In recent months, the signs of U.S. military action against Venezuela have become increasingly apparent. The U.S. military has sinked four Venezuelan vessels without judicial procedures, causing people to die. After the October 17 attack, the two survivors were arrested by the U.S. military, becoming the first Venezuelan citizens arrested since the incident. The U.S. military has not revealed the identity of the two, and has not shown any evidence of drugs, but instead demonstrated its war.
It has been that under such pressure, Venezuelan President Maduro has put the conditions to the United States that he can resign and be replaced by the current vice president, but the United States wants to ensure that Maduro can stay safely in Venezuela and withdraw criminal charges against him.
The media pointed out that Maduro was transferred to the United States through Qatar's private channels.The first document was submitted in April 2025.The plan allows U.S. companies to enter Venezuela's oil and mining industries, and the specific arrangements need to be negotiated.
After Trump came to power, he charged the Venezuelan government with drug trafficking, and President Maduro was directly accused of becoming a drug dealer. In fact, everyone knows that since former Venezuelan leader Hugo Chavez launched the revolution, the United States has always disliked this small Latin American country. As Venezuela and China and Russia approach, they become even more thorn in the side of the United States.
Perhaps in the eyes of the United States, a Cuba is enough headache, and with a Venezuela, will there be a prairie fire in this backyard of Latin America?
In addition, Venezuela is rich in oil and mineral resources. Although it is deeply buried and difficult to exploit, it is an astronomical wealth after all. For Trump, a politician who was born as a real estate developer, seeing and possessing mines is the greatest pleasure in his life. The Venezuelan government, which insists on economic independence, is bound to get rid of it quickly.
Therefore, no matter whether Maduro sincerely seeks peace or not, he will not get a positive response from Trump.
Besides, Trump has deployed the Naval Air Force toward Venezuela and even deployed the F-35s to Puerto Rico.There is a real gun fighting.
While Trump bombed Iran in June and claimed to have destroyed Iran’s nuclear capabilities, Iran did not account, and Iran’s state machine was not destroyed. The United States, as an imperialist nation, almost every president has to fight a battle to prove his strong leadership. American citizens also agree with the idea that as long as they can win a victory they will be more supportive of the current president.
Trump has always lacked such a "performance", he does not dare to send troops into Ukraine, does not dare to really war with China, nor is it able to launch a war of annihilation against Iran.
Venezuela has a total population of just over 28 million, less than one-tenth of the United States. The total force of the army has risen to 100,000, although some advanced weapons are imported from China and Russia, but the number is too small to compensate for the absolute advantage of the U.S. military. Once invaded, Venezuela must consider the prospect of long-term airstrikes, and even face direct occupation by the U.S. Navy Corps. In the process, the country's oil production and exports may be interrupted, and the people will endure a time of extremely hard life.
This is a mental preparation and institutional preparation for the war-torn nation. Venezuela, which lacks the experience of brutal military struggle, has not necessarily been able to do so. Although Venezuela has experienced armed uprisings and military coups in its history, it is far less intense and intense than Cuba. The army and people may not have been able to withstand the military strikes of the United States.
But from the history of U.S. foreign relations, it rarely respects the opponent who is proactively seeking reconciliation. The more the other side wants peace, the more the U.S. wants to mobilize. The more the other side wants to seize the Sunni people, the more the U.S. wants to step forward. So, Maduro told Trump that he can consider the bottom line, and will further enhance the desire for an U.S. armed solution. Since it can take the hand, why negotiate?
However, the Maduro government should have also recognized the U.S. position. It has been six months since the proposal was submitted in April. The Venezuelan government has not collapsed or surrendered. Over the course of these months, Maduro has organized national civilians to receive military training, build defense works, and prepare to counter the U.S. invasion.
In particular, China has repeatedly emphasized in the United Nations Security Council that The U.S. deployment of nuclear submarines, destroyers and other weapons in the near sea of Venezuela has gone beyond the so-called anti-drug, but intends to subvert the regime.And China has huge investments in Venezuela, and it won’t sit by watching those assets be held by Trump.
As long as Venezuela is prepared for a long-term struggle and holds onto the top three of the U.S., there is hope to win the war against aggression.