To be honest, Japanese politics is sometimes better than television.No, it's high-market early-size just became Japan's first female prime minister, but her prime minister's position is not very stable, just like sitting on a rolling chair.

First of all, the show in Congress on October 21 was quite twisted. In the first round of voting in the House of Representatives, she was still successful, and it was easy to go over. But in the Senate, the situation was completely different, the first round of voting was unsuccessful, and it was necessary to delay to the second round to win.

The 63-year-old political veteran is not a newcomer. She has been elected to the House of Representatives since 1993, has been involved in politics for more than 30 years, and has held important positions as Secretary of State, chairman of the self-government party. In this male-right-dominated political circle in Japan, she is a woman from a civilian family, can climb to this position today, it is not easy.

But the problem came, the original self-government party and the self-government party that lasted 26 years, should logically be able to safeguard her successfully elected. Who knows just this month, the self-government party suddenly announced not to play with the self-government party, ended this long cooperation relationship.

After some bargaining, she finally got on line with the Japan Reform Association, and the two sides signed a joint ruling agreement on the 20th. However, this kind of cooperation has been described by Japanese media as "cooperation outside the cabinet". To put it bluntly, the Reform Association will keep a backup. In case of policy inconsistency or public opinion is wrong in the future, they can pat their butts and leave at any time. This relationship is very fragile, like a tightrope walk without a safety net.

Takaichi sanae is not a moderate in politics. She is a well-known conservative figure, with a particularly close relationship with Shinzo Abe, and is regarded by many people as the "successor of Abe's line". Her right-wing conservative position is quite clear. She has always advocated restoring Japanese traditional values, strengthening national pride, and talking about amending the constitution and strengthening security all day.

When it comes to her political position, there is a topic that can't be avoided, and that is the Yasukuni Shrine. She insisted on visiting the Yasukuni Shrine for a long time, and interfered in the "Taiwan Province issue" many times, declaring that "if something happens in Taiwan Province, Japan will definitely be involved". Japanese media are generally worried that if she continues to visit the shrine after becoming prime minister, the relationship between Japan and its East Asian neighbors will definitely be tense for a while.

In terms of security policy, the new prime minister is also very hard, clearly proposing to increase the defense budget to 2% of GDP and vigorously develop missile defense, space and AI combat technologies. This is not a small amount. Think about it, Japan's total GDP is so large, how much does 2% cost?

At present, the ruling coalition composed of the Liberal Democratic Party and the Japan Reform Association still has less than half of the total number of seats in the Senate and House of Representatives. This means that in the future, the Gaoshi regime will have to humbly seek the support of other opposition parties or non-party members on every specific issue. This song is quite good, but it's a bit too humbled.

In the past, when the Democratic Party and the Communist Party jointly ruled, the relatively moderate Communist Party could still have a little constraining effect on the government's security policy.Now the Democratic Party cooperates with the stronger Japanese Reform Society, and the government may not have had anything to balance when promoting security policy, and it feels a little suspended.

There are also disagreements within the self-government party about this cooperation, and some party members are dissatisfied with the policies of the "vice-capital concept" promised by High City to promote the joint venture, and feel that she hasn't fully discussed it with everyone in the party.

And about when the high market may dissolve the House of Representatives, there are experts analyzing that there are two possible times: one is before December 17 this year, the other is before the end of March next year. but the early general election for the high market is like a gambling, winning can solidify the ruling foundation, and losing can become the "first short-lived female prime minister in history", this title is not good.

After taking office, takaichi sanae hardly had time to catch his breath, so he had to put into diplomatic work immediately. Japanese Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara has announced that US President Trump is expected to visit Japan next Monday (27th). This will be Gao Shi's first heavyweight diplomatic activity after taking office, and it will also be her first face-to-face meeting with Trump.

The Ho Chi Minh City government was ready to present to Trump on that summit plans for U.S. procurement, including soybeans, natural gas, pick-up trucks. The pick-up bid included Trump¡¯s vigorously sold Ford F-150, while soybeans were specifically requested by U.S. Secretary of Commerce Lutnik last week in a call with the Minister of Economy.

In terms of security, Takashi is expected to explain to Trump Japan's defense strengthening policy. Japan's Ministry of Defense has previously explained that in 2027, the defense budget will account for 2% of GDP. This figure is not just a casual statement, but it means huge military investment.

Speaking of international reactions, a spokesperson for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of China said at a regular press conference that China and Japan are close neighbors and China's basic position on Sino-Japanese relations is consistent and clear. Some experts also believe that Sino-Japanese relations will not be in a downturn immediately in the short term, but may face great uncertainty in the medium and long term.

Because from the current situation, it is not excluded that after the inauguration of the high market, he will "do some small moves" on historical issues, such as allowing congressmen to visit Taiwan, if she did, it would have an impact on the stability of China-Japan relations.

However, back again, high-market early-size appointment of Momo Mimi as foreign minister, this arrangement is quite smart. Momo has a rich diplomatic experience, and has dealt with the United States and China both countries, should be able to avoid to some extent high-market foreign policy too extreme.

It is a bit ironic to say that Takashi's election was billed as a historic moment by domestic and foreign media, but there were only two female ministers in her own cabinet, far below expectations. During the election campaign, she once vowed to reuse women and young cabinet members, but the reality is not a small difference.

Trump¡¯s visit will be the first major test after she took office, and how long the self-government party¡¯s ¡°outside cooperation¡± will last will determine whether the high-city regime will break the ¡°short life magic¡± or become another turning-down meteor.

To be honest, takaichi sanae's ability to become prime minister has indeed made history, but the road ahead is not easy. Constitutional amendment, security policy, Japan-US relations, Sino-Japanese relations, and the fragile ruling coalition are not fuel-efficient lamps. Whether she can sit in this position for a long time is still unknown. But one thing is certain, Japanese politics has a good show to watch now.