Trump¡¯s recent diplomatic chessboard has been loud, but the reality is very weak.

When meeting with Putin in Budapest, he admitted that he "didn't want to waste time"; he was clamoring to come to China before, but there was no movement here. The so-called "next year's trip" was just a cake.

After a large circle, the remainder of the Japanese prime minister, who has just taken office, was the only "determination item" in his recent diplomatic agenda, after all, the trip to Japan at the end of October has been nailed on the board, this time the "new prime minister's first" meeting is probably the only rush Trump can now catch.

Trump just finished the phone call with Putin last week, announcing enthusiastically that ¡°we¡¯ll see you in Budapest in 14 days¡± and then turned his face a few days later. Speaking to reporters in the White House, Trump said he did not want to waste time with a meaningless meeting.

These words sound straightforward, but actually expose the irreconcilable contradiction between the United States and Russia. The key lies in the phone call between Secretary of State Rubio and Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov.

Trump wants Russia to have a ceasefire first and then negotiate a peace agreement, Putin is bite that "it must be signed this agreement first to guarantee our interests and then stop fighting", and even return to the original position on territorial claims that "all of Donbass 4 State of Crimea needs international recognition".

Rubio discovered that the Russian attitude has not softened but is becoming more and more tough, it can only be proposed to postpone, if it is not possible to talk, it is not necessary to talk.

But anyone with discerning eyes can see that this is giving themselves a boost.

There have been rumors that China intends to let this guy go through South Korea to the APEC summit to China by the way, but Trump did not speak, it is hard to mention "the first half of next year", in fact, it is to hide from the Sino-U.S. trade negotiations that expire on November 12, afraid to meet and talk about tariffs, if not and ashamed.

More importantly, China has so far failed to react substantially to the "trip to China".

On the day he was elected prime minister on the 21st, a spokesman for the Chinese Foreign Ministry simply bluntly mentioned the phrase "Japan has a political responsibility on history, Taiwan and other issues", without a single congratulation.

This "cold treatment" attitude is also very obvious. It means talking if you want to, but you have to show some sincerity and just talk but not practice fake tricks.

Trump's "Next Year's Deal" is probably yellow before he starts.When he hit the wall twice, Japan delivered an olive branch.

Trump just said on the 20th that "he will go to Japan soon", and on the 21st of the next day, sanae takaichi was elected as the new prime minister. This time was made together, just like a script written in advance.

As planned, he will be in Japan for three days on October 27, the first major summit since the high market came to power.

For Gaoshi, this is not a "good thing". It is clearly the "first exam".

Her newly formed cabinet does not have many majorities in Congress and has a low approval rating. How to respond to Trump's demands is directly related to whether the regime can be stabilized.

And Trump, probably viewed this visit as a "salvage grain" in recent diplomatic trouble.

He came this time to ask Japan to realize the US$550 billion it promised before and invest in the United States, and also to provide practical things such as energy and agricultural products.

For example, U.S. soybeans, recently saddened not to sell out, Trump wants Japan to buy a little more, even less from Brazil; and liquefied natural gas, although not mentioning the Alaska project, but "increasing imports" is definitely to be mentioned.

The most interesting thing is the car. He had previously said that he would ask Japan to buy a Ford F-150 pickup truck, but this car has a large body and high fuel consumption. Not many people buy it in the Japanese market. Some people say it can only be used as a snow remover.

To be honest, Trump's "US-Japan cooperation" in the heart is to see the tangible benefits, and the high market this time is afraid to hide to "blood."

Interestingly, it was not so "obedient" before the high market.

During the election campaign, she was the only one who dared to say that the $550 billion agreement was "heavily biased towards the interests of the United States", but as soon as she was elected, she changed her mind and said that "the risk is controllable and there is still commercial rationality". This kind of face change speed is faster than turning over a book.

Not because its foundation is too thin.

The current Japanese government is a "minority cabinet" assembled by the Liberal Democratic Party and the Reform Council. Takashi himself does not even have much weight in Congress. If she dares to say "no" to Trump and the United States will cut her support, she, as the prime minister, may not sit still.

So although he was unwilling, he could only endure his anger and agree and even made a meeting gift.

The trouble is not just a compromise with the United States.When she entered the cabinet, she spread a "turn to the right" breath: the constitution, the expansion of the army, the establishment of foreign intelligence agencies, and the defense minister also selected a conservative party that advocated "strengthening military power".

But this right-wing bottom, in turn, makes her more diplomatically passive.

Let's talk about China. The spokesman of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs specifically pointed out "history and the Taiwan Province issue". This is not just a casual remark. Takashi used to participate in revising history textbooks and downplaying the expression of aggression, and China has all these accounts in mind.

She now wants to "strengthen the military and expand the military" by relying on the thigh of the United States. She must first pass the Chinese hurdle. If she really dares to touch those historical red lines or the Taiwan issue, it will be more than just a joke.

On the one hand, to please the United States to ask for money to support, and on the other hand to prevent neighbors from feeling unpleasant, this "Japanese lady Thatcher" has not yet come to power and is baked on the fire.

She cried out to make defense spending up to two percent of GDP by twenty-seven years, where does this money come from? and have to look at the face of the United States.

It's a little overwhelming, one wants to support the scene through a diplomatic victory, another thinking about the method of continuing the regime in the United States by compromising, this "two-way march" drama code is nothing but necessary.

Trump is thinking about the 550 billion investment and soybean energy orders. The high market hopes that the United States can help to keep the sluggish support rate. However, whether Trump can really get the money bag, and whether Gao Shi can catch a breath through this meeting, no one can figure it out this time.

After all, one is that the "businessman president" will not let go when he has no benefits, and the other is that the "weak prime minister" has a very thin foundation. I am afraid we can only wait and see what will happen in the end of this seemingly settled meeting.