The Mongolian politics of the "flash change" in 2025 has made the outside world unexpected.

In June, with 90% of the votes in favour, the high vote elected Prime Minister Zandhan Shatal, in October was kicked down by 71 votes, the term of 130 days, not even half a year.

For us, the more concerned should be the recently signed Sino-Mongolian cooperation agreements. For example, will the China-Russia-Mongolia natural gas pipeline and the cross-border railway that has already started be affected by this?

In September, the "Legal Memorandum" on natural gas pipelines was signed with China and Russia, which was pushed forward four months. In June, the division of labor plan for cross-border railways was finalized with China.

These projects are the "cash cows" that Mongolia has been looking forward to for many years. As soon as Zandanshatar brought the "cake" to the table, he was "invited" off the table.

Judging from the actual situation of Mongolia, what really wants to pull Zandan Shattar down is probably the joint force of three forces-- Internal oligarchs, pro-Western politicians, and external forces behind them.

There has always been a "third neighbor" faction in Mongolia, which feels that it is "unsafe to be too close to China and Russia" and wants to rely on the United States and India as backers.

After Zandanshatar came to power, he directly cut off their thoughts: negotiations on rare earth exports to the United States were more cautious, and the railway projects that India wanted to participate in were given priority to Chinese companies;

Some pro-Western politicians have long disliked him. This time, they just used the pretext of "unconstitutional" to pull him down so that they could hold the thigh of the West again.

In fact, the fall of Zandanshatar is not only Mongolia's own thing, but also a "small piece" of the game of the great powers in Central Asia and Northeast Asia - each country is counting its own account in this game.

The United States wants to turn Mongolia into an "anti-China outpost." The United States is short of rare earths, and Mongolia's rare earth reserves account for 18% of the world. It had always wanted Mongolia to sell rare earths to itself and bypass China.

Russia, on the other hand, wants to preserve the energy channel, which is very important to Russia, through which gas can be sold to China and earn more than $20 billion a year.

Therefore, Russia has no reason to sit down regardless, after the dismissal news, the Russian side is also highly concerned, hoping that the new Mongolian government will continue to promote the pipeline project.

At this time, India wants to step in and "share the cake". India has always wanted to squeeze into Mongolia. For example, IT wants to participate in the construction of cross-border railways and build an "IT industrial park" in Mongolia. In fact, IT wants to compete with China for business.

But India's strength cannot keep up with its ambitions-the hospital India promised to build for Mongolia in 2024 has not yet started construction for two years; Half of the armored vehicles sent by military exercises are second-hand and refurbished.

Mongolian politicians are also clear that India is just ¡°painting big cakes¡±, really to get the money to do things, or have to go to China.

In this context, China¡¯s cards are actually more stable.

China is Mongolia's largest trading partner. Of every 10 tons of coal sold by Mongolia, 8 tons are sold to China;

90% of mobile phones and household appliances used by Mongols are made in China.

Even if Mongolia's political arena changes, it will not dare to turn against China easily- In 2024, Mongolia's former general ideal of "Mongolian China and the United States" resulted in economic reality, and in the end, it can only go back and look for China to talk about cooperation.

Moreover, when Chinese enterprises cooperate with Mongolia, most of them will sign "long-term supply agreements". Even if the government changes, they have to follow the rules if they want to change them.

As for how will China-Mongolia cooperation go after this "coaching change"? Actually, you can rest assured.

After Zandanshatar steps down, the Mongolian parliament will elect a new prime minister before December.

If the new prime minister is a pragmatist who has dealt a lot with the Chinese side, the project is likely to continue;

If you change to a pro-Western politician, there may be a period of "tossing period", but in the end you still have to return to China-after all, Mongolia's wallet really can't be supported without China.

However, in the end, Mongolia¡¯s development difficulties cannot be solved by a ¡°change of prime minister.¡±

Several prime ministers have changed over the years, each of whom wanted to cooperate, but each time halfway down due to oligarchy and external intervention.

For us, instead of paying attention to who their next prime minister may be, it is better to deepen the cooperation-

To turn ¡°China to help Mongolia¡± into ¡°Mongolia to make money together¡±, only if interests are bound together, it is not easy to disconnect from political changes.