October 9, 2025, Washington, USA. The Trump administration suddenly issued an "ultimatum"-requiring China airlines to give up the right to fly over Russian airspace on flights to and from the United States within 48 hours, otherwise they will face a flight ban starting in November.

The reason given by the U.S. is "fair competition", claiming that China Airways because it can go into Russian airspace, saves oil and robbed the market than the U.S. Airways province around the long distance.

This matter must start with the 2022 Russia-Ukraine conflict. At that time, the United States took the lead in closing its airspace to Russia, but Russia immediately responded and blocked the U.S. airlines over Siberia.

Since that day, Air Asia has only traveled around the Pacific or the Arctic, flying two or three hours more, oil money and equipment costs have risen.The American Aviation Association has calculated a bill: in three years, just flying around has caused US Airways to lose $6 billion, and its market share has decreased by $2 billion annually.

China Airways, because there are normal rights agreements with Russia, has always taken the shortest Arctic route, low ticket prices and short time, passengers are naturally more willing to choose them.

More absurdly, the U.S. gave China Airways only two days to respond this time, and also vowed to enforce it in November.

As early as the resumption of China-US talks flights in 2023, the U.S. attempted to bind the "banned flight of Russian airspace" and "increase flights", which was rejected by the Chinese side.

Now that the Trump administration has turned bargaining chips into executive orders, the abacus behind it is clear: First, the mid-term elections in 2026 are approaching, and there is an urgent need to show "tough on China" to please voters; Second, American airline lobby groups continue to put pressure on them to regain their disadvantages through political means; Third, the recent economic and trade friction between China and the United States has intensified, and aviation is only part of the "comprehensive pressure" of the United States.

China's Foreign Ministry's response on the 10th could be "four or two thousand kilograms". spokesman Guo Jianquan did not directly follow the time limit of the US side, but instead of General One Army: "It is suggested that the US side reflect on the impact of its own policies on its own enterprises, rather than unreasonably suppress other countries and let global consumers pay."

This word translated into big blank words is: you dig the pit yourself and jump, don't want to pull someone else's back. China Airways fly Russian airspace, fully in accordance with international law and bilateral agreements, why pay for the US policy mistake?

In fact, the difficulty of U.S. Airways is rooted in itself. industry reports have long pointed out that U.S. Airways faces a serious shortage of pilots and air pipes, even if the flight quota is given, the flight is incomplete.

Coupled with the high cost of detour flights, many multinational companies simply transferred travel and freight to China airlines. The market votes with its feet, which cannot be reversed by a ban.

If the United States insists on advancing the ban, it will only further disrupt Sino-US air routes and damage personnel exchanges between the two countries. In the era of globalization, routes connect interests and people's hearts, and political means are used to delineate the boundaries. In the end, ordinary passengers and consumers pay the bill.

The losses of US Airways are not caused by China, but by its own sanctions policy.The desire to rely on hegemony to break the rules of the market will only further divide the world.