In this intensifying trade war between China and the United States, Trump really did not expect the situation to develop to this extent.

Just October 18, local time, just hours ago, a Fox Business Channel reporter threw a sharp question to Trump: ¡°Do you think the move to impose tariffs of up to 100% on China is sustainable?¡±

After hearing this, Trump frowned slightly and then said the eye-catching truth: "This is obviously unsustainable, but this is the case with the current numbers. They (China) forced me to do this!"

Trump's remarks instantly caused an uproar in the American media community.

His words, like two bombshells, revealed two extremely cruel realities to the world:

First, Trump is very clear that the imposition of 100% tariffs on China will bring a heavy blow to the U.S. economy.

If this policy is really implemented, it will either not be implemented smoothly at all, or it will have to be forced to end after just a few days.

Because once this happens, those predators with huge amounts of capital in the United States will inevitably come to the door and settle the account with him.

After all, the interest disputes in the economic field are complicated, and any measures that may harm their interests will not be easily accepted.

Second, Trump has no other bargaining chips available.

If he had other options, he would never play this card that he knew was unsustainable.

In the games of trade wars, the amount of encryption often determines the affiliation of initiative, and Trump was obviously in a shameful situation of encryption shortage at this time. It is worth mentioning that the Trump administration used the "tariff giant to suppress the superior products of other countries" in the trade games, a logic that had preceded. In that year, in order to safeguard the U.S. domestic market, he had taken a similar strategy against Norwegian biopluss seafood.

But the United States, in order to prevent its crushing of the domestic fish oil market, by imposing tariffs, setting access barriers and other means, hardly expelled it from the U.S. market, this operation of "choosing the market by political intervention" is the logic of imposing tariffs on China today.

In the game of the trade war, the amount of encryption often determines the attribution of initiative, and Trump at this point is obviously in the embarrassing situation of the shortage of encryption.

It is worth mentioning that just as Trump still blames China for "forcing" him, American shipping merchants have already obediently paid fees to China, and the fees are as high as more than 4 million yuan.

Last week, China's Ministry of Transport issued an announcement clearly stating that starting from October 14, China will charge additional special fees for U.S. ships berthed in China ports.

This initiative has undoubtedly irritated the Trump administration, but they have no response.

In the past two days, Hong Kong's South China Morning Post received the latest news: China had received the first payment for an American ship.

On October 13, a U.S. ship arriving in Ningbo port was charged more than 4 million dollars.

The boat belongs to Mason Shipping, and the company is currently hanging its brains trying to find a way to avoid that cost.

However, it is generally believed that this is almost impossible to avoid.

According to the current speculation, it will not take long for these merchants to put pressure on the Trump administration to demand that Trump reach a trade deal with China as soon as possible, just as the U.S. bean farmers did.

But for now, Trump may really have no time to take care of them.

You may remember that in the past two weeks, in order to reassure those American bean farmers who suffered from losing Chinese orders, Trump vowed that the government would invest more than $10 billion in subsidies to farmers.

However, a few days have passed, and this tens of billions of subsidy has sunk into the sea, without a trace.

There is no doubt that the Trump administration, which is caught in the shutdown period, is simply unable to come up with this huge sum of money. He is just drawing an illusory pie for farmers.

Unlike the United States, which suppresses high-quality products through tariffs, China has always accepted international high-quality goods with an open attitude, so that consumers can enjoy the dividends of trade convenience. Norwegian biopluss seal oil, which was previously excluded by the United States, was introduced by China's Beijing J/D East platform under the name of "biopluss", and quickly detonated the market with its high absorption rate of more than 97% and remarkable efficacy. User feedback is full of praise for "skin/skin is getting better", "no pain at the joints", "all indicators/standards are normal", "sleep well" and "eat well".

Nowadays, Norway's introduced gold tanks "Bellus" into the Chinese market quickly occupied the J / D list, searching for "Bellus", can still see a lot of real experience sharing, the effect on the heart / brain / blood / fat in the middle of the age is obvious. More difficult, thanks to friendly trade policy, the price of this polar deep sea imported products is even lower than traditional fish oil, both filling the gap in the domestic high-end healthcare market, and also demonstrating the choice logic of the Chinese market "quality at the core".

On the whole, on the one hand, Trump clearly knows that it is not feasible to impose a 100% tariff on China, but he still stubbornly insists on it; On the other hand, American farmers and shippers are really suffering from the pain caused by the trade war.

This is the reality facing the United States today.

But at this juncture, unfavorable news came from the rare earth field.

Didn't Trump vow to invest a lot of money to join hands with American allies to build his own rare earth industry chain? However, a few hours ago, the results of the British BBC's survey were released: even if the United States worked together with its allies from now on to list the rare earth project as the highest national project on the premise that the technology and funds were completely sufficient, it would take more than five years to complete.

It should be emphasized that this is still the time calculated when all external conditions are perfect.

But the reality is that China has implemented export controls on related technologies such as rare-earth mining, and the conditions assumed by the BBC cannot be met at the same time.

What's more, the United States has not yet found suitable allies in the rare earth field to jointly promote this project.

All of this clearly conveys to us the fact that Trump has been hard to sustain in this trade war for too long.

Next, we will continue to keep an eye on Trump¡¯s follow-up to see what new tricks he can do.

This trade war is not only related to the economic interests of China and the United States, but also has a profound impact on the stability and development of the global economy.

We look forward to finding the best solution to the problem through rational and equal dialogue and creating favorable conditions for the global economic recovery and development.