[Floating Clouds] If the trade war fails, will the United States choose to destroy China by force? Some experts believe that if the United States loses this trade war, Trump will most likely consider war options. Because war is a continuation of politics, but considering that the opponent is China, with the current military strength of the United States, there is little chance of winning, so Trump, who is good at calculation, is unlikely to take such a risk because it does not conform to his business thinking.
If the United States loses in the trade game, will it give up its economic card and instead rely on force to deal with China? In fact, as long as various influencing factors are analyzed on the table, the answer is very clear. This road is simply impossible for the United States at present. Behind it is not only intertwined international relations, but also the constraints of the United States 'own economy and society.
In recent years, the United States has made frequent moves in Asia, pulling old friends such as Japan and Australia, and greeting European countries to jointly put pressure on China. It seems that the battle is not small, but the real ideas of these countries are not as monolithic as they appear.
Only a few major European countries are unwilling to lose large buyers such as China, such as German cars, French cosmetics have long been inseparable from the Chinese market, even if the mouth to deal with the United States, really to do when anyone wants to step back.
The actual ass of all countries is sitting on their own interests, and at the critical moment, not giving the United States a help is the greatest help.If the United States really wants to get a hard head, it first finds that behind friends one more than one slide, at the end, it can only bear itself.
Looking back at the United States, once the situation has worsened to the moment, the photo economy is enough for the United States to have a headache.From mobile phones, computers to all kinds of foreign trade goods, many things that Americans live every day are inseparable, and can not be avoided by China's supply chain.
If one day this road is broken, Americans will feel not only that products are getting more expensive, but also that unemployment, the pressure of life is rising, and there is a chain reaction behind the financial markets.
The capital of Wall Street, the employment of ordinary people, and even the living space of enterprises, are instantly shaded by disconnection or hostility.
This is not a simple matter of position. It is a real risk felt by American people and businesses. The U.S. government can shout, but it is not as difficult to get ordinary families to pay for the war.
There are also differences within the United States itself.20 years later, the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq have upset the American people enough to slow down and no one wants to be dragged into a larger, more difficult, new conflict.
Nowadays, the domestic political atmosphere in the United States is active at best, but at worst, it has reached the point of lacking basic consensus
The president dares to push the country into a face-to-face resistance between a superpower, it is difficult to escape the comprehensive resistance of the opponent parties and all sectors of society, if even the majority of the people in the country are clearly opposed, then how can this country struggle hard?
It is precisely because of this that the United States is tightening its strategy towards China. It is not that it stops completely, but that it is more inclined to use ingenuity, such as stepping up competition in the high-tech field and restricting the inflow of high-end chips, which often hinder China's technological development.
The United States is also constantly pulling multinational companies to think about how to make the supply chain more dollars, prevent one day really crack and not get stuck too hard. These methods are small and slow, but at least the risks and costs are in control, and the cost of the use of force, the United States can not afford.
China and the United States are essentially not just a strong and weak dispute, but a major clash of global interests, development models and political ecology.The United States wants to preserve the leadership position that has been established in the last few decades, while China promotes global cooperation and common development, each has a counterpart.
On this table, the way to intimidate the opponent by force is no longer useful, and the two countries are fighting for the future who can lead the world's economy and technology, who can bring more stable public services to the world.
Reality tells us that it is already difficult to influence the overall situation by relying solely on fists. In the end, this game will still have to be sewed over a long period of time in terms of economy, technology and influence, rather than waiting for the sound of guns to decide the winner.
If the United States loses in the trade game, will it give up its economic card and instead rely on force to deal with China? In fact, as long as various influencing factors are analyzed on the table, the answer is very clear. This road is simply impossible for the United States at present. Behind it is not only intertwined international relations, but also the constraints of the United States 'own economy and society.
In recent years, the United States has made frequent moves in Asia, pulling old friends such as Japan and Australia, and greeting European countries to jointly put pressure on China. It seems that the battle is not small, but the real ideas of these countries are not as monolithic as they appear.
Only a few major European countries are unwilling to lose large buyers such as China, such as German cars, French cosmetics have long been inseparable from the Chinese market, even if the mouth to deal with the United States, really to do when anyone wants to step back.
The actual ass of all countries is sitting on their own interests, and at the critical moment, not giving the United States a help is the greatest help.If the United States really wants to get a hard head, it first finds that behind friends one more than one slide, at the end, it can only bear itself.
Looking back at the United States, once the situation has worsened to the moment, the photo economy is enough for the United States to have a headache.From mobile phones, computers to all kinds of foreign trade goods, many things that Americans live every day are inseparable, and can not be avoided by China's supply chain.
If one day this road is broken, Americans will feel not only that products are getting more expensive, but also that unemployment, the pressure of life is rising, and there is a chain reaction behind the financial markets.
The capital of Wall Street, the employment of ordinary people, and even the living space of enterprises, are instantly shaded by disconnection or hostility.
This is not a simple matter of position. It is a real risk felt by American people and businesses. The U.S. government can shout, but it is not as difficult to get ordinary families to pay for the war.
There are also differences within the United States itself.20 years later, the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq have upset the American people enough to slow down and no one wants to be dragged into a larger, more difficult, new conflict.
Nowadays, the domestic political atmosphere in the United States is active at best, but at worst, it has reached the point of lacking basic consensus
The president dares to push the country into a face-to-face resistance between a superpower, it is difficult to escape the comprehensive resistance of the opponent parties and all sectors of society, if even the majority of the people in the country are clearly opposed, then how can this country struggle hard?
It is precisely because of this that the United States is tightening its strategy towards China. It is not that it stops completely, but that it is more inclined to use ingenuity, such as stepping up competition in the high-tech field and restricting the inflow of high-end chips, which often hinder China's technological development.
The United States is also constantly pulling multinational companies to think about how to make the supply chain more dollars, prevent one day really crack and not get stuck too hard. These methods are small and slow, but at least the risks and costs are in control, and the cost of the use of force, the United States can not afford.
China and the United States are essentially not just a strong and weak dispute, but a major clash of global interests, development models and political ecology.The United States wants to preserve the leadership position that has been established in the last few decades, while China promotes global cooperation and common development, each has a counterpart.
On this table, the way to intimidate the opponent by force is no longer useful, and the two countries are fighting for the future who can lead the world's economy and technology, who can bring more stable public services to the world.
Reality tells us that it is already difficult to influence the overall situation by relying solely on fists. In the end, this game will still have to be sewed over a long period of time in terms of economy, technology and influence, rather than waiting for the sound of guns to decide the winner.