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As soon as the ceasefire agreement came into effect, Hamas took action earlyThey mobilized more than 7,000 militants and five new military heads, and quickly deployed several checkpoints, filling the links that the Israeli army had just withdrawn.
The first one to be shot was the Dugamush family.This powerful family, which has been entrenched in Gaza City for many years, broke out a bloody battle with Hamas. On October 12, at least 27 armed personnel were killed. Two days before the conflict, eight members of Dugmush's "Arrow Force" had been executed by Hamas in the name of collaborating with the enemy.
This family is not good either.。They do everything from smuggling arms, looting supplies, violating humanitarianism. No, in March 2024, the leader of this family was already shot dead, but if it wants to be uprooted once and for all, Hamas is bound to face a fierce counterattack.
In Khan Yunis, the “terrorist forces” led the resistance and refused to hand over weapons; in Rafah, the “people’s forces” were even more openly called out to declare that “Hamas will no longer be recognized from now on.” Abu Shabab, a ruthless character who once escaped from prison, is now wooing surrounding tribes and becoming a "new king".
These armed forces come from diverse backgrounds, some derived from remnants of the former Palestinian Authority, some simply factional militias native to refugee camps. The red-headed People's Front and the Democratic Front mainly focus on left-wing ideas, while the white-headed People's Resistance Committees started their business with tribal ties. These people also fight against each other, and the only consensus is that "Hamas cannot be the only one family."
The situation got out of control and Hamas did not retreat. They know that weapons are the lifeblood. Senior Hamas officials made it clear: “No weapons will be handed over until the establishment of a Palestinian state.“They intend to take the power of speech by force and continue to survive by political purposes.
But the problem is that Gaza is not their private property. Before the war, there were 2.2 million people in Gaza and only 20,000 in Hamas. They were not elected by the people. They used guns to force Fatah out of the seat it occupied after 2006. After two years of war, Now they can hold up to 7,000 people, which is no longer the Iron Army of the time.
And the opposition is not scattered. Jihad, Al-Aqsa Brigade, Popular Front and Resistance Committee, these "headband armies" each have their own territory, guns and diehard loyalties. What's even more frightening is that, They are rooted locally and have more access to tribal resources than Hamas, an "foreign regime".
The Mujahid families control the northern strip of water, while the Abu Shamir tribe controls the important southern passageways of Gaza. They have developed their own “survival model” during the war, with some hijackers and some “protecting deals” with the Israeli army and not afraid of Hamas.
The people of Gaza have been outraged by the ceasefire. But less than half of the planned number of aid convoys can come in every dayThe World Health Organization has warned that more than half of the hospitals in Gaza are paralyzed, lack of electricity, lack of medicines, lack of oxygen tanks, and some of the houses are directly shut down.
Hamas is on the lookout to see the people crazy about the water and food cracks, but even so, they are still screaming in the media to work with international agencies to promote border reconstruction, restart public governance, and participate in humanitarian aid mechanisms.
Hamas knows that it can’t rely on bullets alone.They have begun to release information to international intermediaries, saying they are willing to cooperate with the opening of borders, participate in the reconstruction, and also want to insert a new local governance structure. But in his mouth, the gun was not put.Giving only weapons to the “future Palestinian state” means not saying it.
But the opposition is not stupid to the letter. they see that Hamas is to steal before everyone has yet to react, hold the power firmly in their hands.
Astar said it very bluntly: " We are working hard to become an alternative to Hamas。”This is a public lifting of cards without leaving room.
And Israel, just sitting in the mountains and fighting.Netanyahu secretly supported small factions such as the “people’s power” and did not want Hamas to sit back after the war.
But the outside world? The United States shouted the loudest, saying that it would disarm Hamas and send some international force to take over Gaza. But the question is, where are these troops? Which faction will obey? It has not even been decided who will coordinate, let alone unify command.
Although Egypt and Jordan have expressed their willingness to train police, there is no market for those troops in Gaza. In the territory controlled by Hamas, if you don't disarm for a day, you won't let other teams intervene. Now no one can replace them except themselves.
Hamas also understands that the situation is heading for the worst。 If external forces impose "demilitarization", they may go underground again and launch guerrilla warfare. From tunnels and explosives to undercover and kidnapping, their routines are not outdated.
Therefore, this ceasefire is ostensibly an external agreement, but in its bones it is an internal struggle. Hamas wants to keep its guns, and the opposition wants to fight its way out. No one wants to be marginalized. Everyone knows that once it is slow, it can only be a spectator.
The real question is not whether Israel is gone, not whether the United States supports it, but whether there is a governance plan in this place that everyone can accept. If not, the next massive conflict, in a few days.
References:
"Refuting" disarmament "! Hamas: Talk after the Founding of the People's Republic of China "August 03, 2025 Source: Xinhuanet
In the context of a fragile ceasefire, the United Nations is expanding its humanitarian assistance to Gaza, October 16, 2025