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Recently, the presidents of the United States and Russia made a phone call, Putin directly said that to give Ukraine the entire territory of Donetsk to end the war, but Trump not only did not refute, but turned to reject Zelensky's most urgently needed tactical missile aid, and also sent social media that the negotiations stopped blood.

Russia is trying to surrender key territories to Ukraine, but the United States has stopped aid to Ukraine, even European diplomats can't stand to say it is betraying Ukraine, Ukraine is not really going to be sold?

Zelensky this time to find Trump, he ran for one of the most important things, to the long-range missile, this missile can hit 1600 kilometers, if it really got, the Ukrainian army can directly hit the back of the Russian ammunition warehouse, the transportation line, just can break the front line warfare that is now stiff for more than a year.

At present, Russia has controlled about 20% of Ukraine's territory. The two sides are sawing back and forth around Donbas, and no one can move forward.

As a result, Trump's response was very direct. I hoped that the war could be ended without sending missiles. In one sentence, Zelensky's expectations were blocked.

Trump is so cautious, it is not unreasonable, before he promoted a ceasefire in Gaza, and also arranged a hostage exchange, and has always seen this as an important diplomatic achievement.

Now he wants to move this war-stopping model to Ukraine. For him, ending the war in Ukraine as soon as possible will not only cost less U.S. aid money, but also concentrate on other things.

But for Ukraine, this is no different from cutting off weapons supplies. After all, most of the Ukrainian army's current equipment and ammunition rely on the support of the United States and Europe. Without key weapons such as the Tomahawk, if it wants to demand conditions from Russia at the negotiating table, it will only be weaker.

And after Trump and Putin ended the conversation, he did not want to talk with Zelensky-Tipkin about Donetsk in the whole country, but rather ambiguously said on social media to let all parties say they have won.

This attitude of pretending to be confused inevitably makes people guess whether the United States has secretly compromised with Russia and intends to sacrifice Ukraine's interests for peace?

This time, Putin asked for the entire territory of Donetsk. It was really not a temporary decision, but 11 years of pondering. In 2014, Russia began to support the pro-Russian separatist forces in Donbass and took control of some local areas, but it has never been able to get the whole territory. This land is a strategic hard nut for Russia.

Donetsk is an industrial city in eastern Ukraine, with a wealth of coal and steel resources, and if it were to be taken here, Russia would be able to connect to the mainland Russia, Crimea, and the east, further tighten the already occupied Ukrainian territory.

Moreover, if Donbass can be controlled, Russia's influence in eastern Ukraine can be strengthened, which is equivalent to inserting a nail in Ukraine, making it difficult for Ukraine to completely get rid of Russia's containment in the future.

This time, Putin also sent a signal of a concession, willing to give up parts of the previously occupied areas of Zaporozhye and Helsinki.

Many White House officials in the United States think this is a signal that the situation is progressing, but European diplomats can see through it at a glance. Where is this a concession? What they gave up were two areas that were difficult to defend, but what they wanted was the entire territory of Donbass, which was basically a trade for Ukraine's core interests.

Because once Donbass is lost, Ukraine will not only lose its industrial foundation, but also lose a large number of people, and its national strength will drop to another level.

The Washington Post also exploded, before the U.S. Special Envoy to the Middle East, Steve Witkov, said in the meeting in Uzbekistan that Donbass mainly speaks Russian, and must be seen in a real-life perspective.

This is almost exactly the same as Russia's statement of protecting the Russian-speaking community. Ukraine diplomats questioned on the spot that it was too similar to the Kremlin's logic. This subtle statement made Ukraine feel that it was pushed to the brink of being sacrificed.

Looking at the current situation in Ukraine, it is easy to remind people of what happened to Australia before. When Trump launched a trade war with China, Australia also joined in the fun, but as a result, China directly responded.

Australian red wine exports to China fell from 1.2 billion Australian dollars annually to 300 million Australian dollars, beef, seafood and these advantages are also blocked outside the door, and agriculture directly loses heavily.

At the beginning of this year, China proposed that the iron ore transaction of Australia's BHP Billiton should be settled in RMB, and Australia finally agreed, because 65% of its iron ore had to be sold to China. If this road was really cut off, the economy simply couldn't bear it.

And the situation Ukraine is now facing, a little like this, but more dangerous, it wants to follow the United States for security, but the United States security is increasingly lacking.

Zelensky is also a fool, knowing that he can not bear Russia on his own, so he agreed to a ceasefire on the frontline now, but put a condition, that the U.S. and the European Union make a real security promise, to prevent Russia from calling back later.

But Trump didn't say anything about this matter. Instead, he planned to go to Budapest, Hungary recently, and then talk to Putin about Ukraine. This posture is more like using Ukraine's interests as a bargaining chip. What is more realistic is that Ukraine doesn't have much bargaining capital now. The front line has been deadlocked for more than a year. The domestic economy is almost unable to sustain itself. Energy and infrastructure have been smashed to pieces, and the people are having a hard time.

The aid from the United States and Europe is not unlimited. European countries themselves are still facing energy pressure, and their willingness to continue to aid Ukraine is also declining.

Putin has just seen this, and has dared to ask for the entire territory of Donbass, he knows that Ukraine can¡¯t run out, and the United States wants to get rid of it sooner.

Trump is full of confidence, saying that he has never been calculated by top negotiators in his life, and he always wins in the end.

But the analysis of the Washington Post is quite true, the core differences between the US and Russia on the Ukrainian issue have not decreased at all.

Russia wants the entire territory of Donbass, to take control of the East, the United States wants to spend less money to end the war, and does not want to completely blame Russia, and Ukraine wants security, territorial integrity, instead became the least insignificant claim.

The next Budapest Summit is a critical juncture. If Trump really reaches a tacit understanding with Putin, even if he only tacitly agrees that Russia wants Donbas, for Ukraine, being sold will become a real thing.

After all, once Donbass is lost, Ukraine not only lacks strategic importance, domestic cohesion will be hit, who wants his country to rely on cutting territory in exchange for peace?

Of course, there is no shift without it, the European countries are not small opposition to the sale of Ukraine, if Europe insists on aid to Ukraine, will make the United States not dare to easily compromise.

Ukraine itself is looking for more support, such as strengthening cooperation with other countries and relying less on the United States.

But at least now, Ukraine is like standing on the edge of the cliff, moving forward, is tough with Russia, but without weapons, no aid, backwards, is to accept negotiations, possibly to lose territory.

In fact, the fate of Ukraine has long been beyond its own control. In the interest calculations of the two major powers of the United States and Russia, its territory and security have become bargaining chips.

Putin wants Donbass, Trump wants to stop the war, how will this game eventually end?

But for the Ukrainian people, whatever the outcome, the pain of this war will not improve in a short time.

Source of information:
Trump suggests Russia to declare victory, and the front keeps the status quo - Jinan Daily.

Putin proposes conditions for a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine-Minnan Network