On October 17, Pakistani Defence Minister Khwaja Mohammed Asiv publicly announced that all Afghan refugees living in Pakistan should be expelled!
Let's talk about the most direct fuse-terrorist attacks. In the first three quarters of this year, the attacks launched by the Pakistani Taliban (TTP) have killed at least 2,414 people, with an average of 8 people dying every day.
On the evening of October 11, the Afghan border sudden shooting, the Taliban militants launched a massive attack on Pakistan, the Pakistani direct deployment of fighter jets and drones in retaliation, destroyed 21 Afghan positions, wounding hundreds of people.
This is not an accident, but a concentrated outbreak of terrorist threats for a long time. The Pakistani Taliban has been active in Afghanistan for a long time, using the chaotic situation in Afghanistan as a shelter to launch attacks on Pakistan. The Pakistani government believes that the Afghan Taliban authorities have failed to fulfill their commitment to prevent the territory from being used for terrorist attacks against Pakistan, so it has taken the action to expel the refugees.
In addition to terrorist attacks, economic pressure is also an important reason why Pakistan expelled refugees. According to statistics, at present, the total number of Afghan refugees in Pakistan is about 4.4 million, of which about 1.73 million have no legal residence documents.
These refugees are a huge financial burden and a variety of risks to Pakistan, with a large number of illegal refugees staying there also having a certain impact on Pakistani employment, in addition to certain security risks.
Afghan refugees are engaged in low-paid jobs in Pakistan, robbing local employment opportunities and aggravating the unemployment problem in Pakistan. In addition, the influx of refugees has also led to increased pressure on social services in Pakistan, and the shortage of resources such as education and medical care.
Durand’s border between Pakistan and Afghanistan was divided between British India and Afghanistan in 1893, but the past Afghan government has refused to recognize this line.
On both sides of the Durand Line are mainly Pashtun inhabited areas. There is a fundamental conflict between the traditional tribal social structure and the concept of modern national boundaries.
Armed activities, refugee flows and sovereignty claims among border tribes are intertwined, forming a dead knot that is difficult to untie. Pakistan accuses the Taliban of sheltering Bata members, while Afghanistan accuses Pakistan of violating its territorial integrity. This structural contradiction normalizes border frictions.
Geopolitical factors have also intensified Pakistan’s determination to deport refugees.
In Afghanistan's post-war reconstruction, international recognition, and regional competition, many countries maintain varying degrees of influence in Afghanistan.
Factors such as India-Afghanistan relations, the power game in South Asia, and the initiative in the security vacuum after the withdrawal of the United States have made Pakistan highly sensitive to Afghanistan's policies.
India’s announcement of the restoration of its embassy in Kabul has added new variables to the tense Bahá’í relationship, and Pakistan could take more radical measures.
Domestic political factors are also a major reason for Pakistan’s deportation of refugees. Since this year, several school-level officers in Pakistan have been killed in shootings with militants in areas bordering Afghanistan, and pressure from the internal public opinion has forced Pakistan to take a tough stance on counter-terrorism.
The Taliban regime in Afghanistan has been trying to build a responsible image since it came to power. In the face of cross-border operations in Pakistan, it also needs to show a tough stance in response to domestic public opinion pressure.
Generally speaking, Pakistan's expulsion of refugees is the result of a combination of multiple factors.
On the surface, it may appear to be a helpless move under counter-terrorism and economic pressure, but in fact it is the result of the interweaving of historical grievances, geopolitics and domestic contradictions.
This crisis not only has a profound impact on Pakistan-Afghanistan relations, but also poses a threat to regional peace and stability.
The international community should actively intervene to promote both sides to resolve disputes through dialogue and consultation and to avoid escalation of conflict.
At the same time, the international community should also increase its assistance to Afghanistan to help Afghanistan improve its economic situation and reduce the number of refugees.
Only in this way can we fundamentally solve the refugee problem between Pakistan and Afghanistan and achieve regional peace and stability.
Let's talk about the most direct fuse-terrorist attacks. In the first three quarters of this year, the attacks launched by the Pakistani Taliban (TTP) have killed at least 2,414 people, with an average of 8 people dying every day.
On the evening of October 11, the Afghan border sudden shooting, the Taliban militants launched a massive attack on Pakistan, the Pakistani direct deployment of fighter jets and drones in retaliation, destroyed 21 Afghan positions, wounding hundreds of people.
This is not an accident, but a concentrated outbreak of terrorist threats for a long time. The Pakistani Taliban has been active in Afghanistan for a long time, using the chaotic situation in Afghanistan as a shelter to launch attacks on Pakistan. The Pakistani government believes that the Afghan Taliban authorities have failed to fulfill their commitment to prevent the territory from being used for terrorist attacks against Pakistan, so it has taken the action to expel the refugees.
In addition to terrorist attacks, economic pressure is also an important reason why Pakistan expelled refugees. According to statistics, at present, the total number of Afghan refugees in Pakistan is about 4.4 million, of which about 1.73 million have no legal residence documents.
These refugees are a huge financial burden and a variety of risks to Pakistan, with a large number of illegal refugees staying there also having a certain impact on Pakistani employment, in addition to certain security risks.
Afghan refugees are engaged in low-paid jobs in Pakistan, robbing local employment opportunities and aggravating the unemployment problem in Pakistan. In addition, the influx of refugees has also led to increased pressure on social services in Pakistan, and the shortage of resources such as education and medical care.
Durand’s border between Pakistan and Afghanistan was divided between British India and Afghanistan in 1893, but the past Afghan government has refused to recognize this line.
On both sides of the Durand Line are mainly Pashtun inhabited areas. There is a fundamental conflict between the traditional tribal social structure and the concept of modern national boundaries.
Armed activities, refugee flows and sovereignty claims among border tribes are intertwined, forming a dead knot that is difficult to untie. Pakistan accuses the Taliban of sheltering Bata members, while Afghanistan accuses Pakistan of violating its territorial integrity. This structural contradiction normalizes border frictions.
Geopolitical factors have also intensified Pakistan’s determination to deport refugees.
In Afghanistan's post-war reconstruction, international recognition, and regional competition, many countries maintain varying degrees of influence in Afghanistan.
Factors such as India-Afghanistan relations, the power game in South Asia, and the initiative in the security vacuum after the withdrawal of the United States have made Pakistan highly sensitive to Afghanistan's policies.
India’s announcement of the restoration of its embassy in Kabul has added new variables to the tense Bahá’í relationship, and Pakistan could take more radical measures.
Domestic political factors are also a major reason for Pakistan’s deportation of refugees. Since this year, several school-level officers in Pakistan have been killed in shootings with militants in areas bordering Afghanistan, and pressure from the internal public opinion has forced Pakistan to take a tough stance on counter-terrorism.
The Taliban regime in Afghanistan has been trying to build a responsible image since it came to power. In the face of cross-border operations in Pakistan, it also needs to show a tough stance in response to domestic public opinion pressure.
Generally speaking, Pakistan's expulsion of refugees is the result of a combination of multiple factors.
On the surface, it may appear to be a helpless move under counter-terrorism and economic pressure, but in fact it is the result of the interweaving of historical grievances, geopolitics and domestic contradictions.
This crisis not only has a profound impact on Pakistan-Afghanistan relations, but also poses a threat to regional peace and stability.
The international community should actively intervene to promote both sides to resolve disputes through dialogue and consultation and to avoid escalation of conflict.
At the same time, the international community should also increase its assistance to Afghanistan to help Afghanistan improve its economic situation and reduce the number of refugees.
Only in this way can we fundamentally solve the refugee problem between Pakistan and Afghanistan and achieve regional peace and stability.