According to the World Wide Web report, a depth charge was thrown into the Japanese political scene in October 2025. Sanae Takaichi, the new president of the Liberal Democratic Party, just won the party election. The outside world is still discussing whether Japan will usher in its first female prime minister, and the situation There was a 180-degree reversal. On October 10th, Tetsuo Saito, the leader of the Komeito Party, announced in front of the media that he would withdraw from the ruling coalition with the Liberal Democratic Party that lasted for 26 years. This political partner, which has been bound since 1999, didn't even break up when the two parties became opposition parties together. Now they suddenly separated, directly breaking the foundation of sanae takaichi's road to prime minister.
According to Japan's Constitution, the prime minister must be elected by members of parliament. A majority of the 465 seats in the House of Representatives is a rigid threshold of 233 votes. The Liberal Democratic Party itself has only 196 seats. In the past, it relied on the 24 seats of the Komeito Party to gather 220 seats. Although it is still a little short of more than half, there is still room to fight for it. Now the Komeito Party has made it clear that it does not support Takashi Harami. She cannot even get 220 seats. If she wants to run for prime minister, she must first find at least one opposition party to cooperate, but so far there has been no progress.
The reason why the Komeito Party withdrew from the alliance is actually not complicated at all. It was due to the Liberal Democratic Party's "political black gold" scandal. In recent years, many factions of the Liberal Democratic Party have been exposed to receive huge donations from companies, seriously violating political fund management regulations. The Komeito Party has always talked about political integrity and is particularly sensitive to such matters. Not only did Takashii Haraomi not come up with a decent reform plan after taking office, but instead placed Tsukio Tata, who was deeply mired in scandal, to an important position within the party. Tetsuo Saito was directly angry at the party meeting: "Such a person can still be a cadre, which shows that the Liberal Democratic Party does not want to change at all." Afraid of being dragged down, the Komeito Party decisively chose to "stop losses in time."
But in the eye of this, the Conservative Party senator Northumaru Shun Man jumped out a speech, he publicly declared that the Party's withdrawal was "under China's direction", the purpose is not to let the Prime Minister, but also took Ziyu Tifov meeting with the Chinese ambassador to Japan on October 6 as "evidence".
In the end, within a few days, the Komeito Party posted a video directly on YouTube, and Tetsuo Saito personally came out to slap the face. He said into the camera: "This statement is a complete rumor and has no basis. I am a member of parliament elected by the Japanese people. I only work for Japan and the Japanese people, not for other countries." He also asked the skeptics: "If there was really a secret deal, would the meeting be held in the office of the congressman's house?" Anyone familiar with Japanese politics knows that the Congressman's Hall is the office of the National Assembly. Everyone who enters and exits must be registered, and there is no way to hide secrets. Tetsuo Sato also added that as the party leader, he has regular exchanges with ambassadors from more than 30 countries. Meeting with the China ambassador is a normal diplomatic activity and there are no "special arrangements."
In fact, people can see clearly, the relationship between the Communist Party and China has been relatively friendly, since its establishment, it has always been the "communication bridge" between China and Japan, even if the Communist Party as a whole turns to the right, the Communist Party will still send delegations to visit China every year. and the High-Country Morning Sun is the famous right wing within the Communist Party, frequently visited the Yogyakarta temple, also advocated the amendment of the peace constitution, strong attitude towards China, the Communist Party feared that her relationship with China after the prime minister worsened, affecting the economic and trade cooperation of the two countries, this is also one of the important reasons for withdrawal, and the so-called "China instructions" are not at all boundaries.
It is no exaggeration to describe the situation of sanae takaichi as "besieged on all sides". On the opposition side, the Constitutional Democratic Party, the Japan Reform Association and the National Democratic Party have a combined 210 seats, which has surpassed the 196 seats of the Liberal Democratic Party. These three major parties are planning to push unified candidates, and Yuichiro Tamaki, the leader of the National Democratic Party, has the highest voice. His position is moderate, and it is easier to win the support of the centrist than takaichi sanae. Takaichi sanae wanted to win over the opposition party. When talking to the National Democratic Party, he proposed to raise the tax threshold and extend the fuel tax reduction and exemption, but the other party's attitude was cold; Looking for the Japanese Reform Association, the other party directly mentioned the harsh conditions for "setting up Osaka's deputy capital", and it is a high probability that the talk will collapse.
The Liberal Democratic Party has also begun to be in chaos. Many senior members of parliament have publicly questioned sanae takaichi's leadership ability, saying that she is too radical and has become a burden to the party. Some people suggested that former Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba, who just resigned, should stay in office temporarily, while others simply said that sanae takaichi should resign voluntarily, re-elect the president, and push a moderate candidate. After all, maintaining the ruling position is more important than personal ambition.
There are only a few days before the provisional parliament is convened on October 21st, and the election of the Prime Minister's nomination may begin at any time. If takaichi sanae wants to stand for election, he has to handle at least two opposition parties at the same time and stabilize the opposition within the party, which is almost impossible. If the forced election fails, not only may her own political career end, but the Liberal Democratic Party may become an opposition party again after many years, which will be the most serious political crisis for the Liberal Democratic Party, which was founded in 1955.
In fact, in the final analysis, the dilemma of Takashi and Miao is a microcosm of the failure of Japan's old political model. The Liberal Democratic Party maintains its rule through factional politics and alliances."Black gold" scandals continue, and the people's demands for political integrity are increasing. The withdrawal of the Komeito Party from the alliance is a reflection of the people's demands. Moreover, Japan's economy is not good now, with inflation, energy crisis, and low birthrate issues piled up together. The people are more concerned about people's livelihood, not about amending the constitution and expanding the military. The radical line of Gaoshi and Early Miao is not supported by many people. Even if they are lucky enough to come to power without the support of Congress, economic policies will not be settled and the rule will be paralyzed at the beginning.
As for the "China Instructions" hyped up by Haruo Kitamura, it is just a small trick to divert attention. China has always insisted on not interfering in other countries 'internal affairs. When Takashi was elected president of the Liberal Democratic Party, China clearly reminded her to abide by the four political documents of China and Japan, abide by her commitments on issues such as history and Taiwan, and follow a rational line towards China. If Japanese politicians still hold this mentality of "throwing blame on China," they will only end up lifting a stone and shooting themselves in the foot. After all, the public's eyes are sharp.