The relationship between the two great countries has become more and more tense over the years, from trade frictions to the military confrontation in the South China Sea, everyone feels that the risk of firing guns is not small. It really matters, who will help, this must start from the historical and realistic alliance system. The United States side is thick, the allies are many, the military network is around the world. China side is relatively independent, mainly on its own, but there is a key partner. Let us think, if the conflict breaks out, which countries or organizations are likely to stand the U.S. team, and China can expect external assistance is basically one.

Let's talk about the four main helpers on the US side: NATO, Japan, South Korea and Australia. These are not picked randomly, but have formal treaties and long-term cooperation. NATO is a military alliance established in 1949. It was originally aimed at the Soviet Union. Now its goal has changed a little, but its core is still collective defense. Article 5 stipulates that if a member state is beaten, all members will respond. The United States is the leader of NATO, with European countries plus Canada, and its strength is superior.

If China and the United States fight in the Asia-Pacific, NATO is not necessarily all in the battle, because the treaty mainly covers the North Atlantic region, but the United States can pull some members to provide intelligence, logistics or political backbone. European countries with the United States economic military ties tight, the United States is in Europe tens of thousands of troops, bases are everywhere. Britain and Poland are the first time to support, Germany and France may hesitate, because of the trade with China, but security considerations are still the United States.

The security treaty between Japan and the United States was signed in 1951, after the Second World War, the United States helped Japan to rebuild, alongside Japan as the Asian-Pacific jumpboard. Now the United States is stationed in Japan tens of thousands, Okinawa base is the focus. If the China-U.S. because of Taiwan or the East Sea issue fight, Japan can not put itself outside. The treaty requires Japan to provide support, the United States promises to protect it. Japan and China have a historic complaint, the East Sea Fish Island dispute has not ended, the Japanese self-defense troops these years, the missile defense is strengthened, is to defend China. Japan relies on the United States in Asia, without the United States, its self-defense power can not overcome. In recent years, Japan has publicly expressed support for

The situation in South Korea is a bit similar, the US-Korean defense treaty was signed after the Korean War in 1953, the United States is stationed in South Korea almost 30,000. South Korea is stuck in the middle of North Korea, Japan and China, the day is sad. Security is the first priority, the United States is its nuclear umbrella, the high-tech industry is also dependent on the US market. South Korea is closely linked to the Chinese economy, the trade volume is large, but really to the US-China conflict, South Korea has chosen the United States. Because of the loss of security, the economy is not useful. Recently, South Korea has strengthened military cooperation with the United States, joint exercises are frequent, against North Korea and China threats. If the United States start a war, South Korea has to activate joint command,

The relationship between Australia and the United States began in World War II, and the 1951 Australia-New-America Treaty was formally aligned. The recent 2021 AUKUS agreement to build nuclear submarines is obviously aimed at China. Australia feels that the backyard of the South Pacific is penetrated by China's influence and has to rely on the support of the United States. China-Australia relations have been in trouble over the years. China does not buy Australian coal and iron ore, and Australia simply completely turns to the United States. Although the location is off, it has high strategic value and can provide the United States with bases and resources. AUKUS tied Australia to American tanks, and nuclear submarines were no joke. If there is a real war, Australia will send troops and ships to participate in Asia-Pacific operations.

These helpers add up, and the United States forms a global encirclement network. NATO manages Europe, Japan, South Korea and Australia guard the Asia-Pacific region, and the United States itself can deploy troops around the world. Military bases are everywhere, weapons are advanced, economic strength is strong, and they can fight protracted wars. Technically, the U.S. aircraft carrier, stealth aircraft, and satellite system are leading, and the U.S. dollar dominates the world, which can use sanctions to exert pressure. China is geographically limited, the first island chain blocks the navy from going to sea, has few allies, and its diplomacy is relatively isolated. The economy relies on exports, and the risk of sanctions is high. However, China's missile technology is strong, its anti-ship capability can threaten American aircraft carriers, and its offshore defense and submarine combat capabilities are not weak.

On the side of China, Russia is basically the only reliable external force. China-Russia relations have been warm over the years, with frequent military exercises, arms sales, and calls for unlimited cooperation. But there is a question mark on how reliable this friend is. China and Russia had conflicts before, including border conflicts in the 1960s, but they eased after the Cold War. Nowadays, the two countries often sing a naysayer internationally and oppose U.S. hegemony. Russia sells China S-400 missiles and Su-35 aircraft, while China buys Russian oil and gas to help each other. The enemy of the enemy is a friend. The United States sanctions Russia, and China opposes the United States. Russia is happy to see the excitement and helps. Militarily, China and Russia jointly conduct military training and have stable relations. Economically, Russia was blocked by the West, China became a big buyer, and energy pipelines were repaired.

Russia is helping China, more wanting to use the opportunity to disturb the United States, to seize the benefits of itself. All support of China, Russia does not have to shy away from putting itself all in. It is also in Central Asia to protect China from seizing the ground, history is not completely put. But in the potential China-U.S. conflict, Russia may provide intelligence, weapons or energy support, according to the China-Russia Friendship Treaty and the 2022 partnership declaration. Russia will not sit down regardless, because losing will affect its position. but not a piece of iron, Russia prioritizes European interests, limited investment in Asia-Pacific.

How will this war be fought? The network of U.S. allies allows it to respond quickly, with hundreds of bases around the world, strong logistics, and the ability to fight on multiple battlefields. China has a large army and powerful missiles, but its access to the sea is easily blocked and its economy is afraid of sanctions. Russia has limited aid and more regional cooperation. In terms of global layout, the United States has an advantage, but China's military strength and economic size cannot be underestimated. The cost of war was heavy and the global economy was hit. Rational countries understand that diplomatic and economic means are better at resolving disputes. Competition between China and the United States is fierce, but the possibility of a direct war is small and everyone wants to avoid it.