At around 20: 56 local time on the 21st, the certification ceremony of Takaichi Sanae Cabinet Minister ended. The Takaichi Cabinet was formally established. (Bai Chunyang, reporter of the main station)
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Takaichi Sanae successfully formed a cabinet, and "cooperation outside the cabinet" laid a "short-lived" gene
Writing / 徐立凡 (column writer) editor / 柯锐 校对 / 柳宝庆
The high-ranking plant finally succeeded.
According to CCTV news reports, on October 21st, in the first round of voting for the nomination election of the Prime Minister of the Japanese House of Representatives, Sanae Takaichi, president of the Liberal Democratic Party, won 237 votes (a total of 465 seats in the House of Representatives), won by more than half of the votes, and was elected as the 104th Prime Minister of Japan.
Previously, due to the disintegration of the Liberal Democratic Party-Komeito alliance, takaichi sanae's dream of becoming prime minister was once in jeopardy. However, the opposition party failed to reach an agreement on launching a unified prime minister candidate, and fought independently in the nomination election of the prime minister of the House of Representatives. Takaichi sanae reached a compromise with the Osaka Reform Association on the 20th, and with the support of several non-partisan members of the House of Representatives, he finally won more than half of the votes in the nomination election of the Prime Minister of the House of Representatives. After the relevant ceremony, the Takashi Cabinet based on the ruling coalition of the Liberal Democratic Party-Reform Association will be launched soon.
Takashi Takashi is one of the representative figures of right-wing politicians, so her appointment as Prime Minister of Japan is particularly eye-catching. But it should also be noted that her ideas are far more eye-catching than her abilities. In a "stitch freak" cabinet, how far she can go is still a big question mark.
The political alliance with the Victorian Society is not strong
It can be said that if there were no reforms that would jump out to support, Gao Shi's dream of prime minister would be in vain. However, what is more noteworthy is that the cooperation method chosen by the Reform Association and Gaoshi Zaomiao is "cooperation outside the cabinet."
What is "cooperation outside the cabinet"? That is, the Reform Council will not join the cabinet and will still maintain its identity as an opposition party in essence. This means that the newly born self-sustaining alliance is essentially different from the previous self-sustaining alliance. The Self-Democratic Alliance has been tied to the same boat for the past 26 years. The price was that when the Liberal Democratic Party's black gold scandal broke out, the Komeito Party's support rating also dropped sharply.
The Self-Defense Alliance does not intend to prosper with the Self-Democratic Party at a loss, but only to support him in the case of being prime minister in the high market, and the other policies of the high market still need to be observed.
Many of the policy proposals of the Vichy are consistent with those of the high market, and even more conservative and far-right, why are they only limited to supporting the Vichy in the high market? The reason is that the Vichy and the Vichy are the competitors in the region of Guangzhou. Although in recent years the Vichy has gained an advantage in Guangzhou's development in Osaka, the strength of the Vichy as the old party cannot be underestimated.
Based on this, the opening price of the Vichy to the high market was to raise Osaka as the vice-capital, reduce the proportion of parliamentarians (through political party votes as parliamentarians), and the self-government party completely abolishes enterprise and group contributions.
If Osaka's status is improved, the position of the Reform Council in Kansai will be more stable. As for reducing the proportion of members, it will not be conducive to the major parties. As for abolishing corporate and group donations, it is simply killing the Liberal Democratic Party.
Such an offer shows that the self-sustaining alliance is not an ideological alliance, but an alliance in which each takes what they need. This also means that if Gao Shizao fails to fulfill its promise, the reform may "jump ship".
It can’t change the people’s genes.
It is also doubtful whether the high-cost early-mortem could manage the cabinet composed in the name of unity.
According to media reports, sanae takaichi will appoint former Chief Cabinet Secretary Lin Fangzheng as Minister of General Affairs, which is the first cabinet member in all provinces of the Japanese government. In addition, the main cabinet members include: Minoru Kihara is the Chief Cabinet Secretary, Toshimitsu Motegi is the Foreign Minister, Koizumi Shinjiro is the Defense Minister, May Katayama is the Finance Minister, Noriko Onoda is the Minister of Economic Security, and Akizawa is the Minister of Economy, Trade and Industry.
In this list, most people are the old faces of Japanese politics, which is, of course, the illusion that the Japanese government wants to create the self-government party again united, but also shows that the Japanese government has no power to weaken the influence of the traditional faction of the self-government party.
In fact, this is also evident in its appointment of the "five positions" (the five main positions) within the Democratic Party, where the 85-year-old Mahatma Gandhi's shadow is everywhere on the list.
This means that it is impossible for sanae takaichi to attack the "black gold politics" system of the Liberal Democratic Party, and the trend of Japanese people's poor perception of the Liberal Democratic Party will continue.
Of course, takaichi sanae also appointed a group of officials or members of the Senate and the House of Representatives to join the cabinet for the first time, mainly occupying secondary "pit positions" such as public security, legal affairs, land, infrastructure, transportation, agriculture, forestry and fisheries. This is the main force she may be able to rely on, but it also indicates that she has the ability to dominate social issues rather than the foreign policy she is assiduously pursuing.
Or it is difficult to get rid of the "short-lived" cabinet cycle
From an external perspective, it is natural to pay more attention to those core policy proposals of High Market Early, including changing the Japanese Peace Constitution, making the Japanese Self-Defense Forces "right name" as the National Defense Army, allowing Japan's economy to double in 10 years, strengthen "technical security" to reduce external dependence, increase military spending, and deny Japan's history of aggression.
But she can do very little to amend the constitution?Requires more than two-thirds majority in Congress, and the fact is that the cabinet is still a minority government.
The fact is that Japan has been pursuing an unlimited easing policy since the Abe period, and its global economic size has declined, and Japan’s debt scale has reached the level of 250% of GDP.
Strengthen "technical security" and reduce external dependence? The fact is that Japan's dependence on external markets, including China, is increasing, especially in key industry supply chains.
Putting aside these grand narratives imagined by Takaichi Sanae, for now, the first test faced by Takaichi Sanae after taking office is whether he can pass the 2025 supplementary budget that includes measures to deal with rising prices in Congress.
The foundation of cooperation with the Vichy Society is fragile, the support within the party depends on the positions, the core claims are questioned by the outside world, and all signs indicate that the high market will fall into political trouble once she takes office.
Of course, no matter how Japan's political situation changes, China and Japan, as close neighbors, should move towards each other, which is also in the interests of both sides.
Duty Editor Guli