After many days of fierce competition and political games, the situation in Japan's political arena has undergone a major turning point. Takashi Haraimu successfully achieved a counterattack and found a partner. The birth of Japan's first female prime minister seems to be a high probability event.
However, the hidden crisis behind this situation has made China highly concerned and extremely worried. Why is this so?
At the critical moment when the Japanese Prime Minister was about to vote by name, the situation changed dramatically again.
The Liberal Democratic Party and the Reform Council have reached an intention to "jointly govern", and the total number of seats they hold in the House of Representatives will exceed 230.
As a result, there is a high probability that the high-ranking prime minister will win the nomination vote, making it very likely to become the first female prime minister in Japan's history.
However, if the self-government party and the Vichy would really work together to form a cabinet, it would be Japan’s “most conservative” right-wing cabinet since the end of World War II.
The Reform Association is a political party that upholds the so-called "Greater Japanism." Its party emblem covers an extremely wide range, including not only the Diaoyu Islands of China, but also Dokdo, which is disputed by Japan and South Korea, and Russia's South Kuril Islands.
Previously, Shi Ping, who was sanctioned by China and denounced as a "traitor" by the Chinese people, was a member of the Reform Association.
Coupled with Takashi Saami, a figure known as the "extreme rightist", if they control the cabinet, Japan is likely to frequently create frictions in surrounding areas. This is undoubtedly the last situation China wants to see.
Moreover, if the high city cabinet can really take office, its time nodes are quite sensitive.
At present, the tariff war between China and the United States has escalated again, and the situation is grim.
China has taken a series of strong and powerful measures in key areas such as rare earth, maritime, and semiconductor, making the Trump administration of the United States into a difficult situation, with no response.
Even if the United States wooed its allies to jointly put pressure on China, it failed to achieve substantial results.
Although Trump still holds some “coding” in his hand, he does not dare to use it easily.
After all, whether playing the "Taiwan card","Japan and South Korea card", or the "South China Sea card", it is very likely to trigger military friction between China and the United States, which is exactly what he has been trying to avoid.
However, if there is an "agent" who can take the initiative to take tough measures against China like the Marcos authorities in the Philippines, then this will undoubtedly help the United States "contain" China to a certain extent, and this is exactly what Trump expects to see.
However, the choice to cooperate with the Vichy Society is not wise for the Self-Democratic Party.
You know, the Liberal Democratic Party's former ally, the Komeito Party, is not the kind of party that relies solely on "votes". It has its own complete basic organizational structure.
In many aspects, the Komeito Party plays an important "complementary" role to the Liberal Democratic Party.
But the Vichy is different, it is a local political party in the Osaka region, which has repeatedly publicly declared that it would make Osaka the vice-capital of Japan, and its ultimate goal is to realize Japan's "district of things".
This means that if Takashi Zaomiao wants to reach cooperation with the Reform Council, he will inevitably need to cede a large number of interests of the Liberal Democratic Party, and may even hand over "most of the country".
In the face of this situation, will the other factions of the Self-Democratic Party be indifferent or indifferent?
Furthermore, the alliance between the High Market Foods and the Vintage Society has had obvious vulnerabilities from the outset.
Judging from the cooperation model between the two sides, the Reform Council has adopted a "cooperation outside the cabinet" approach, that is, they do not enter the cabinet, but only provide "assistance" on the outside.
For the maintenance association, this model can be referred to as "return itself".
If the bill they promote can be passed smoothly, they can also get a share of the credit; and once there is a problem in the Takashi cabinet, triggering a "siege" in Japanese politics and the public, they can quickly draw a clear line with the Takashi cabinet, thereby avoiding governance risks.
And for Ho Chi Minh, she didn’t seem to have any better choice, because in Japan’s opposition party, apart from the Vichy, there were no other parties willing to work with her.
However, even if the self-defense coalition was formed, they still held less than half of the seats in the House, which leads them to a variety of obstacles in their political process at any time.
Therefore, even if the prime minister could realize her "prime minister dream", her ruling path will be full of difficulties, extremely unstable, and various "unexpected circumstances" may occur at any time, and this big game of Japanese politics may have just opened.