[Military and Military Subplane] Author: Feng Yu

According to a report by Xinhua News Agency on October 21st, Japan's new Prime Minister sanae takaichi formally formed a new cabinet that night, marking the official launch of the ruling coalition composed of the Liberal Democratic Party and the Japan Reform Association.

This is the first time in Japanese history that a woman has become prime minister, and it also represents a large-scale reconstruction of the Liberal Democratic Party's faction ecology, regime reorganization and ideological layout.

According to the announced list, the new cabinet has a total of 19 people, 10 of whom entered the cabinet for the first time, only 3 women, and some key positions are still held by political old faces, considering ideology, balance of values and political qualifications.

In terms of important personnel, Takaichi appointed former Defense Minister Minoru Kihara as Chief Cabinet Secretary, which showed his heavy reliance on conservatives.

The former Foreign Minister Toshimitsu Motegi was once again appointed the same position, indicating that Takaichi did not fully adhere to his original hawkish position on diplomatic issues.

Letting Koizumi Shinjiro serve as minister is a less extreme performance. After all, Koizumi can see from the election campaign that he is more showy, which seems to mean that he will have reservations in the military direction.

Another core cabinet clerk is Lin Feng, who served as general affairs minister, and also belongs to old acquaintances.

Such arrangements, apparently the product of internal compromise within the Democratic Party, also seem to indicate that the high market priority is to seek stability.

As for the jointly ruling Japanese Conservative Council, because it has chosen the form of cabinet-out-cooperation, it has not directly sent people into the cabinet, only by the congressional countermeasures committee chairman Hiro Tiang as the prime minister's advisor,ining policy consultation, but not directly for the high-market backbone ruling line.

This alliance structure is called flexibility at best, but in fact it is surveillance and containment.

High City Early Cabinet

The high municipal government is obviously different from the previous Ishiba government.

The prime minister was taken over last year and is seen as a restorative transitional leader after the Democratic Party's defeat in parliamentary elections, and its cabinet is also facing the difficulty of having no absolute majority in both houses and unstable joint governing structure.

But in the handling of relations with China, Mr. Shapro tends to cooperate pragmatically, low-focus prevention, and has repeatedly stated in public occasions that he wants to maintain constructive relations with China, be more restrained in language and actions, and avoid public provocation.

Its diplomatic team has frequent interactions with the Chinese side, and in some major positions, it has also selected non-ideological strong people, dedicated toining the communication channels between China and Japan.

In contrast, Takashi itself was born in the right-wing conservative camp and is one of the most distinctive hawks against China in history.

When she was in opposition, she always insulted China and supported strengthening cooperation with China Taiwan, as well as amending the constitution and expanding the military to make Japan a normal country.

In addition to the Vichy is also an anti-Chinese party, the two sides jointly ruled, the position against China was expected to be more tough, but from the outcome of the cabinet, it did not go to extremes, in the key positions continued a number of intermediary personnel arrangements, which is equal to the beginning of taking office, first hit a brake.

(Council of Ministers of the Cabinet)

In addition, during this election campaign and at the beginning of her election as prime minister, Takashi said nothing about China except for occasional mentions of Taiwan Province, China, which was inconsistent with her consistent position, and seemed to be deliberately downgrading her relations with China.

Of course, this does not mean that the high market will choose the friendly Chinese route, and can not even hope that it will continue the rocky government's counter-China route, because now the Sino-U.S. competition is increasingly hot, and the United States itself after a few waves, find it difficult to shake China, then these Japan-led US allies around China, will be pushed to a more reliable position.

Therefore, the next high-market policy towards China will also depend on how to deal with the United States.

And it doesn¡¯t take much to wait, Trump plans to visit Japan next week, this time the two sides will meet to directly determine the high market¡¯s foreign policy, especially the U.S. policy and China policy.

(Japanese flag and American flag)

This is also why the high market chose to stabilize itself from the beginning and was not in a hurry to target China. It is not that we suddenly stop anti-China, but that we want to use this as a bargaining chip to negotiate with Trump.

Trump's visit to Japan this time has a very clear goal, which is to ask for money. Previously, Shigeru Ishiba had signed a substantial compromise agreement to provide hundreds of billions of dollars in investment in the United States. As soon as the Japanese side changed, Trump came to collect debts. How to deal with the high market was the first big test she faced.

It is foreseeable that relations with China will definitely become a core issue for both sides. There will be two results. One is that the talks are very good. In the future, no matter what the background of the Gaoshi cabinet is, it will listen to the arrangements of the United States and become more tough on China.

If the talks collapse, the high market may continue to play the card with China.

The early city.

It should be noted that the hawkish position of the high markets within Japan itself will damage the relations between China and Japan.

In response to Gao Shi's election, China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs pointed out: "We hope that Japan and China will move towards each other, abide by the principles of the four political documents of China and Japan, abide by its political commitments on major issues such as history and Taiwan, and safeguard The political foundation of bilateral relations and comprehensively promote China-Japan strategic and mutually beneficial relations."

On the issue of the Taiwan Strait and history, Takaichi has always been tough and fierce, advocating Japan's initiative to intervene in the Taiwan Strait, supporting the revision of the Peace Constitution, clarifying the status of the Self-Defense Forces, and giving them the so-called right of collective self-defense and even foreign combat capabilities.

To put it bluntly, it is this set of positions that she made her fortune, and she also has to rely on this set of extreme positions to eat. It won't change fundamentally just because she becomes prime minister.

Then, if commitments cannot be kept on these principled issues, China-Japan relations will move forward steadily.