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During the 19th Trump interview with Fox News, while boasting about his previous achievements in the tariff war against China, he suddenly uttered an interesting phrase: I don't want to destroy China, this sounds like a space, in fact, it is a pressure.
The meaning is that if it is not according to the requirements of the United States to negotiate an agreement, the tariff war may bring China into trouble, and at the time of the coming Sino-U.S. meeting, Trump has started this set of combinations that threatened to talk again, can he really the effect he wanted?
In an interview, Trump said that he had lost hundreds of billions of dollars to China through the tariff war. He also said that China is now forced to let the United States collect a 155% tariff, and even blamed the United States for China's expansion of its military. These words sound bluffing, but there are many loopholes.
Let's talk about this 155% tariff first. Tariffs are never something that one party is forced to accept. When the United States imposes tariffs on China goods, China will definitely respond accordingly. In the end, it is not only China companies that bear the costs, but also American consumers and companies that rely on China's supply chains.
Like U.S. retailers imported household appliances and clothes from China, after tariffs rose, either price increases let consumers pay, or their own profits are compromised, there is absolutely no only China is forced to bear this.
Looking at the claims that China would pay hundreds of billions of dollars, Trump did not say clearly how this figure was calculated.
But from the public data can be seen, after the tariff war between China and the United States, China's exports to the United States although somewhat volatile in the short term, but rely on industry upgrading and more search for other markets, soon stabilized.
On the contrary, the US farms, factories, many because of the loss of the Chinese market or supply chain costs have increased, business can not go down, the US government has to take a large amount of money to subsidize farmers, this is only to say that they are cheap, not to mention how much they have lost, obviously does not meet the reality.
What's more interesting is that Trump doesn't want to destroy China's threat logic. He seems to think that China can make concessions by tariff pressure, but he forgets that China has a key counter-bargaining chip, rare earth.
China in the global rare earth industrial chain occupies the core position, the U.S. high-tech industry, military-industrial manufacturing are inseparable from China's rare earth, small to chips, new energy batteries, large to warplanes, missiles, without this thing can not be played.
If China really restricted rare-earth exports, the U.S. industries were likely to discontinue or even stop, so he said that destroying China could not stand from the beginning.
Trump’s threat to China is not the first time, and on the same day he was interviewed by Fox News, the media revealed details of his talks with Zelensky at the White House.
In the face of Zelensky, he also used the method of threats and inducements, insisting that Zelensky accept Putin's ceasefire conditions, and frightening that if he didn't do so, Russia would occupy Ukraine. The United States did not want to see Russia destroy Ukraine.
This statement is almost exactly the same as the threat logic to China. First, it throws out a terrible result, and then pretends to be someone who can stop this result, forcing the other party to do what it wants.
But the problem is that the terrible outcomes he says for China or Ukraine are far from true.
In terms of the situation in Ukraine, in the past year, the Russian-Ukrainian front has basically not changed much, and neither side has had the advantage of changing the battle scene.
The British "Economist" conducted a set of detailed statistics. Since Russia launched its summer offensive in May this year, the Russian army has only occupied 0.4% of Ukraine's territory.
At this rate, even if we only fully occupy the four eastern provinces, we will have to wait until June 2030, let alone destroy the entire Ukraine.
Zelensky obviously understood this. Faced with Trump's threat, he not only did not compromise, but continued to advance defense against Russia.
This reaction, and the attitude of the Chinese side to the Trump tariff threat, is similar, not fear, but the submission after seeing more.
After all, Trump's attitude in the Sino-American confrontation has long exposed repeated trouble, and the previous day also said to be tough on China, and the next day may be initiative to slow down, and soon again to start challenging.
Many times, whether China or the Zelensky government, have grasped the essence of his false voice, and naturally will not be disturbed by a few words.
In the face of Trump's threat, there are two core reasons why China can not be used to it. In addition to seeing that he can only bluff, China itself has enough strength and determination to not be short-term pressure disrupts the pace of development.
In terms of strength, in addition to the above-mentioned rare-earth advantages, the resilience of the Chinese economy is also crucial, these years, China has long failed to rely on the single market by expanding domestic demand, advancing the Belt and Road, and strengthening economic and trade cooperation with ASEAN and Europe.
Even if the United States continues to increase tariffs, China can make up for its losses by the growth of other markets. Just like in 2023, the total import and export volume between China and ASEAN will exceed 6 trillion yuan, an increase of 5.8% over the previous year. This multi-market layout has reduced the lethality of the US tariff war a lot.
In terms of strength, China has alwaysined its own pace in the game, and Trump says that China expands its military because of the United States, which is itself a misunderstanding of China's national defense policy.
China's development of national defense forces has always been to safeguard national sovereignty, security and development interests. It is defensive in nature and will not change because of pressure or provocation from outside.
Whether it is to deal with the tariff war, or to deal with other differences, the Chinese side has always been willing to talk, the door is open, if you want to fight, it is also accompanied by the end, neither proactively looking for something, nor afraid to find something.
What's more, Trump's threat routine has little deterrence now. Now the global pattern is becoming more and more multi-polar, and countries pay more attention to equal and mutually beneficial cooperation, rather than unilateral pressure and threats.
Like this time Trump threatened China and Ukraine at the same time, not only failed to the goal, but instead made more countries see the nature of his double standards, saying that he does not want to destroy China, while creating trouble with tariffs.
At the same time warning Russia that it will occupy Ukraine, while not providing practical support, this contradictory practice will only make him more and more unbelievable.
For its current interaction between China and the United States, it relies not on threats, but on equal dialogue and mutual respect, and Trump wants to rely on the Chinese side to make concessions, obviously finding the wrong direction.
China is not used to him, not only because it is confident in its own strength, but also because it adheres to the basic norms of international exchanges. In the current international situation, no one can make China compromise with a few words of threat.
Source of information:
Trump says he'doesn't want to destroy China 'amid tariff battle--Fox News