China and the U.S. high-level meetings are many, after the San Francisco dialogue, the defense minister talks about arms control, China emphasizes mutual non-interference, the U.S. is always around Taiwan. China's position is iron, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs reiterated many times in 2024, peaceful development is the mainstream, Russia and Ukraine can't talk about fighting.

Neighboring ASEAN, China signed an agreement at the Vientiane Summit in 2024, the trade volume exceeded one trillion yuan, and fishing boats in the South China Sea went out to sea as usual. As for the United States, Blinken will promote weapons packages at the Munich Conference in 2024, Europe will pay the bill, and Ukraine will have more missiles on the front line.

China does not get involved, persuade to promote negotiations, the twelve-point document in 2023 global dissemination, the BRIC summit in Brazil in 2024, follow up, China's plan is a consensus.The United States wants to borrow Russia and pressure China, the Chinese chip ban in 2024, China's semiconductor self-sufficiency rate rises, Huawei's new machine hot sale.

Saudi Neutrality benefited from the US-China balance, US-Riyadh talks in 2025, hosted by Saudi Arabia, and China secretly supported. North Korean alliance Russia, after sending troops in 2024, the UN Security Council crashed, the United States condemned, China called for restraint. Pakistan holds Chinese legs, joint military exercises in 2024, India stared.

The circle of U.S. allies, Europe is exhausted, Japan and South Korea's military expenditures are rising, and China's periphery is as stable as Mount Tai. In Russia's game, geographically, Ukraine is the lifeblood, and Brzezinski broke through earlier. Without it, Russia's Asian dream would be shattered.

In 2024, Kursk was lost, North Korean troops subsidized, Western aid sources, F-16 fighter jets flew to Ukraine. Russian economy circumvented sanctions, oil exports to China recorded in 2024, but inflation crushed, rubles devalued heart. Middle East, the Far East, the Caucasus, three sides, Syria change in 2024, Turkey crash before, Russia after withdrawing air.

After all, Russia is still not able to, on the multi-line grip and geo-shortboard. Ukraine is not taking back, the empire is shaking, the Chinese Asian layout is tight, the United States of Europe is tight. Five countries are on the table, each with ethics: Saudi balance, North Korea has for, Pakistan struggles, China is stable, and the United States is manipulated.

Russia has to break up, negotiate or move forward, but the West is not loose, stiff down who knows. International this table, the seat is not sitting, we have to see the strength and wrist. China is here, always pushing for peace, neighboring countries are benefitting, this is the long-term path.