Over the past three years or so, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has been raging. From February 24, 2022, when the Russian army crossed the border, it has not completely stopped until September 2025, and the global economy has followed suit. To put it bluntly, this battle is not simply fighting and killing. It stirs up the entire chain of energy, food, arms and trade. Some countries have taken a bargain, while others have lost so much that their pants are almost dropping. There are three winners: the United States, Turkey and China; There are also three losers: Ukraine, the European Union and African countries. Especially why is China caught in the pile of winners? This matter needs to be elaborated, because it involves trade, energy and geographical layout, which is quite grounded.
Let's talk about America first. This guy is definitely the biggest winner in this battle. Although the U.S. Congress keeps shouting that it has given Ukraine more than 170 billion U.S. dollars in military aid, in fact, most of the money has gone into the pockets of its own arms dealers. Since March 2022, the United States has continuously approved aid, with the total amount now exceeding US $66.9 billion. The main purchases are locally produced weapons, such as Javelin missiles and Haimas systems. What about European countries? In order to help Ukraine, they have to pay for equipment from the United States first, and then change hands. This is equivalent to the bursting of orders from American military enterprises, and the stock prices of companies such as Lockheed Martin and Raytheon are rising. Data show that from 2020 to 2024, nearly half of Ukraine's arms imports will come from the United States, accounting for 10% of total U.S. exports. This is not only selling weapons, but also boosting employment and the economy. The politicians in Washington are giving assistance while working overtime in their own factories, and the welfare of workers is rising accordingly.
After Russia was sanctioned by the West, the European energy shortage, natural gas and oil prices flooded, and the United States had the opportunity to sell its own LNG. From the summer of 2022, the U.S. exports to Europe doubled, and Rotterdam became a departure point for U.S. goods. As a result, Europe paid high prices, U.S. energy companies earned more than 40 percent, exports grew.
This NATO organization, originally called "brain dead" by Trump, is now active again. The United States has greater influence and European countries are obedient. Having said that, the United States has made a good calculation. Aid is nominally helping Ukraine, but it is actually to stabilize its own hegemony and make companies rich. Don't think this is a conspiracy theory. The data is there, and arms sales and energy exports are hard indicators.
Turkey is a country with a great geographical location. The Black Sea, the Mediterranean Sea and the Middle East are all next to each other. It has played both sides. In August 2022, Turkey signed an energy agreement with Russia. Natural gas continued to flow through the Turkey Stream pipeline, and imports increased instead of decreasing. On the other hand, it sold Baikar TB2 drones to Ukraine, and has provided 32 drones since March 2022. Together with the later 15 drones, these drones have helped Ukraine fight tough battles on the battlefield.
Turkey not only sells weapons, but also mediates the Black Sea food agreement. In 2023, the Port of Istanbul will become a transshipment hub, and wheat and other things will follow this line from the Middle East to Africa. As a result, exports rose by 20%, and foreign exchange reserves piled up like mountains. In 2024, it will also promote nuclear power plant projects, obtain technology from Russia, and stabilize power supply. Diplomatically, Turkey is neutral, helping Russia circumvent sanctions, and providing military aid to Ukraine. In March 2025, it also appeared in Saudi Arabia's mediation ceasefire negotiations. To be honest, Turkey plays this balancing technique smoothly. It not only makes money, but also increases its international status. It has no moral burden and treats things as they are.
Now it's time for China, why is our country also a winner? It's not to blast, to look at the data and reality. Once the Russian conflict broke out, Western enterprises collectively withdrew from the Russian market, Chinese enterprises are ready to fill the air. After March 2022, the supermarket in Moscow, Chinese household appliances, automobiles, industrial goods are overwhelmed. China-Russia trade from $1900 billion in 2022 to $2400 billion in 2023, in 2024 continues to rise. Russia has no money to buy western goods, to look for China, this large industrial country, goods are cheap, but not sanctions. On energy, China's imports of Russian oil and natural gas discounted, oil imports accounted for more than 40% of Russia's exports in 2023, Shanghai refinery is busy
More importantly, the “One Belt, One Road” strategy. The war allowed Russia to care for itself, and those railway projects in Central Asia finally advanced. In 2023, the Kazakhstan section laid the track, in 2024, the Gobi train tsunami, connecting the Eurasian continent. More than 9,000 Chinese enterprises operate in Russia, covering the entire industry of automobiles, machinery, agriculture. The northeast revitalization is also filled with light, Shenyang, Harbin plants are full of orders, machine tools, spare parts are exported to Russia, overtime wages are rising. In the geography, in the northern part of China there is a Russian buffer, Taiwan and the South China Sea pressure is scattered.
Strategically, Beijing and Moscow approached, in 2025 the natural gas project negotiations were signed, the LNG pipeline everything on the horse.This wave of operation, China did not get involved in sanctions, steadily earned markets and resources, the calculation sounded.
The winner said, say the loser. first was Ukraine, the country was hit the hardest. territory lost 20%, eastern Donbass, Crimea all in Russian hands, the mining, ports no control. population from the pre-war 41 million, dropped to 2025, less than 30 million, more than 6 million refugees flee abroad, internal displacement 3.7 million. economic collapse, industrial infrastructure destroyed most, factories, bridges exploded.
In 2024, GDP decreased by 30 percent, agricultural exports interrupted, food households became poor. Civilians were killed in excess of 40,000, soldiers were killed in an estimated more than 100,000. US aid came at 66.9 billion, but weapons, the United States still wants to compensate for 50 billion through rare-earth mines. Zelensky, the president, who went to the White House in February 2025, was driven out of the door by Trump, and the negotiating table did not come up.
The European Union, on the surface solidarity aid, the actual economy is dragged down. The energy crisis broke out in 2022, Russian gas stopped, Germany, France inflation jumped to 8.7%, the price of bread, gasoline doubled. In 2023, Germany bankrupt 17.6 million enterprises, a 20-year record, industrial district factory doors closed, unemployment rate up the sky. capital escaped, stock markets shook, growth slowed to 0.5% in 2024.
To help Ukraine to empty the finances, in 2025, the money group of peacekeeping troops, the Brussels budget is sad. sanctions Russia counterfeit itself, raw materials are expensive, fertilizers, metals what the price is rising, farmers, manufacturers are suffering. the European Union, the wave of money out, still falls a chicken wool, the U.S. and Russia talks about a ceasefire, it can only wipe the ass.
African countries, especially North Africa, the most unfortunate are often the poor. Russia and the two food exporting great countries, the war, the Black Sea ports closed, wheat, corn, oatmeal oil exports interrupted. In 2022, international food prices rose by more than 50%, Egypt, Nigeria depend on imports, market mess. Egypt this country, old-fashioned bread to the people, resulted in the price of powder three times, in 2023, the hungry population increased by 10 million.
In 2024, supply chains broke, ports were delayed, Ethiopian rural villages pulled for help, dust flew. The United Nations said that 1,7 billion Africans were at risk of hunger and child malnutrition increased. Food agreements were signed in 2023, but in 2024 the ships were interrupted again. Africa's losses, snow and freezing, were poor, now poorer, and social turmoil was at risk.
In general, this Russian war, winners rely on weapons, energy and trade harvesting, losers the native suffer, economic collapse. In the data, the U.S. military sold more than 60 billion, Turkey exports increased by 20%, Chinese trade broke 2400 billion; Ukraine lost 20%, the European Union bankrupt 17,000, African food prices doubled. Why is China the winner? This is not luck, is not wind sanctions, has grabbed the market vacuum and energy cheap goods, and pushed the road. War is cruel, power speaks, peace is hard on strength. What do you think?