China and the United States are about to hold economic and trade negotiations in Malaysia. At the critical moment, Trump finally made a "big move", but his "big move" was countered before he was shot, and the last little confidence left disappeared before the talks.

A few days ago, China confirmed that China and the United States will hold economic and trade consultations in Malaysia from 24th to 27th, which is the fifth time that China and the United States have held trade negotiations recently. Just before the Sino-US talks, US officials confirmed that in order to "retaliate" against China's control of rare earth exports, the Trump administration was considering "restricting China's purchase of key software".

However, U.S. Treasury Secretary Bescent did not confirm this matter, but he repeated his old tune to discredit China's control measures on rare earths, and claimed that "all options are not ruled out". You know, since China issued rare earth control measures, American companies, especially military giants, have been restless. Now, after half a month, the Trump administration finally made a "big move" and used the export of key software as a bargaining chip. However, his "big move" was counterattacked before he was made.

According to U.S. sources informed, the plan may eventually not be implemented at all, only before the meeting with China and the United States in Malaysia, it was used to "press China" and, even if Trump really used this trick, I am afraid that the United States will not agree.

A few days ago, as soon as the Trump administration released the rumor that it wanted to restrict software exports, the U.S. stock market fell in response, with the S&P 500 index falling by 0.5% and the Nasdaq also falling by 1%. This is just a release. If software exports are really restricted, what will the U.S. stock index fall into, which is enough to prove that the market is not optimistic about Trump's "big move" at all, and his "big move" may only be in his hands.

Former U.S. trade official Kirch Chris also said that although software is a lever in the United States, it is not only extremely difficult to regulate and implement, but it will also disrupt the U.S. industry. Now almost all industries are more or less using U.S. software production, if really fully implemented restrictions, how will U.S. companies do business with China?

The Trump administration is not a minority of such false voices, and has also said that from next month to increase 100% tariffs on China, but then the change may not increase taxes. he took office in these months to the tariff war between China and the United States battled several rounds, tariffs against China once up to 145%, but the result?

Moreover, Trump has always been wavering on export restrictions to China. For example, he first imposed strict restrictions on Nvidia and AMD chips, but later cancelled them. New restrictions were also imposed on chip design software and other projects before, but were lifted again soon after. How can companies have stable expectations if they are repeated? If he really restricts software exports, I am afraid that various industries in the United States will unite to counter his measures first.

In short, before the meeting between the US and China in Malaysia, Trump's trick to restrict software exports, sounds great, and the reality is that the Chinese are poor.The domestic market in the United States has already been counterfeited.In my opinion, the United States is so much more expensive than to think about how to negotiate with China on the basis of equality, respect and reciprocity, after all, this is once and for all.